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topper09er

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Everything posted by topper09er

  1. I think you are convinced statistics tell you things they do not. Baseball players are not random independent variables. I also made no prediction whatsoever about how long if ever it will take Weeks, KRod and Ax to turn it around. I did say that based on previous seasons we can still be optimistic they will turn it around. So I did take things into consideration beyond their dreadful current seasons. I am basically waiting for Ax to show he can throw his curve for a strike behind in the count, or Weeks can lay of the low-outside slider and or drive it to right field. When those things start to happen on a consistent basis things may turn around for us. I made prediction at all about when that will happen. I then said I really dont care about anyone's ZIPs because the only things I know to be true about ZIPs is that half the league outperforms it and half the league underperforms it and no one knows who is who.
  2. Hart is only 4 HRs off the NL lead, held by Braun and Beltran. Not bad.
  3. Right now we are deep enough in the season to stretch out the pitchers. We need to get rid of the starter go 7 - KRod - Ax mentality. We need to change it to starter goes as long as possible
  4. Weeks, since May 30th: 79 PA, .266/.392/.344/.736 You can argue that the old Weeks is still MIA (really high walk rate, little power) but that is actually really good production from a second basemen. Also, 68 games is a pretty small sample for anyone and a very small sample for reliever. I am not happy with Afxord's performance in his 27 innings this year but I trust his updated ZiPS projection (3.23 ERA) a lot more than just assuming he will continue to struggle. I dont care about sample size, we dont need anymore time to see things "even" for these guys. Axford is not sucking because of bad luck due to a high BABIP or HR/FB. He is sucking because he is cannot throw quality strikes with any of his pitches. He needs to fix this Same with Weeks, he is not going through a rough patch of line drive outs. He is striking out a ton and not driving the ball at all. What did Week's ZIPs say on May 1? I would guess it would not have him entering today hitting .184. Statistics predict the group, not the individual. Maybe all league-wide ZIPS end up being pretty good but I dont put much stock into it for any individual player. Half the players outperform their ZIPs and half underperform.
  5. Well the 3 biggest problems with the team, Weeks, KRod and Axford, are all past all-stars (counting Ax's 2011 as an all-star type season) so in that sense there is still hope things can get turned this season. In reality however, its been 68 games in and they 3 still look pretty terrible. My goal is .500 by the all-star break so lets start with a series win, especially with another journeyman type starter for the Jays.
  6. Closers are usually bad at holding runners, Ransom should probably look to steal now its 1-2, Im not holding out for a Green HR
  7. Rickie will 3TO this AB, Ill take a HR but a K would give him the league lead back from Hart
  8. Well I just learned a new fun word, thanks! The pictures on the first page of google are excellent as well
  9. Well now Ill take another, must be the first ever back-back-back HRs by the same players twice.
  10. Well now Ill take another, must be the first ever back-back-back HRs by the same players twice.
  11. bb-ref has one of those if you want to play with it http://www.baseball-reference.com/oracle/ Chain from Darren Oliver to Ryan Braun: Darren Oliver played with Francisco Cordero for the 2001 Texas Rangers Francisco Cordero played with Ryan Braun for the 2007 Milwaukee Brewers
  12. Well if we dont hit again, knock on wood, Hart and Weeks will share the NL strikeout lead tomorrow morning. Battle of the titans coming up, Ax vs Bautista
  13. Could have considered Green for Gomez there, Aoki to CF Hart to RF
  14. I think you actually can touch the runner in front you, just not "pass" him which is undefined in the rulebook.
  15. Well next time type that in here so we have it on the record.
  16. Lawrie should probably throw his helmet at the ump for that call 3-0 called strike
  17. How did that work out for Farrell? Not well. Id say a 4 pitch walk to Gomez before Braun means you dont have good enough stuff to face Braun and Farrell is watching the game and figured that out. It seems like RR does not have that ability. Its a tough spot to bring a guy in to face Ryan Braun with the bases loaded, 1 out and the tying run on 3rd. I have a feeling bad things would have happened if he stuck with the original guy also
  18. RRR outmanaged big time, he leaves his guy in who clearly is done and Farrell practically beats the ball back to the mound after a 4 pitch Gomez walk
  19. This myth that Gomez is a good bunter needs to stop, he is the worst bunter on the team of anyone who ever tries it. Obviously, he is a walking machine though
  20. We have a chance to tie the game with no hits, please get it done. Just pull the ball on the ground here Nori, you are pretty good at it, may even wind up a hit
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