derflotr

Yeah, the days he's piled up on the DL in his career is really getting on my nerves.

BP agrees Runner on 1st, no out: .8302 (expected runs) Runner on 2nd, one out: .6574 Runner on 2nd, no out: 1.0657 Runner on 3rd, one out: .9125 That's not the right data. Expected runs takes ALL runs scored and averages them out into one number--this is valuable in the early innings. The expected runs is almost always going to go down when you give away an out--but for scoring ONE more run the percentage may go up depending on the situation. In the bottom of the ninth, you are looking for the % of times that 0 runs scores, and trying to minimize that percentage. Also, if I recall from previously looking up those run expectancy charts, some of the common ones that are used are based off of stats from the late 90s and early 2000s--which were the most offensively homer skewed numbers in the history of baseball. I'd imagine that moving runners over has become more important as the homer rate has gone down. Those numbers are from this season. I haven't looked at ones from previous years, so you could use a sample size argument. Maybe they're weighted for historical trends, I don't know. But, I was talking about the bottom of the 8th inning. I know K-Rod's been pretty solid, but I'd try to maximize offensive output unless you're on the home side and it's the ninth inning or later.

BP agrees Runner on 1st, no out: .8302 (expected runs) Runner on 2nd, one out: .6574 Runner on 2nd, no out: 1.0657 Runner on 3rd, one out: .9125

From what I remember, the run expectation difference between man-on-2nd-no-out and man-on-3rd-no-out is really small. It's hard enough to justify giving away an out just to move a guy to 2nd. If it's Johnny Estrada, maybe someone could convince me a bunt isn't the worst idea in the world. But it's freaking Carlos Gomez. Any single scores him. Three chances. Give me a break.

I'd be there.

Reminds me of this: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5RydIbK2LV0

There are plenty of other parts of the typical Brewers broadcast that annoy me more - not that I think FSN does poor work or anything, but there are necessary evils of broadcasting to a wide audience that chip away at my soul (the "*insert local business here* play of the game" or twitter/text questions). Some lady in a low-cut top isn't going to be the back-breaking straw. For me, anyway.

If the Brewers were sacrificing an excellent option as the 5th bench guy to go with a 13-man staff, I may have a beef. I think 4 on the bench is enough, given the fact that the starters are still stretching out, the Lohse progression is unpredictable, and Narveson apparently isn't quite 100% (maybe I'm reading too much into it). Plus, Figaro, and Hand or even Olmsted, look like more useful players than Blake Lalli or whoever else they have to fill the 5th spot on the bench to get virtually no ABs anyway. Once Green and Bianchi come back, I may change my mind. Plus, the more ABs for bench guys (who are decent), the better, as far as I am concerned.

I know the 40-man roster is pretty rigid at this point, but here come the corner infield DFAs - Mauro Gomez, Zack Cox...

Will there be a looming innings limit for Peralta or Fiers should they stick? Estrada, even?

Quick clarification: When a team claims someone on waivers like this, it isn't required of them to put the player on their own 40-man roster, correct?

Guess I was right. Good lord.

If Peralta is bumped from the rotation because of this I'm going to get pretty upset.

I think the Brewers already have plenty of options if they need someone to pitch poorly or not get on base.

Thank goodness.