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xisxisxis

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  1. Donating to your local library is always a great option. If you qualify for itemized deductions then the donation can be included, if not, it's still a great way to share with your "neighbors".
  2. I've had it for about 9 months. I've only gotten about 35Mpbs not the 50 they advertise, but overall few issues with outages or dropped signal (most streaming has been smooth). There isn't a modem/router based speedtest like I can do with Spectrum, but even my 200Mbps advertised Spectrum line comes in at 150-160. You probably cant stream 4K to 3 devices, but it should handle most streaming needs depending on your circumstances.
  3. I'll just borrow a post in response: Arcia was never elite. His dropoff in 2019 isnt even in the quoted numbers. Different aspects of defense deteriorate at different levels. If you look at range for Escobar, he clearly has an age related decrease in his ability to get to balls that are in the "Remote" category. Personally, my lateral athleticism gave way a long time before my forward/back athleticism decreased. Since you missed the point about Yuni, let me try to restate the conclusion first. Funny how the timing of a hot streak can negate a career of crapitude for some. To the point of Yuni having a hot streak, his career was crapitude. To the point Arcia had his hot streak his career is crapitude (worst hitter in baseball during his time in MLB - a not insignificant window; defense that is much more average for a SS than elite = overall crap). Sure, a miracle could occur and he finally gets it, like 0.1% of hitters who were crap their entire careers (MiLB and MLB) all of a sudden become good. At that point the analogy fails, because the "hot streak" was the prelude to a "break out", not just a hot streak in the middle of pretty horrible performance. Is that "reason to think"? no that's a possible outcome, not a probable outcome. As you bolded my statement "How is Arcia like either of those two?", I'll just point out one of the key words: "is". Now "is" is a present tense. You may have learned about this in school. Present tense is the present. Now. Currently. Past tense is previous time, before current (i.e. before present). There's also future tense, which represents future time/events. These will occur later or after the present tense. "Hypthetically" applies to a possible outcome in the future or to an alternate event then what happened in the past or present. Sure, Arcia could by a rare probability become a decent hitter in the future for another team and the Brewers weren't the beneficiaries of that improvement and then Arcia would be like Escobar and Segura. Possible? yes. Probable? no. Which brings me to the difference between 2 very similar sounding, but distinct words: Probable and Possible. These words refer to future events. Possible means it "can be done" without any degree of conversion from a possibility to a reality. Therefore, possible is a boolean or a true/false where something "can be done" or "can't be done". Something is either possible or not possible. Probable is related to a word called probability or likelihood. Probability or likelihood can be expressed as an infinite range of values between 0 and 1, with 0 being absolute not going to happen and 1 being absolute certainty to happen. In practice, 0 and 1 are not events that happen when looking at probability or likelihood. The word "probable" is related to "probability" and is defined as "likely to be the case or to happen." The problem with "likely to be the case or to happen" is that it is subjective. If an event has a likelihood of 0.500000001 then that means there is likelihood that the event will not occur of 0.499999999. Many would not define that as "Probable". In fact, some argue that for something to be "probable" it has to be significantly more likely than a flip of a coin (0.5 probability). To me, I feel comfortable saying that it is possible that Arcia could become an average or above hitter, but it is not probable.
  4. How is Arcia like either of those two? Escobar's defense is elite compared to Arcia. Segura always had a higher ceiling than Arcia and a change of scenery for Jean was probably the best for him given the loss of his child, they aren't comparable at all. Sure, Arcia 'might' improve as a hitter. The risk that he does and you gave up on him too early isn't anything to lose sleep over, while a team that has a contention window needs to upgrade any and every position it can to maximize the return on that window. Most defenders of Arcia point to that hot streak during the very end of the season and playoffs. Sure Yuni Betancourt put together a very good playoffs in 2011. That's doesn't mean he wasn't an absolute horrible player. Funny how the timing of a hot streak can negate a career of crapitude for some...
  5. Well there's been a topic running around for a few months on the Major League board with the title "Arcia - Glove vs. Bat", which may be a few pages down now. The highlights from an analysis of his offense and defense: 1) During his time in MLB, Arcia is ranked as the WORST hitter. 2) Every defensive metric places Arcia around the 10th best SS in baseball out of less than 30 Full-time qualifiers. So he stinks with the bat and his defense is nowhere near elite. He's pretty much replacement level. What is to love about that? Is there something to love about having 2 replacement level SSs? Are you referring to Dubon? If yes, at least he would be cheap next year. Arcia will start costing real money so I hope Stearns looks for an upgrade (no clancy not Mouse). There were several SS last year that could have been had cheap as a replacement for Arcia. Time to move on from Alcides Escobar v2.
  6. Well there's been a topic running around for a few months on the Major League board with the title "Arcia - Glove vs. Bat", which may be a few pages down now. The highlights from an analysis of his offense and defense: 1) During his time in MLB, Arcia is ranked as the WORST hitter. 2) Every defensive metric places Arcia around the 10th best SS in baseball out of less than 30 Full-time qualifiers. So he stinks with the bat and his defense is nowhere near elite. He's pretty much replacement level. What is to love about that?
  7. I wonder what the Mariners fans reaction was to the Lind trade after Freddy's first game and now? I would guess, a lot of gnashing of teeth and we 'lost big' after the first start and probably not so much now. It's hard to judge these things at this point. Who knows where any of the 4 will end up. Based on his play in the majors, to date, Brinson is a failure. He may end up being the only one of the 3 to have long-term success. I still think it was a good trade for both teams. The Marlins maximized their return for a player they didn't have the resources to build around and the Marlins got several upside players. It's quite possible Yelich puts up 40 fWAR as a Brewer. I doubt those 4 match that, but who knows.
  8. The only downside to Yelich is that he appears to not take instruction as he hasn't picked up the Brewers trademark of swinging from the heals on every pitch trying to hit a 3 run HR with the bases empty...
  9. Who is a game changer? Bryce Harper? Trout, who's led his team to how many championships? how many playoffs? I don't see any game changer in baseball as it really is a series of 9 one-on-one contests and it's hard for any player to effect the other 8 contests that he's not involved with. The Brewers haven't had the Cain/Yelich type players for several years (Since Braun was good), who are near the top of their position rankings, hit for average, get on base at a decent rate and have very good plate discipline. That's pretty nice to have and I don't think Brinson turns into one of them, but he could be average and that's not bad. No regrets about the trade when it happened and none now.
  10. Ex-Marlins outfielders fWAR to date (Plate appearances): Ozuna 0.1 (202) Stanton 1.3 (220) Yelich 1.2 (186) Taking cost into account, the clear winner is Yelich.... Last year may have been Stanton's career year, this year is looking like a repeat of 2015 for Ozuna (or worse), and Yelich is close to being on pace for the same fWAR rate as last year. side note: Yelich is a perfect example of why you shouldn't over-interpret BABIP... his career mark is 0.357!
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