*casually looking for where I said that*
Also we are talking about future years, not the 2026 Brewers.
Feel free to look up my post history. You will see where I said before the postseason ever started, “The Brewers don’t need to be one of the top HR teams in the regular season, they just need to pretend they are one of those kind of teams for about 19 games”
Guess who leads the postseason for home runs as a team? Any team can catch lightning in a bottle and have a short power surge. However, who is more likely to do that in a more macro sense year over year? The 2nd worst team for HRs or one that is Top 10? How often will a low power team out homer their opponent in the postseason 3+ series? Especially when the opposing team will typically have notably more power on paper? How many times have two bottom half power teams met in the World Series?
HRs matter and we don’t hit many of them…and it may be worse in the coming years. That is a big flaw for postseason success. I’m going to go out on a limb and say we probably aren’t going to magically become a homerun mashing team in October every year.
Could a true Brewer-ball low HR output team make the World Series? Possibly, I think this years team could have probably gotten there even if we subtracted off a few homers, but so many of those homers were massive momentum swings in games. A lot of them solo in nature too.
That lack of power is going to make postseason success tough in future years, doesn’t mean it is impossible, but it will always be big hurdle to overcome and once again may depend on some uncharacteristic power output. I don’t think there is anything crazy about that take.