coolhandluke121
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Everything posted by coolhandluke121
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No. Go away.
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Eh, not a terrible take on the trade, but leaving Aguilar out looked awful for a while. Still not sold on him though. The best stuff in this thread is HighHeat acting like an insider.
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That wasn't meant as a call out, that was meant as a "Holy crap, he has a shot at a triple crown!" No one could have expected a week or 2 ago, that he'd be in the conversation for a triple crown... Far from a call out, more so a post in amazement, and enjoyment, as stated. Yeah but people are doing so much of that bumping stuff in an obnoxious way that it's hard to give anyone the benefit of the doubt any more.
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I agree. Incredibly obnoxious, especially when everyone should just be happy about such an incredible run. By the way, your numbers are way off. His SLG alone is 1.500 for the last 7 games. His OPS is over 2.100.
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What does that have to do with the Yelich trade? What else is Stearns gonna do for an encore? He acquired the current two most valuable players in the NL last year. Gotta figure Scherzer and DeGrom are next.
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Yelich has definitely surpassed Baez. Great SLG does not compensate for a bad OBP, and all the talk about his versatility is overplayed. Yelich can move over to a premium defensive position and be a mediocre defender there just like Baez. Baez playing great 2B defense is no better than Yelich's LF defense. It does not translate to CF, but Baez's 2B defense doesn't really translate to SS very impressively either. I still think Cain is my leader, but I can't stick to my guns much longer at this rate. You don't have to be a slugger to be MVP if you're the best leadoff man in baseball. His OBP has basically been .400 all year and he plays premium CF defense. A lot of teams are just hoping for bonus offense if they have a premiere defender at CF, SS, or C, and the Brewers are getting a .400 OBP. It's ludicrously valuable. For all the talk of Yelich being hot at the right time, that's just narrative - not value. I think Cain's consistency has probably been more valuable. He has basically been the NL leader in WAR for position players literally since day 1 by some measures.
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I think that is a fair assumption though, isn't it? If you play in a park that doesn't cater to LH power, why would you go up there and try to hit flyballs? Yeah, that's what I meant. Lots of guys have changed their launch angle recently. It's not like hitting against the shift. It seems to be a pretty simple adjustment.
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I remember that, and it was true in the first half. I still think the evidence supported an inevitable power surge though. It may have taken a little longer than expected, but regression to the mean was going to work in our favor eventually in this instance.
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True, but it's good to learn from mistakes too. A lot of analytics had Yelich pegged for a power surge at Miller Park, and they provided a lot of evidence. Just another variable to make sure everyone is considering when they're evaluating a player. To me, there were three major issues. One was Brinson having a ton of red flags. Another was people not realizing the significance of Yelich's age; it's like the luster had worn off after several years of non-superstardom, despite him being every bit as good as advertised and not yet in his prime. The third was just the value of an excellent all-around player, even if he never hit more than 21 HR's before. All those things should not be overlooked the next time the Brewers make a move like trading for Yelich - or pass up on a chance to get an overrated anti-Yelich type.
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Yeah but he needed that one day off...
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When a guy hits that many ground balls and is still on pace for nearly 3,000 hits after this many years in the majors, you probably have to dig a little deeper into the batted ball stats. He has a great swing, hits to all fields, hits LHP's well, and seemingly hits grounders a little harder than average. He seems to have excellent command of his bat and I think he's a sustainable ~.300 hitter despite his high GB%. Big difference between a professional slap/spray hitter from the old school like him and an RHB who grounds out to SS every other time he comes to the plate.
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I wouldn't give him today's equivalent of Braun's contract adjusted for salary inflation, but I would definitely give him 5/$100 and would go a little higher to lock him up. One thing about Braun is that his power hitting on a relatively small frame must have taken a toll on his body. He was generating a lot of force with every swing, and while his muscles could handle it (dude was absolutely jacked in his prime), his joints couldn't. I could see Yelich aging better and pushing 3,000 hits.
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I think we heard more details than just that. Cain just set career bests in games played, bb%, k%, and OBP. All those things would be very rare if there was any decline in athleticism or reflexes. It was his 3rd-best season for sb's and 2nd-best for sb/cs ratio (26:2), the best being a 10:0 ratio in a partial season. They said they studied video evidence and saw that his speed in CF was as good as ever. Simply put, he's still in his physical prime despite his age, and he's a lot more athletic than most players are at 27. So while it is true that they usually avoid 30-somethings on big contracts, they clearly did their homework. There was a ton of oversimplification happening in Cain debates, and it was pretty frustrating trying to explain why that was a good move even at his age, and even if they don't follow it up with other, more impulsive "win-now" moves. At this point, it's nice to let his performance speak for itself. ETA: Not to mention all the player comps like Cameron and Victorino, who did pretty well until their mid-30's.
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Just to be clear, are some of you suggesting that the Brewers actually have to pay Braun, and that the $20m they're paying him is $20m less they can spend on other ways to improve the team? If so, I'd like you to cite your sources, because it sure sounds like one of those convoluted financial scams that anyone can make up because it's so complicated that people won't even bother to double-check.
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I guess if there were going to do something like this, you just cross your fingers and hope they get good value even if you don't agree with the vision. I'm confident they did that, as I believe Yelich will have more value at this time next year and the prospect package the Brewers gave will have less. At least this is probably reversible if it doesn't work out. I love Yelich's contract, age, and all-around game, and I believe he will put up big numbers at Miller Park. Isn't Miami known for being harder on LHB's? Not sure they can compete even with Yelich and Cain, but I do appreciate the fact that they're targeting much better all-around players. I think there are some intangibles you get from good base-running and patience at the plate and defensive versatility that still aren't fully captured by analytics, such as being able to do different switches and maybe carry 13 pitchers. I probably wouldn't have done this, but I love this roster make-up and will thoroughly enjoy watching them next year. Hopefully this means Braun to 1b and some rf. Pina/Vogt Thames/Braun Villar/Sogard Arcia/Sogard Shaw/Perez Yelich/Perez Cain/Phillips Phillips/Braun Santana for prospects or a sp?