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MrTPlush

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Everything posted by MrTPlush

  1. MrTPlush
    In the last two years he once failed to manage an OBP over .300 and once couldn't manage an average over .220. He may get to a mid .700s OPS again this year, which would be nice. This doesn't scream like a guy that is going to produce heavily into his 30s... especially when his defense starts sliding down a hill. You know who Adames is like? Carlos Gomez. Dude is exciting as heck to watch as a young athletic guy, but those types of fun dudes usually don't excel in their 30s. And the thing is, Adames defense nor his offense are honestly anywhere near peak Gomez.
  2. MrTPlush
    I do think they are pretty plug and play, yeah. Counsell went from a player to a manager and was competent. Though a lot of his success is due to Pat Murphy. It seemed pretty obvious Counsell leaned heavily on Murphy during games because Murphy was a little more experienced in that aspect. Give someone good players and a competent coaching staff around them, won’t matter much who the manager is.
  3. MrTPlush
    Let me put it a different way: Managers are basically just replacement level at best. There really isn’t anything unique and valuable to any one guy. You basically just need a guy to make a nice clubhouse environment and not be an idiot. I think many teams get caught up trying to find ‘that’ guy and make him be more than the figurehead they are.
  4. MrTPlush
    I don’t think there is anything complex about the Yelich trade. First off, I don’t think the extension should have any relevance. Secondly, 3/4 of the players have had a negative career WAR. Monte Harrison’s 0.1 is the only positive. Collectively it is something insane like over -7 WAR. Mind boggling insane and one of the most lopsided in baseball history for sure.
  5. MrTPlush
    Swanson is why I have zero interest in resigning Adames...and never have been. Basically, the same type of player. Pretty high-level defense paired an exciting at times offense. Dumb enough giving a superstar a massive contract well into his 30s...let alone guys like Swanson.
  6. MrTPlush
    Counsell leaves and it is about how special he is and the great loss. Brewers do fine without him and now we have to theorize all the reasons Counsell may have actually sucked. To think the players didn't respond well to him is a pretty big stretch. The players loved Counsell and many were pretty openly upset about him leaving. I think at some point, reality sets back in, and we realize managers are actually nearly worthless. This is the exact scenario I pondered happening and Counsell's "doing this for manager's" thing could actually backfire. If anything, he is proving they are worthless and paying them is pointless. Instead of increasing manager salaries in the long run, he is likely helping confirm they should be suppressed. No offense to Murphy, but Brewers fans were mad enough we went with him. If he had been an outside hire, the fanbase would have rioted hiring some random old bum with little to no managing experience. So, if he can apparently be good, why would you ever go out and pay a bunch of money for a manager?
  7. MrTPlush
    I miss those days, baseball was so much more enjoyable to watch.
  8. MrTPlush
    There would be no arguing because everyone would just blindly accept what the little box says. Much like everyone didn’t complain when there was no little box because it’s so close you couldn’t actually tell even if you wanted to. Robot umps would probably be more accurate and probably avoid the egregious calls…but I’m pretty confident it still wouldn’t be all that accurate. The strike zone is different for every single player and it is determined by their stance when ready to swing. How exactly is that box on the screen being determined? I saw a video yesterday that showed a strike call. One broadcast had it as a clear strike, one had it as a ball notably above the zone, MLB game-day seemed to called it a ball, and baseball savant had it as a strike. inside/outside of the plate should be pretty accurate…but high/low? Seems like a lot of room for error.
  9. MrTPlush
    Anti-Launch angle era.
  10. MrTPlush
    Risk / Reward I have mentioned it before, but Contreras pretty much has no reason to really chase an 'insurance' deal. He already has a good $10mil assured the next two years even if he somehow did something to miss the rest of this year and all of next year. We would pay him his arby salary next year to rehab and then still pay him the same to have him in 2026. His defense is good enough he will carve out a 10+ year career anyway and make tens of millions. I mean Manny Pina made $15mil in his career. The demand for a catcher with a pulse is really high. It isn't like he is an OFer and simply having a pulse isn't enough. The risk for a guy like say Frelick is literally not being on a MLB roster. Contreras is on an MLB roster even if he falls of a talent cliff. Nightmare situation he makes $15mil the next three years, best case is probably about $50mil. Locking in $30mil wouldn't be a terrible idea, but the motivation probably isn't all that high to do so. It isn't that uncommon to just buy out a guys arby years and be done with it though. You see it fairly often when a guy is entering the second to last year and the team just gives a 2 year deal. The Brewers did it with Prince Fielder.
  11. MrTPlush
    #1 So we can save money #2 So we can better balance out his salary versus a tax bill well over $20mil the last year. If we so chose to do. #3 Avoid awkward arbitration drama Contreras is having a pretty extreme amount of success before even hitting year one of arbitration. At least one Silver Slugger, at least one MVP vote finish, and probably two All Star appearances. His first arby salary is going to be pretty hefty and set him up for hefty raises. 7/14/22 or something probably wouldn't be hard to imagine if he continues to be a Silver Slugger type guy.
  12. MrTPlush
    That’s because 90% of managers are basically useless in the grand scheme.
  13. MrTPlush
    If Ross being fired by the Cubs ended his managerial career, then he wasn’t a very good manager to begin with.
  14. MrTPlush
    Chourio is brutal. Since a homer and two walks on April 20th: 1 XBH / 1 BB / 0 RBI / 1 multi-hit game A lot less K's is about the only consolation prize (especially in the last 10 games or so).
  15. MrTPlush
    Seems like a misleading angle. Hard to see where exactly his foot probably is on the right-handed side of the box. A lot of guys will stand on the line or even barely on it...which is technically allowed. I couldn't tell in the TV broadcast video of it.
  16. MrTPlush
    It was a 2-1 count, so that theory kind of goes out the window. Contreras sits so far forward and on that particular pitch was once again reaching so far forward trying to frame a slider on the outside edge. Play stupid games, win stupid prizes.
  17. MrTPlush
    You know, Bauer deserved that. Clearly was overmatched in the grand scheme…but battled till he nudged one in play.
  18. MrTPlush
    Realistically you have to hope they can hang around long enough for some younger guys to maybe break out. Chourio/Black…maybe Turang or Frelick actually breaks out for an extended time. The offense is what it is though. A ton of young guys with a lot of struggle to go around.
  19. MrTPlush
    Thanks to Chourio not trying to be a hero and catch that.
  20. MrTPlush
    Little league mistake, honestly.
  21. MrTPlush
    So lets assume the Brewers ran their team as terribly as the A's and their valuation grew by the same as the A's. This assuming that literally the only difference in their growth rates is purely because of the Brewers success and spending. Which is probably incredibly broken logic, but I will run with it. That would mean the Brewers would be worth $1.33bil instead. Starting in 2015 I added up their total amount spent on payroll compared to the A's. It would probably vary based on the source you use and the site I used didn't have end of season payrolls for some older seasons (something that would probably raise the Brewers number). The payroll difference through those years was about $280mil...so literally would be a total wash. This is totally ignoring the fact that $300mil all these years in your pocket is infinitely better than an extra $300mil in team valuation. Money you can't really access till you sell the team.
  22. MrTPlush
    In a vacuum, Umpires are incredibly accurate at calling balls/strikes. I doubt there is any correlation to call accuracy based on a batters size compared to the next one.
  23. MrTPlush
    Actually, basically none of it was. Spending money on a pro sport franchise's payroll is basically just flushing money down the drain. If it was about maximizing money Attanasio would run them like the A's or any of the other small markets under us. Team valuations will follow the league value and the value of other teams. Largely because the team can always be sold and moved pretty easily. Our fanbase could turn into the A's fanbase and the value of the team wouldn't really change at all. String together 5 90+ loss seasons...won't do anything. The A's couldn't have a worse stadium or fanbase...yet still worth over a billion dollars.
  24. MrTPlush
    No, they are exactly the same situation: Mikolas was ejected for throwing at a pitcher. Peralta was ejected for throwing at a pitcher. That’s it, the end of the story. MLB is going to suspend you if the umpire ejects you for throwing at a guy. Whether the umpire decided to do so when it wasn’t 100% obvious and instead 80% obvious isn’t going to matter. They are almost surely not going to reduce Peralta’s suspension because it is intentionally that length to force him to miss a start (actually be punished from a playing standpoint, not purely monetary).
  25. MrTPlush
    He definitely watched Siri…I guess the definition of stare down may be questionable. I don’t have extensive research, but I don’t think a guys foot is notably going to change while try to hit someone. That line of thinking is probably how a guy ends up throwing it 10 feet behind a guy when they try to hit them. I mean, sure, maybe Peralta’s command just magically dissipated when the guy that showboated a HR came back up to bat. That would be quiiite a coincidence. Peralta’s reaction when hitting Siri and lack of reaction when getting ejected is probably pretty telling. I pulled up his HBPs since 2021. Ignoring the ones that aren’t obvious if foul ball or HBP he almost always visually reacts, usually hopping in frustration and sometimes even turning his back to home. Actually, we even have an example from the same game. He was pretty upset hitting a guy just an inning prior. But thus, it wasn’t blatantly obvious. Nor did Siri seem to care. Why the umpire had to make something of it is odd regardless
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