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harmony

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  1. We can agree that Baseball Trade Values overvalues Seattle prospect Tai Peete.
  2. Feel free to read up on how Baseball Trade Values assesses MLB players: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/valuing-major-leaguers You're welcome.
  3. In November Baseball Trade Values assigned Aaron Ashby a negative value of $6 million and today assigned Colt Emerson a surplus value of $61.5 million. Luke Adams, Brock Wilkin and Mike Boever have surplus values between $8.2 million and $2.6 million. Likely regrets abound in the Pacific Northwest.
  4. Seattle reportedly is pursuing another bullpen piece so the Mariners are unlikely to trade Speier's high-leverage arm. FWIW Baseball Trade Values assigns surplus values of $15.1 million for Luis Pena, $14.8 million for Tai Peete and $12.5 million for Gabe Speier.
  5. Would anyone trade Rhys Hoskins to Seattle for outfielder/DH Mitch Haniger and corner infielder Tyler Locklear? The Mariners would be taking on money because Hoskins is owed $18 million in 2025 plus a $4 million buyout of a 2026 mutual option. Haniger is owed $15.5 million to $17 million next season in the final year of his contract. Steamer's 2025 projections for Hoskins include a 106 wRC+, 26 HR and 0.8 WAR in 133 games: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/rhys-hoskins/16472/stats?position=1B#dashboard Steamer's 2025 projections for Haniger include a 95 wRC+, 15 HR and 0.0 WAR in 105 games: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/mitch-haniger/14274/stats?position=OF#dashboard Steamer's 2025 projections for Locklear include a 100 wRC+, 6 HR and 0.3 WAR in 50 games: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/tyler-locklear/31396/stats?position=1B#dashboard The 24-year-old Locklear, who made a brief appearance in MLB.com's midseason Top 100 prospect list, would come with six years of team control. Baseball Trade Values suggests a Hoskins-for-Haniger trade would require cash from Seattle: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/180410 Woud Seattle even consider that trade?
  6. As recently as October 31 Baseball Trade Values assigned Omar Narvaez with a surplus value of $11.9 million before downgrading Narvaez last month to a surplus value of $5.1 million. https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/teams/478/ According to that website, a trade of Narvaez for Ethan Small and Drew Rasmussen would be fair even under the downgraded assessment of Narvaez. It will be interesting to learn Seattle's return on the trade of Narvaez.
  7. Please, please, please, do NOT trade Ethan Small for this guy. PLEASE? https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/trade-16900/ Trivia: Back in April Mississippi State starter Ethan Small dropped a decision to Arkansas starter Isaiah Campbell, whom the Seattle Mariners selected with the 76th pick of the June draft: https://arkansasrazorbacks.com/campbell-shines-as-razorbacks-take-opener/ But, again, Seattle and Milwaukee may not match up in a trade.
  8. Thanks for the insights! It Seattle expected to try to contend, or are they reloading for 2021 and beyond? Better put, are they looking for MLB-ready arms, or are prospects more ideal? The Mariners probably are looking for arms that could be MLB ready by 2021, such as former college powerhouse pitchers Ethan Small, who turns 23 in February, and Drew Rasmussen, who turns 25 in July.
  9. Seattle needs pitching and can trade from its depth at catcher where this year Tom Murphy posted a 126 wRC+ and 3.2 fWAR in only 76 games and utility man Austin Nola, a catcher by trade, posted a 114 wRC+ and 1.5 fWAR in only 79 games: https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2019&month=0&season1=2019&ind=0&team=11&rost=&age=&filter=&players=&startdate=&enddate= Additionally, catcher Cal Raleigh is the seventh-ranked prospect in a healthy Seattle farm system: http://m.mlb.com/prospects/2019?list=sea Baseball Trade Values approves a trade of Ethan Small and Drew Rasmussen for Omar Narvaez: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/trade-16900/ ... although the pitching-thin Brewers are unlikely to further deplete their farm system. I get Narvaez and Tim Beckham for Alex Claudio and Buddy Derby. https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/trade-16933/ The Mariners want more than Alex Claudio's two years of team control ... but the Brewers can probably bid on Tim Beckham after next week's tender deadline. Seattle and Milwaukee probably do not match up.
  10. Seattle needs pitching and can trade from its depth at catcher where this year Tom Murphy posted a 126 wRC+ and 3.2 fWAR in only 76 games and utility man Austin Nola, a catcher by trade, posted a 114 wRC+ and 1.5 fWAR in only 79 games: https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2019&month=0&season1=2019&ind=0&team=11&rost=&age=&filter=&players=&startdate=&enddate= Additionally, catcher Cal Raleigh is the seventh-ranked prospect in a healthy Seattle farm system: http://m.mlb.com/prospects/2019?list=sea Baseball Trade Values approves a trade of Ethan Small and Drew Rasmussen for Omar Narvaez: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/trade-16900/ ... although the pitching-thin Brewers are unlikely to further deplete their farm system.
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