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kramnoj

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Everything posted by kramnoj

  1. kramnoj
    I realize your point is general, but today Fielder paused to look at his hit, which might have cost him the time to be safe. Of course, being a leviathan doesn't help his speed either.
  2. kramnoj
    Disagree with your assessment of the last two years. Peripherals are useful, but don't tell the whole story. Peripherals were a reason that many thought that Bush would be better than Suppan this year. In 2006, Tavarez ERA+ was 106. It would probably be a stretch to call that good for a reliever, but it is around average, which would be an upgrade over some of the production we are getting. A 92 ERA+ with 2/3 of the season as a starter last year isn't what I would call horrible. It would be above replacement level. He should be a back of the bullpen guy here to provide depth. He's not going to save the team, and if he doesn't show that he is better than what we have, it is easy to cut him.
  3. kramnoj
    I love that he had a little league field in his backyard. One of my Little League teammates had an enclosed batting cage with a pitching machine.
  4. kramnoj
    I disklike Tavarez as well, but he did have a good run from 2002-2006. Even last year, he wasn't horrible. He certainly seems like he's worth a flier especially at league minimum and no cost of prospects.
  5. kramnoj
    My guess is that the Mariners won't think about it until the trading deadline. Looking at his career, he basically had one very good ERA+ out of the last 5 years, and even that year his peripherals weren't exciting. It's interesting, I don't think the Brewers would actually be in a position to trade for somebody unless their pitching improves, and if their pitching improves, I don't know if they will be looking for a league average pitcher.
  6. kramnoj
    How much do teams get for rentals? Obviously the team overpaid for Linebrink, so I guess you just need to find a team that is desperate and has talent to burn.
  7. kramnoj
    I don't think it's true that the Brewers won't be able to afford Sheets, it's just a question of how big and how long they are willing to go, and if Sheets wants to stay. Let's say a team offers Ben $20 million. The Brewers can afford that just by using Ben's current salary plus some of Gagne's money. The team should be able to afford arb increases with players they probably won't resign: Mota, Cameron, Turnbow (duh), maybe Kendall, plus the rest of Gagne's money.
  8. kramnoj
    How would you justify calling Soup's signing as horrible? He is a league average pitcher and he has a league average contract for a current FA. He's also one of the best 5 starters that the Brewers had last year, this year, and presumably next year as well.
  9. kramnoj
    If you're going to criticize Melvin for Vargas having one good start (he is 1-2), you should praise Melvin for Seth having a good start. Vargas at his best is a league average pitcher who has started 30 games once, and only pitched 167.7 innings in that season. At his worst, he is basically a replacement level pitcher who is now 30 years old and probably didn't have a future with the team. Melvin misjudged the market by giving Claudio a contract and not being able to trade him, but I don't think he made a bad decision in cutting him.
  10. kramnoj
    Has everyone forgotten Ben Sheets career with the Milwaukee Brewers? He has always been injury prone "Always" should be avoided, because in this case it isn't close to being true. Sheets has had weird injuries the last few years, but he has put together healthy seasons in the past.
  11. kramnoj
    So Tommy either lied on the radio or lied in his own blog. Actually, that's poor wording on my part. Someone had informed him of this report on this blog, and so Tom responded to it. I supposed I could have used "post" or "entry" to make my point clearer.
  12. kramnoj
    in 2005 Hall put together a good season while playing 3 positions. I wonder if Hall might be useful as sub for the rest of the year when he's not at 3B facing lefties. This year he's clearly in a funk, but generally I would prefer Hall against a righty than Counsell if Weeks or Hardy needs a day off.
  13. kramnoj
    If he does not like the fact that he is held to a higher standard and has greater credibility, then he should quit his job and become a blogger. Why would you think he doesn't like that? Haudricort on the D-List said that he had heard of this blog and wanted to respond to it, because it was making news in some circles. These blogs are new ground for the beat guys. They want to be current and active enough to give readers a reason to click there on a regular basis. They are going to make mistakes in how they use them because of that, but I would rather they error on the side of giving us more information.
  14. kramnoj
    It's always dangerous and Fun! to do anaylisis after the fact, but I wonder if Hall knew about the move during the game and it affected his play. That move where he cut off Hardy to get to the ball seemed like a guy desperate to prove he belongs on the field.
  15. kramnoj
    I was actually considering writing a futile email to the Brewers, showing why this should happen. I was composing it as I fell asleep last night, without knowing the move had been made! As great a move as this is for the Brewers and Branyan, I think it's equally as good for Gwynn. He needs to play everyday to develop, and he was rotting on the bench here. I do wonder what this is going to do to Hall. He's made every move the Brewers have asked him to, and I think it has messed with him. This is the right move to make this team better, but the Brewers owe Hall over $15 million after this year, and they need to find a way to make him productive or trade him to a team that can use him.
  16. kramnoj
    So just injury? I would think non production would be a factor too, but that's just my opinion. It's clear that Hall not producing isn't enough of a factor for the team to call up Branyan, as witnessed by Counsell getting games against right handers. Although the team isn't saying it, it basically appears that they want to have Gwynn on the roster rather than Branyan. Not sure why.
  17. kramnoj
    Why else would you sign Branyan? Replacement in case of injury to Hall. If Hall were to go down for the season, Branyan would be the best option for a starter, maybe in a platoon with Dillon.
  18. kramnoj
    Cots says that Fielder, Weeks and Hart wil enter arby next year. Once they hit arbitration, their desire to sign an extension decreases, so I'm not sure that a deal is likely. I'm pretty sure that Melvin said that they had looked at extending Gallardo, but obviously want him to come back before they negotiate that.
  19. kramnoj
    What is your viewpoint of above average production, and what is it based on? Branyan's career OPS+ is 107, where 100 would be average. In 2004-2006, his OPS+ were 115, 125, and 113. Even last year, his OPS+ was 96. That is below average, but would place him above the performance so far this year of Hall, as well as our MI and Kendall. It was also better than Hall last year, and would have put him behind only Dillon among bench players last year. BA has a lower correlation to runs than OBP or slugging and k's are overrated in terms of negative value. Also, what is your definition of a regular? Branyan played in over 100 games and had over 300 ABs each year in 2001 and 2002.
  20. kramnoj
    The guy has had numerous chances with multiple organizations and failed each time. You may be intentionally exaggerating, but this isn't close to a true statement. He has provided above average production for his career, and he was quite valuable from 2004-2006 in limited play.
  21. kramnoj
    It's not a full platoon. Headlines aren't written by the writers and shouldn't be taken as fact. The article says its an informal platoon, but doesn't elaborate on that. If the choice is Counsell or Hall starting against RH, right now I'm content with Counsell getting a few starts. His OBP is usually near average and he can provide good defense. But that's a different issue than why is Branyan tearing it up in AAA while Gwynn is developing sores from sitting on the bench in the majors. Gwynn may develop into a useful player, but he needs to be getting ABs in AAA to improve himself. His presence on the big league roster isn't helping anybody.
  22. kramnoj
    You said "He has a couple more games with HR and doubles and he is out OPSing Braun easily." I was giving you the benefit of the doubt by thinking it may have been true before the Boston series and you just hadn't checked the stats in a couple of days. I didn't say anything about who was more valuable, just pointing out that Braun does have a higher OPS than Fielder. Did you mean to write OBP when you wrote OPS?
  23. kramnoj
    Fielder has quietly put up a .372 OBP so far. He has a couple more games with HR and doubles and he is out OPSing Braun easily. That may have been true before the Boston series, but Braun has a higher OPS than Fielder now.
  24. kramnoj
    I think this should be emphasized as well, Branyan is hitting .355 right now to go with his .431 OBP and .645 slugging. He certainly won't maintain that, either at AAA or the majors, but he is smoking right now. I know that hot streaks aren't predictive, but I would much rather Branyan ride out his hot streak in Milwaukee than in Nashville.
  25. kramnoj
    I think some people are making assumptions about the Dh that aren't true. Most of the teams don't have a powerful DH. Here is the list of starters at DH for each team last year and their OPS+ Rays: Greg Norton 89 Orioles: Aubrey Huff 103 Blue Jays: Frank Thomas 125 Yankees: Giambi 108 Red Soz: Ortiz 171 Royals: Billy Butler 105 White Sox: Thome 150 Twins: Cirillo 91 Tigers: Sheffield 120 Indians: Hafner 118 Rangers: Sosa 102 As: Piazza 96 Mariners: Vidro 109 Angels: Hillenbrand 57 (talk about embarrassing) For comparison, Dillon last year was at 128, and has a career of 95. So there were only two starting DHs last year that had higher OPS+ than Dillons last year, and if we want the larger sample of Dillons career, he still would be better than the DHs of a few teams. The problem with the Boston series wasn't that they had the DH. The problem was that they were the World Champs and were a better team. Frankly, as depressing as the sweep was, I thought the Brewers made it fairly close, and with some better defensive play would have one 1 of 3.
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