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Humans Need Water

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  1. I firmly believe BF WAR is much more realistic than Fangraphs. That said, Braun has posted a 3.8+ bWAR annually his entire career except 2yrs (I'm not counting his ROY season nor his suspension season given he posted 2.1 in only 61 games). 2014 posted 1 WAR playing with nerve damage in thumb all season (cryotherapy after season) 2017 posted 1.2 WAR in an injury plagued season that aren't permanent concerns moving forward 2015 posted 3.8 and 2016 posted 4.4 - this past season he also had a BABIP 30-34pts lower than his previous 2yrs combined with having the highest hard contact rate of career. Both showing he was unlucky to a certain extent. The past 3yrs he's posted 75M worth of value and was paid 53M. On his current contract, the past 2yrs he's posted 45M of value and was paid 40M. Doesn't seem overpaid. And since nobody knows the exact production he'll post the next 3yrs I have no idea how anyone can say he's already overpaid moving forward. He only needs to post 6.9 WAR the next 3yrs to equal his contract value - that's 2.3 annually. His history shows that if he's anywhere in the vicinity of 550 PA he'll do that with absolute ease. Speaking of PAs - Cain is 2.5yrs younger than Braun and only has 48 more PAs over the past 4yrs. Wonder if people have concerns about him being injured over the next 5yrs like they do with Braun... Attanasio is wealthy. The franchise is valued at almost 4x what he paid for it. He's gone to a 110M payroll previously and can easily go to 120-130M for several years if Stearns can land the "final pieces to the puzzle" type player(s) moving forward. He's not saying no to an additional 10-20M annually for a small window if it potentially puts a ring on his finger. Regarding the trade, everyone knows Yelich is a quality player. He needs to be in LF to maximize his skill set and value with Cain in CF and that appears to be the case. We gave up a lot of talent but we're getting a proven MLB player for 5yrs for essentially Brinson and Diaz + 2 other guys I don't see being quality starters. I say that because I firmly believe Harrison is highly overrated and it was great to sell high on him. Yamamoto is what he is - he's put together a solid track record and has flown under the radar but you can live with parting with him. You know what you're getting with Yelich for 5yrs whereas it might take a bit for Brinson to reach his full potential, which I think can be better than Yelich overall as he can be a plus defender in CF with a plus arm whereas Yelich was average there. And given Adam Eaton is a good comp for Yelich we gave up what we should have expected to give up while being fortunate to still have our top 3 prospect arms.
  2. *Assuming* the reasons for job changes will cause you to lose great candidates - if they look good on paper then always speak with them. Every decision maker can carve out 20-30min to learn about that person and their experience, including reasons for job changes (or have HR or a recruiter feel them out first). Spending 2-3yrs at a company has already started to become common place for a variety of reasons, including people chasing the dollar. And if it's taking 2-3yrs to get trained and understand how your company works then your company has issues...
  3. Loyalty is for fools especially in the corporate world. It is very common for people to jump from job to job in the corporate world especially for people under the senior level management. For the banking industry if you want to get paid but don't want to climb the corporate ladder jumping from one bank to the next is actually a very good move financially. For example the current company I work for if I want a real raise I will need to leave and then come back otherwise just moving up is a "lateral move" according to HR. So no pay increase and if you do get a pay increase it is less than what they would pay someone outside of the bank. So where does loyalty get you in corporate America? The answer is absolutely no where. Working for an employer that values its employees and their development will change your opinion. Or maybe find an employer that provides an opportunity for vertical growth and doesn't require an external jump. And until you get to a certain level, comp increase for an internal promotion (vertical or otherwise) will typically be less than that seen by an external candidate.
  4. Bloodsport is an all-time great. Good call on that one
  5. Garden State bored me to tears. But speaking of documentaries, Don't Stop Believin': Everyman's Journey is really worth seeing. Its the story of how they found Filipino Arnel Pineda to be their next lead singer. Very impressive and entertaining story. I can definitely see how someone can be bored by Garden State. It's one of those movies that's perfect for watching on a lazy Sunday afternoon laying on the couch. Others that come to mind for that are Lucas, Can't Buy Me Love, Sixteen Candles, Breakfast Club, 10 Things I Hate About You, Clueless, Mean Girls, Election. One of my all time favorites is Teen Wolf. Can't believe I forgot that before
  6. Fast Times is awesome
  7. Super Troopers is one of my favorite movies. One of my favorite recent documentaries is Straight Outta Compton. Not everyone is going to like it because it is about gangster rap but the story is very much the American dream going from having nothing to having basically everything. NWA is one of my favorite groups - their greatest hits album is one of my all-time favorites along with MJ.
  8. I watched Sing Street after seeing this thread. I thought it was next to awful. The music was solid and the big brother had some good lines but the rest of it was insanely boring. La La Land absolutely destroys this movie. Someone above mentioned That Thing You Do - good movie. Hidden gems - The Hollywood Knights, High Fidelity, Super Troopers, Adventures in Babysitting (87), The Monster Squad, Dazed and Confused, Garden State, Stir of Echoes. There's so many. Documentaries usually get overlooked by people in general but there's an absurd amount of excellent one's to see - Dear Zachary, Waiting for Superman, Enron: Smartest Guys in the Room, The Invisible War, The Hunting Ground, Senna, Chasing Ice, Paradise Lost (trilogy on West Memphis Three - awesome), SOMM (and SOMM: Into the Bottle), What Happened to Aunt Diane, Jiro Dreams of Sushi and The Thin Blue Line just to name more than a few
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