topper09er

Prince swung through a perfect high pitch to throw on. I'd think most of the time that doesnt happen.

That 1-1 pitch to Braun was very similar to the 2-1 pitch to Hernandez mentioned above. Catcher setup in, reached across and it was called a ball even though gameday probably shows it on the black.

FART!!

The way we have been struggling on the road Hart really just needs to take a half swing and hit a lazy SF.

Nice, Zach was pissed he missed that ball down the middle.

http://img17.imageshack.us/img17/8968/strikezonewat.jpgLucroy was setup way inside and reached all the way across and turned his shoulders a little bit to catch it. Tough to get that call when you miss by 20" and the catcher does a bad frame job.

Game over. They will be pressing on offense now. Probably won't walk again rest of the game

There is no such thing as an absolute baseline. The baseline is 3 feet on either side of wherever the runner is when a tag is attempted. The runner can approach home from way in foul territory and come back to the plate anyway they want. The baseline is then a 6 foot wide strip perpendicular to a straight line between the runner and the plate, even if he is 10 feet in foul territory. The foul line is in no way related to the "baseline"

What is the difference between this: A Torres CF .275 .363 .438 E Burriss SS .320 .320 .320 F Sanchez 2B .294 .344 .406 A Huff 1B 4 .215 .271 .337 C Ross RF .245 .333 .378 A Rowand LF .246 .294 .366 M Tejada 3B .221 .242 .285 E Whiteside C .185 .267 .370 and this: R Bernadina CF .247 .304 .329 I Desmond SS .230 .259 .368 J Werth RF .254 .350 .452 L Nix LF .306 .333 .546 M Morse 1B .281 .303 .447 D Espinosa 2B .200 .301 .394 I Rodriguez C .205 .256 .342 J Hairston Jr. 3B .248 .312 .357 Obviously Big-Time-Timmy-Jim makes a huge difference but I like our chances against that lineup.

You are making a big mistake with this analysis, yes the AVERAGE runs scored decreases, but the chances for scoring 1 run increases. This is usually the goal of bunting anyways, except with pitchers who will bunt pretty much regardless of the score (at least early). Chance of scoring exactly 1 run: R1 0 out: .176 R2 1 out: .230 http://www.tangotiger.net/RE9902score.html So yes bunting is a bad idea to increase the total amount of runs you will score, on average, but it is a good idea if you are specifically trying to score 1 run, increasing your chances of scoring the 1 run from ~1/6 attempts to ~1/4 attempts. Another interesting thing from this chart is you have the same chances of scoring 2 runs with R2, R3 1 out (.218) as you have of scoring 1 run with R1, R2 0 out (.219). I would take 2 runs in just about any inning and be happy with it (unless late and way behind obviously) so I would bunt a lot with R1, R2, 0 out. An important thing to realize is that the reason the average run expectancy always goes down with more outs is because you have less chances to hit HRs which obviously affect scoring the most. Therefore, if the you dont expect the following batters to hit a HR the whole chart really is useless. I have always wanted to see Tango make the run expectancy chart except remove all innings with a HR and then see how it looks. That would be a useful tool if you have Counsell/Kotsay/Gomez due up.

They also have some guy who usually hits .331/.426/.624 currently hitting .261/.330/.407. Wow I didnt realize he is still doing that badly. This partial season alone has lowered his career BA by 2 points, OBP by 3 points and SLG by 7 points.

Gomez really has value as a pinch runner in late and close games. Putting him on first means you have a very good chance of getting to 2nd without a bunt. He would be a nice option on the bench.

Did McGehee say something to the media I've missed? I see no reason for such an outburst from him. I think he may not like it, but i don't think he would stop playing. No he didnt say anything I just have a feeling about 95% of MLB players have this attitude, or at least among every day starting players. I could be totally wrong. Would you have expected Posada to react the way he did?

The Angels have signed the muscle, if he is good enough for Scioscia then maybe RRR some time in the future? http://mlb.mlb.com/news/a...0&vkey=news_mlb&c_id=mlb

And if he entered a 30 person poker tournament it would be won by whichever one of the better players gets luckiest during that tournament...just like baseball.

If he ends up with the same number of PAs as last season he will need to hit .281/.339/.492 over the next 467 PA to reach those numbers. Looks doable for BA and OBP but not for slugging

McGehee: SplitGPAABRH2B3BHRRBISBCSBBSOBAOBPSLGOPSLast 28 days25104951123502800915.242.308.358.666

On Friday vs the RHP I'd go: Weeks Plush Braun Fielder Hart Lucroy McGehee Counsell/Yuni whatever P Of course this wont happen because the 5 spot is "McGehee's spot" and he "earned it" even though he has been struggling. If you take it away from him he will probably pull a Posada and refuse to play in the game.

Almost no sports fans at all, casual and educated, understands a basic principle: YOU CANNOT TAKE LUCK OUT OF SPORTS. Yet you hear people constantly talking about it, things like balancing the schedule, having instant replay.. etc, etc. No matter what you try to do the difference between the tops teams is LUCK. Lucroy had a nice AB last night, but was very late on a fastball he was trying to pull/hit up the middle and instead it landed on the RF foul line. The brewers got lucky and won, this is no different from an ump making a bad call in your favor. No matter what you do you cannot remove the luck in sports. However, I think this is actually a good thing, because from a fans perspective it is awesome when you get lucky, and the only way you will win the world series is by getting lucky a lot. If there wasnt luck then the game would be totally predictable and not fun to watch. An example I like is deals with fantasy football scoring, a few years ago it was very standard to have 6 points for a TD and 1 point for 10 yards, so a Jerome Bettis type with 10 yards and 2 TDs outperforms a guy with 25 carries for 100 yards but no TDs. Then people started getting all mad because they dont understand the concept that you cannot remove luck from sports, and people started making TDs worth less points. All this did was make fantasy less exciting, because now when your guy scores a TD it is less exciting, but the outcome is still the same because the guys who wins end up with the most luck from other ways. People who cannot accept this really shouldnt even bother being a sports fan and should just go play blackjack or flip coins and feel satisfied when after a big sample they get the outcome they expect. It really bothers me when people with this mentality refuse to give up on just being a sports fan who gets excited when good things happen to your team and try to engineer evey possible little rule adjestment so nothing unlucky can ever happen to them and instead just make the game less exciting...like pushing for instant replay. When the ump makes a bad call in your favor its awesome, when it goes against you it sucks. Same with broken bat single and line drive outs.

Well Ryan Braun would also be raking from the 8 spot, just less RBI and runs scored

This is Melvin just sticking it to Cruz, you want to come back to provide SS depth....we'll take our chances with this guy instead, and that.

Right now he has a 49% Runners left on base % and a .370 BAbip against. For his career he has a 72% LOB% and a .308 BAbip against. ERA = 6.43, FIP = 2.91, xFIP = 1.47 He will be fine, every time he starts we have the advantage in the pitching matchup and we have a good chance to win.

Last time the Brewers won 6 in a row, May 13-May 19....2009

Also Reds are facing Halladay tonight, I think its on ESPN

http://t2.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcSxDlpnpgpJ2xc2h50_CSeVelWQEZtA2tNQRV4EPZIROS04K99vTg ?