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rotoherb

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Everything posted by rotoherb

  1. rotoherb
    Believe it or not, Gomez actually has the third highest WAR on the Brewers right now, just behind Fielder and Braun. It's almost all from his defense, but his offense for a centerfielder isn't much below average. It's hard for me to believe that he'll keep it up for a full season, though, but I'm at a point where I don't think "who plays CF next year" is as big of a concern as "who plays SS next year". Gindl has been playing CF everyday at Triple-A and is hitting .273/.377/.455 and won't turn 23 until September. I'm guessing he's playing CF out of need and not because he's good at it. Does anyone know firsthand how he's doing? Is it brutal or passable? It seems to me that the Brewers front office really, REALLY wants Logan Schafer to be the next starting fielder. We've already heard them say that his defense is major league ready and he just needs some more experience at the plate. The fact that he was going to open the year at Triple-A says to me that they will give him a realistic opportunity next season.
  2. rotoherb
    Why are people acting like this is the first time Gallardo has been through a stretch like this? Here are some past six game stretches: 2010: 6 starts, 33.2 IP, 40 hits, 15 BB, 7.75 ERA 2009: 6 starts, 34.1 IP, 32 hits, 19 BB 5.24 ERA 2007: 6 starts, 31.0 IP, 42 hits, 10 BB, 7.55 ERA He still finished with an ERA under 4 in both 2010 and 2009. Maybe everyone is just overreacting because this stretch is early in the season and the others were later in the season?
  3. rotoherb
    First off, I love the deal. Convert the starts from Suppan, Parra, Estrada, and Davis to Marcum and the Brewers improved their team by a minimum 4-5 wins overnight. There is no doubt that the Brewers are a better team now than they were last season. Also, while it's possible, I doubt that the trade is simply Marcum for Lawrie. There's likely to be other players involved on both sides. I also think it's pretty safe to say that Fielder is not going anywhere this offseason.
  4. rotoherb
    The reality is that none of us know how he was pitching at Brevard County because we didn't see him pitch, and ten innings of stats isn't going to tell us anything. It's quite possible that he's still throwing 99 MPH has shown the stuff to move to Double-A. We really don't know what went on during the game where he walked four in 1.1 innings or his outing where he allowed five hits and three runs because we weren't there to see it. A scout at the game may come away with an entirely different picture than we get from looking at a box score. Then again, maybe he isn't ready for Double-A and this will be a debacle. My point is that making a statement either way after 10 innings at A+ without seeing the guy pitch is dubious at best. I'd go with the scouting report over what he actually did when we're talking about 10 innings.
  5. rotoherb
    Dunn will be 31 at the start of next season while Fielder will still be 26. 4.5 years is a big difference in age. Would you rather be paying for Dunn at 34 or Fielder at 29? The fact that Fielder doesn't turn 27 until next May is going to go a long way in getting him the contract that he wants.
  6. rotoherb
    Sabean once traded Francisco Liriano, Joe Nathan and Boof Bonser to the Twins for one season of A. J. Pierzynski. No GM is immune from making a bad deal. People also need to remember that any deal is very unlikely to be a one for one swap. While Bumgarner for Hart may seem out of place, it's possible that an agreement could be made around various players from both teams. The Brewers may even kick in money to even the salary differences or send a hitting prospect along with Hart. In any case, I'd be shocked if a deal involving Hart ended up being a one for one trade.
  7. rotoherb
    The current $33 million bullpen with a 5.38 ERA would beg to differ.
  8. rotoherb
    Hoffman gave up seven home runs over a 27 inning span in early 2008, so that part isn't unprecedented for him. The problem is that he struck out 30 over that span in 2008, while he's not missing as many bats this year. Balls in play is not a good thing when you throw 85 MPH.
  9. rotoherb
    I'll date myself by saying the ATM and/or debit cards.
  10. rotoherb
    it says that the pitcher was on deck and Hart is the only right-handed hitter on the bench. If Hart hits for Edmonds then you have to use another pinch hitter, who would be left-handed anyway, for the pitcher. You lose one of your pinch hitters and a left-handed batter has to hit anyway.
  11. rotoherb
    Melvin is going to continue to say that he hasn't made his mind up about the starting SS for next season because telling everyone that he's going to trade Hardy isn't going to help get the most in return. This move virtually guarantees that Escobar will be the starting SS next season and Hardy will be traded.
  12. rotoherb
    I don't think it's desperation. Desperation is trying to sign a bunch of veterans to salvage this season. This looks more like a wake up call with an eye towards next season. The only thing I really question is sending Hardy to Triple-A. I'm not sure that I see how it helps the team in the short or long term to have him there.
  13. rotoherb
    I agree with endaround, I'd rather score a lot of runs in any way than be consistently bad. The offense isn't the problem, it's almost entirely the pitching. The Brewers have already lost 13 games this season where they scored 5 or more runs, which is the same number of times they lost all of last season. They've scored 500 runs in the first 107 games this season compared to 499 last season and I'm guessing the offense wasn't any more consistent last year. They were 60-47 at this point last year and I don't think an inconsistent offense is to blame for being seven games worse. The Brewers have a 5.63 ERA since June 1st. I don't care how consistent your offense is, you are going to stink with that kind of pitching.
  14. rotoherb
    Jason Knapp is 18 and throws 98 MPH. His ceiling is much more than a number three starter. Now, he's still very young and has had some injuries, but his potential is much, much more than a #3 starter.
  15. rotoherb
    I'm going to call my shot right now... Hardy will get traded in the offseason to the Orioles in a deal for one of their young pitchers, not a top tier guy, but a young starter, probably something similar to the Overbay/Bush deal. The Orioles are desperate for a SS, have a plethora of young starting pitching, and have the ability to resign JJ if they wanted.
  16. rotoherb
    Wallace has only been in the Cardinals system for one year and is already in AAA. He will only be 23 yrs old after this season so he has a lot of time yet before he reaches his peak. Wallace is in the same tier as Gamel in terms of being a prospect. Wallace also has a very nice OPS of 769 and had an OPS of 840 in AA this year it is safe to assume that Wallace will develop some power more power and his slugging will increase. Barton is a year older than Wallace also.Barton also hit .293/..389/.438 at AAA at the age of 21 in 2007, a full year younger than Wallace is right now. My point is that a 22 or 23-year-old first baseman slugging .450 at AAA isn't all that great, and it's not much different than what the A's currently have. If he can't handle playing third base then he's most like an average major leaguer offensively at that position. Just curious, but why is it safe to say that Wallace will develop more power? He turns 23 in a month and I haven't seen any scouting reports on him that say he's more than a 15-20 HR guy.
  17. rotoherb
    Wallace is a good player, but if he can't handle third base, and it appears that the Cardinals don't think he can, then he'll have to play first base. A firstbaseman with a .450 SLG pct doesn't really excite me much. Daric Barton is just a year older than Wallace and as far as firstbasemen go, their production is quite similar. Wallace at AAA this season: .293/.346/.423 Barton at AAA this season: .261/.386/.458 The funny part is that both guys were traded from St. Louis to Oakland. The A's really better hope that he can play a respectable third base for a number of years.
  18. rotoherb
    How do you figure this? I think he's fine, but there is no way he's that good. What's his signature move? His signature move is taking over a team that had just went 56-106, hadn't finished above .500 in a decade and turned them into a perennial playoff contender within five years. Before that he took over a Texas team that had never made the playoffs in their history and took them there three times, winning 90 and 95 games in two of the seasons. I don't think Melvin is perfect, but the guy has a fairly large track record at running successful baseball teams. Whether he's top 5 or top 10 or whatever is irrelevant. What matters is that he's a very good GM and there are a TON of people out there not only doing a worse job right now, but have done a worse job in the past.
  19. rotoherb
    What in the world would makes you think that "chances are" he'd demand a trade after the season? He's never indicated at all that he would do that if traded. It's possible, but it's way more unlikely than likely. On top of that, I'm sure that Melvin and Co. would find out from him or his agent how likely that scenario would be before trading for him. Again, the reason why Melvin is looking at guys like Lee and Halladay is as much for next season than this season. If he doesn't think that Halladay will stick around then he's not going to trade for him.
  20. rotoherb
    Trading for Cliff Lee or Halladay would be playing for next season. Whether the Brewers trade for a starting pitcher now or during the offseason doesn't make much difference, since they will almost certainly have to do it in order to have a better rotation next year. Melvin needs to weigh the price for one of those pitchers with what is expected to be available in the offseason. He may determine that the price for getting one of those guys now, along with the certainty of getting them for next season, is worthwhile. If not then he'll wait until the offseason and try to find a trade partner.
  21. rotoherb
    It's a valid question, but I think the "is Braun hurt" question is going to come up every time he slumps from now on. I remember the exact same question being asked in April after he started the season by hitting .222/.340/.356 during the first two weeks. Then he went on a tear and even though it turns out he actually was hurt, no one cared. I wouldn't doubt if he's dealt with his rib/back injury for the entire season, since he basically said something to that effect back in May. He's really only been abysmal over the last 11 games, but to me the more disconcerting part is the over-aggressiveness at the plate that he's shown lately. Who knows, maybe his injury has flared up more now, but I would have hoped that he would have had the sense to skip the All-Star game if that was the case so he could get a few days of rest.
  22. rotoherb
    Let me just say that these were some scouts talking at a game, which may or may not mean anything. I can attest for sure that what was written was actually said during their conversations, I have no ability to know whether the guys doing the talking had any real knowledge other than being scouts. It may just be a level or two up from four guys at the end of the bar for all I know.
  23. rotoherb
    Just thought that I'd post this here to stoke the fire a bit. Bernie Pleskoff is a former scout who writes a minor league column for us (rotowire.com), but he wrote a blog post about being at the Diamondbacks game last night and talking to some scouts who were there. Apparently word among the scouts at the game is that the Brewers and Angels have shown the most interest in Halladay. Now, this could just be some old scouts shooting the poop with each other, but sometimes where there's smoke, there's fire. If nothing else it's more fodder for disucssion. Blog Post
  24. rotoherb
    I could see them trading Escobar for Peavy because a trade is the only way that the Brewers can acquire a pitcher of Peavy's caliber for the next two/three seasons. They're never going to be able to do it through free agency because of the expense and they don't have anyone like that in the minors who will be ready that soon. The Brewers really only have about a 2 year window before guys like Hardy/Weeks/Fielder/Hart/Bush are all free agents. If they can get Peavy with Escobar then I'd say get him now. Who knows what starting pitchers would be available via a trade during the offseason. The Brewers will almost certainly have a playoff caliber team in 09/10 with the players that they have now, and especially if they add Jake Peavy. Who knows about 2011 and beyond because of all of the players they will likely lose to free agency or feel that they need to trade away. Melvin knows he has to get it done within the next few years. His plan may be to trade Escobar and hold on to Hardy through next season, allowing him to leave through free agency if they make another run at the playoffs.
  25. rotoherb
    I'm not sure if it's been mentioned here or not, but the Red Sox are basically the only team that would be interested in trading for Hardy during this season. None of the other contenders, outside of maybe Detroit, would be looking for a SS. It's not likely that the Red Sox are going to outbid themselves and I'm sure that Melvin knows he can get interest from more teams during the offseason. I'd say that the odds of Hardy being traded before the season is over are extremely low to non-existent.
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