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Posted

Just updating this since I found more information.

 

http://www.insidethebook.com/ee/index.php/site/comments/forecast_evaluations/#26

 

replies 22-26.

 

PECOTA comes out ahead in pitching and hitting with a more specific advantage with players who were harder to forecast. Chone was using the book revision of PECOTA which is an unfinished projection set that doesn't even include things like team defense or any off season moves etc which is what most people would be looking at.

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