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topper09er

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Everything posted by topper09er

  1. That 1-1 was a good example of a horrible frame job from Susac, did not hold the ball at all
  2. Although Shaw has few errors that play is why he is average on D.
  3. Is Suter in the stretch because of the risk of Buxton stealing home? Or does he just prefer it.
  4. I wasn't following the IGT yesterday at the end, but I assume this debate is on the non-bunt call for Pina? Looks like the bunt was the better play, but that is assuming it gets down and the following hitters don't K. Using the 2010-2016 scoring env (https://gregstoll.dyndns.org/~gregstoll/baseball/stats.html#V.-1.9.0.4.2010.2016 Visitor +1 top 9th, R1 R2 0 out = 93% win percentage, 62% chance to score at least 1 run in the inning. 1.47 run expectancy for the inning Visitor +1 top 9th, R2 R3 1 out = 97% win percentage, 67% chance to score at least 1 run in the inning. 1.37 run expectancy for the inning Heading into bottom 9, visitor +1 = 83% win percentage, visitor +2 = 93% win percentage. Visitor +3 = 97% WE The bunt increases your winning percentage. At that point in the game extra runs have a diminishing return, one extra run is worth 10% and the second additional run was only worth 5% more in WE.
  5. Can someone tell our little league outfield to hit the cutoff man
  6. Crap and now he exits the game, hopefully nothing major
  7. Hey, the guy has 2 singles since coming back from the DL!
  8. Because Swarzak had pitched 3 of the previous 4 days so he was only going to be used if we were still ahead in the 9th. The bullpen is just gassed from all of these close games. Hughes is the worst arm in the pen and Drake does a decent job against lefties. Drake was probably only coming in if they scored and tied up the game. Counsell used the bullpen well tonight given the limitations due to over usage lately. If Swarzek was available and Knebel was not then Swarzek is the bullpen ace for the game. The bullpen ace should be used in this most important situation. Leverage index on the last hitter of the 8th was 7.87!. LI starting out the 9th inning was 0.91. Leaving in Barnes was a fine choice, but if he was going to make a move to anyone besides Swarzek it would have been stupid. If we make the 1 game wild card playoff and Nelson is available should we sit him so he can start 2 games in the NLDS? No.
  9. Have to think that was for Morrison. Drake is essentially a LOOGY. I'd still take my best pitcher over a right handed LOOGY
  10. wow, so CC was warming up Drake with 2 outs in the 8th while Swarzek was apparently available. We need to make another bullpen move to completely idiot proof this bullpen from CC. In a bases loaded, 2 out, 1 run lead game how could you possibly not make a move to your best available reliever if you are going to make a move
  11. Stop dancing in the box Arcia and make sure to put the ball in play. Drake may be pitching next inning
  12. Two completely different situations. Exactly, Davies' is more difficult
  13. Davies- 90 pitches in 2 hours, close to death but he will likely live on Knebel- 70 pitches in a week, o my god he will die soon if he touches a baseball
  14. The nerd experiment is over, athletes only from now on. Since Sogard's return from the DL he is now 2 for 30
  15. Agree, but did you see that jump he had? How did he not make it standing up? Because it was a fastball and a lefty batter. That is why you dont steal 3rd with a lefty batter up
  16. Don't steal 3rd with no outs and a lefty batting!
  17. Looks like a jaw/ear shot maybe. Pretty nasty
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