magnoliacrew
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Everything posted by magnoliacrew
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Yelich clutch. -
(Hiura) You make my dreams come true!
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JBJ has been disappointing, but always manages to disappoint in a fresh way.
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Brewer fans in Arizona don’t have jobs. They can attend an afternoon game. Source: Lee Elia.
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That was a lot of cheering for Garcia's RBI line drive there. It felt like there were more Brewers fans in the stadium that DBacks.
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I love Garcia, but I could easily imagine him jogging on that ground ball error to first that Urias just legged out.
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Not the worst AB by Hiura.
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At least it's good to see Christian creating some separation from Houser on the home run list this year.
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I acknowledge the role of run prevention, but the Brewers essentially need HRs to have offense adequate enough to produce wins. HRs produce 29% of runs (apart from runners on base) while only 21% of DBacks offense. Watching the 2nd inning, the DBacks got 3 runs off 6 hits, all of which are singles. The Brewers have had three run innings, but I can't remember the last time that happened where a HR wasn't involved. The Brewers need for HRs because of their low BA and OBP, and the DBacks horrible record are completely unrelated items. You can (and should) make the point that the Brewers need the HR ball to produce runs without ever mentioning the DBacks. Fair enough. I guess I was comparing stats going into the series and it was even more apparent than usual when seeing that the Brewers only offensive advantage over the DBacks was a sizable HR differential and a couple of walks.
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Consider this astonishing stat. The DBacks are 1-39 in games in which they have scored 4 or fewer runs. By comparison the Brewers are 14-28 when scoring 4 or fewer runs. That disparity can only be explained by better pitching, not because the Brewers hit more HRs. I acknowledge the role of run prevention, but the Brewers essentially need HRs to have offense adequate enough to produce wins. HRs produce 29% of runs (apart from runners on base) while only 21% of DBacks offense. Watching the 2nd inning, the DBacks got 3 runs off 6 hits, all of which are singles. The Brewers have had three run innings, but I can't remember the last time that happened where a HR wasn't involved.
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Part of the 4th place tie with 100 home runs. Eugenio Suarez?
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He’s tied for 4th with two others at 100 home runs since 2018. Acuna?
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Well if he was truly trying to pitch hurt then he was doing the team no favors. I can’t imagine they would’ve let him throw if he was knowingly ailing from something. They’re all competitors at this level. I thought something looked off as Anderson ran to first in the top of the 2nd. Maybe he pulled a muscle on the DP he hit into and it tightened up on him on the mound. Both the high and low of NL rules. I love the strategy of the NL but it always seems to come at a cost in pitcher injury.
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When you get good pitching a HR or 2 may be all it takes to win. Runs are runs no matter how they come, and the DBacks statistically have a better offense than the Brewers. The Brewers weak offense and Anderson on the mound may just be the formula the DBacks need to break their streak. Yes, that is my point although I could have said it more clearly. We are statistically worse in every category (except walks) yet have 20 more wins. Essentially our chances of winning are based on assuming pitching is above average and we hit HRs.
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I know that JBJ is supposed to be a slow starter... but at what point does he start producing?
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Again, obviously pitching and run prevention is a factor, but the Brewers are 33-18 when hitting a HR.
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Brewers (40-32) .213/.302/.367/.669 290R/499H/98D/ 8T/ 83HR/268BB/703K D'Backs (20-53).231/.303/.373/.676 309R/575H/127D/15T/66HR/236BB/660K Obviously, the pitching is a factor, but the power of HRs is apparent in these stat lines. Other than walks, it is the only place we have the batting advantage. HRs make up all the difference.
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Thus sprake Probability
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Can the defense also be offensive?
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Right, I remember the commentary about having a great double play defense, especially relative to our pitching. I've been tracking it this year, and I don't see it. For example, Colorado had 62 DPs coming into tonight while the Brewers had 37.
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I share your concern didn't want to speak it into existence.
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Did Urias have this throwing problem before we traded away Trent Grisham?
