Frelick' career numbers against RHP in MLB:
0.299 xwOBA, 84.8 EV, 25.3 HH%, 2.6 Barrel%, 31.6 LA-SwSp%, 102wRC+
Maybe I'm being too optimistic, but I totally think Lara has the ability to match that production from left side, and comfortably beats Frelick's numbers against LHP.
Though it should be noted that he also let the ball travels a little deeper this year, as his swing length sits at its lowest in recent years. Using the driveline formula for swing acceleration, his acceleration is slightly down this year, but nearly identical to 2024. I wonder if there's some intentional tradeoff element in it as well.
FanGraphs' Minor League Leaderboard is a great resource for minor league advanced stats. The only function I wish they could add is date range filter, so I add it in my own searching tool and here's a May recap for the entire org.
For pitchers, I ranked with FIP and for batters I ranked with age.
Pitcher:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1408cIqXAAz0Zjg9ucnBf-1rrQ6Uw7rKw15q5DYQSBdA/edit?gid=1117688835#gid=1117688835
Hitter:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1408cIqXAAz0Zjg9ucnBf-1rrQ6Uw7rKw15q5DYQSBdA/edit?gid=1368419143#gid=1368419143
*For ACL games without statcast(DSL as well), they fill in pitch by pitch result afterwards, so no need to worry about strikeout being three straight Swinging Strikes. Numbers on Whiff% / Swstr% etc are all accurate.
Fun nugget: Brewers offered over 400K to the opposing starting pitcher of ACL Padres Lan-Hong Su before he eventually signed with Padres(900K). And you can kind of see why. Projectable frame with a lively fastball. 7 whiffs in 11 swings
It's very nice to see all three have some positive trends.
Lara in March/April
Lara in May
Pratt in March/April
Pratt in May
Williams in March/April
Williams in May
After revisiting the data unfortunately stats from Goodyear Ballpark is probably not trustworthy, so EV shoud be taken with a grain of salt. Cause apparently Holden had a 104mph sinker today😂
Underling stats were slightly better than peripherals back in 2024.
Arsenals consist of cut-fastball, gyro slider and high spin curveball, likely some sinker as well. Did not throw changeup today. If I remembered correctly, he sits around 93-95 two years ago, so good to see him averaged 96.5 today even though it's short outing.
CH has less fade than I thought. Currently his slider and curveball kind of blend in together. Seems like a candidate for cutter addition, but obviously the main focus for now would be adding more velo.