Fear The Chorizo
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Everything posted by Fear The Chorizo
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So I guess now he's back in the camp of a top prospect again? It's now past the point of Brinson just needing time in MLB to adjust - he's proving to be a MLB disappointment that is taking up a majority of his pre-arbitration years of cheap team control by being really bad at the game's highest level. This trade will live on forever and be used as fodder in response to negative reactions to trades from prospect huggers.
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Reading through the first 5 or 6 pages of this thread where the initial reactions were posted is a special kind of entertainment, particularly with it appearing more certain by the day that the brewers acquired a generational talent for what amounts to a couple Broxtons, a 2b who might turn into a good mlb player if he is allowed to develop another 5 years in the minors, and a pitcher that has "upside" simply because when compared to the other prospects in this trade he better be great - even though my opinion of yamamoto is he hasn't been a prospect long enough for everyone to realize he's just a guy.
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yes, with today's off day I had to look at how the former Brewer farmhands are doing that were shipped to Miami for Yelich...godawful starts across the board, with Yamamoto still yet to pitch. Too early to draw conclusions, but safe to say Marlins' brass is probably wishing for improvement quickly. When you really stop to think that both Harrison and Diaz would've had to find their way onto Milwaukee's 40 man roster at some point before being subject to next year's Rule 5 draft, their value to the Brewers' organization probably looks alot smaller considering the pile of OF options, what appears to be a sustained opportunity for Villar to play 2B alot, and Hiura likely being their choice for 2B of the future - particularly when the Brewers were adding two MLB OFers to their roster for the next 5 years (1 in Yelich as part of the trade, the other with the pending Cain signing that was in the works as this trade came together).
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If you're into the show/movie format involving drugs and a main character narrative as things unfold (ala Blow, Goodfellas), then Narcos is a great show. First two seasons focus on Pablo Escobar, while Season 3 centers around the Cali cartel following Escobar's death. I'm pretty sure they were working on filming a 4th season centered around Mexican cartels, but a location scout was actually killed looking for sites in Mexico that delayed filming/release of that season. I think it's still coming, though. I also really enjoyed Ozark, but after how season 1 ended I struggle to see how a 2nd season could keep things within the realm of being realistic and keep the main characters all aboveground.
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Not only this, but we have 5 years of Yelich after coming off two .800+ OPS seasons in a pitchers' park, rather than 6 years of Brinson starting with the inevitable growing pains of figuring out major league pitching and MAYBE becoming a Yelich-level player for the last 3-4 years of his team control. This is 100% why I'm ok with losing Brinson in this deal. Plus, you open up 40 man roster space that would've inevitably had to go to Harrison and Diaz this season and likely Yamamoto after next season - talented prospects who aren't ready for the majors for at least another 2-3 seasons. It's the same type of trade the Astros made with the Brewers when they acquired Gomez and Fiers - they sent out talented prospects, obviously, but they weren't near ready to contribute at the MLB level for them and were likely to be part of a very crowded 40man roster problem, because their management at the time (including Stearns, btw) figured younger players in their organization were going to start crowding prospects out. Unless Yelich suffers a career-derailing injury, we get basically all his prime years at a nice price, whereas the Astros got a gimpy Gomez and over-his-head performing Fiers for a couple.
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this offseason has dragged on so slowly that teams eyeing Santana in a potential trade aren't going to suddenly jump ship or ask for more Brewer prospects to finish the deal because of yesterday's acquisitions in Milwaukee. It's very likely that any Santana trade agreed to in principal between GM's hinged on both the Yelich deal and even moreso the Cain signing. Since Cain's signing won't be official until today, I believe, a Santana trade couldn't happen 1st. I'm intrigued by the idea of a Santana, Cain, Yelich OF with Braun at 1st if and only if another FA starting pitcher gets signed. Otherwise, I'd rather use Santana in a trade to acquire a starter in hopes that Braun puts together a reasonably healthy season in left. I think Cleveland's a better fit than Tampa based more on Santana headed towards arbitration already after 2018. An Archer trade probably would require pitching prospects headed to Tampa in addition to Santana, and I think we all know who that would be. Cleveland has some SP depth and they are obviously in a position to win now - so they'd be more willing to bolster a hole in the MLB lineup and worry about Santana's increasing cost later without having to get pitching prospects as part of a deal, especially if the Brewers take back Salazar/Kipnis as part of a potential trade.
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To bad Ray didn't pan out so either he was a gem still in the system or included in this trade, allowing us to keep Harrison or Brinson. I'm going to give Ray at least one more MiLB season before saying a 5th overall draft pick didn't pan out. Yes, he's been disappointing thus far...but the talent is still there to drastically improve on-field results. This trade essentially swings the door wide open for him to play everyday at whatever level he needs to be at and progress towards MLB. Harrison basically broke out in the AFL, but has still been inconsistent at best - yes, his ceiling is sky high, but I'd like to see him do it in the minor leagues 1-2 more seasons before feeling confident he could realize that potential. I'm sure the Brewers could've found a way to make it work, but he was going to need to be protected on their 40 man this year clearly before he was ready to contribute in Milwaukee. To me, the main thing that could hold Brinson back is injuries - and from the Brewers' perspective he profiled as a player they would have needed to be very patient with to allow him to adjust to the majors. I think he'll have a nice MLB career, but it's not like we didn't get an already great player in return for him - and Yelich will be a Brewer basically as long as Brinson will be a Marlin before he reaches free agency.
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Lists discussing no upcoming 40 man roster crunch fail to include guys like burnes and hiura, or some other very young prospects who will force their way towards mlb quickly if injuries don't derail them. This trade reminds me of what Houston did to stay ahead of their own 40 man issues before some of their older prospects got crunched out. This trade clears 3 players from that 40 man issue (diaz, brinson, and harrison), and replaces them with 5 years of a great all around outfielder in his prime at a bargain price. It's a great trade unless you overvalue prospects and don't realize that the brewers minor league cup board is far from bare.
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Love this move, as burnes and hiura are still brewers, and yelich fills key of spot for the next 5 seasons at a good price. The brewers gave up some prospects that are boom/bust potential, and I wish them well in miami. Truth is that if any of the players dealt wind up being as good as yelich in their mlb careers, it will be a surprise, and this trade is for 5 years of yelich, not 1 or 2!