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True Blue Brew Crew

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Everything posted by True Blue Brew Crew

  1. True Blue Brew Crew
    I would cringe at having to use Cabrera for long stretches at SS yet teams have played him there for 73% of his career. At 2b away from NYM and PHI he's been a plus defender. The bottom line is these defensive numbers are skewed so heavily by players being misaligned and misused by the teams they get stuck playing with. A player who can hold up at multiple positions and give you the reverse splits opposite your other bats is very valuable. It saves you a roster spot if you're a matchup team. And the Brewers are about as much of a matchup team as it gets. Cabrera will give a good bat and surprise people defensively if he becomes a Brewer. I'd love to see his defensive metrics at the end of 2019 if he does.
  2. True Blue Brew Crew
    Cabrera isn't a match because of his amazing defense, the Brewers would make him a serviceable defender. It's positional flexibility and because his bat matches the needs to combat their current IF bat deficiencies. He's a switch-hitter without dramatic splits. They definitely can use him to spell Shaw vs tough LHPs and he can still hold up against RHP when Hiura and Arcia need a day off. How any potential free agent potentially covers for the current IF's bad splits is a huge factor in who to target.
  3. True Blue Brew Crew
    I'd be happy with Gonzalez as well, just don't think he's as obtainable as Cabrera. Both are good fits. Gonzalez imo, is less likely to depart his 2018 team, will be in higher demand, and will cost more.
  4. True Blue Brew Crew
    There isn't a reliably accurate one yet. The most important factor in playing defense is positioning and that comes down to which teams have the best read on data combined with the way they pitch the batter. Some teams excel at one but not at both. And some teams excel at neither, cough Mets, Orioles, Phillies, cough. It's not as simple as looking at spray charts. Your pitchers have to locate their pitches as well. You can't have your whole defense shift for the batter to pull and then have the pitcher throwing his cutter tailing away. If I'm going to trust that I'll have my defenders in the best spot, then I'd probably start prioritizing the guys with the most accurate throwing arms.
  5. True Blue Brew Crew
    I'll tell anyone right now, the Brewers could make even Daniel Murphy look decent statistically at 2B. It's exactly what they pulled off with Shaw.
  6. True Blue Brew Crew
    And That, you're just about the last person who I would expect to post DRS numbers and correlate it to the player being an individually bad glove. I'm literally shocked. How can their numbers be good, if they play for a team that has no clue how to line up their defenders? It's like watching people be de-educated and then seeing some of them inevitably eat it right up.
  7. True Blue Brew Crew
    Again, DRS is drastically affected by the team the player plays for. If your team is terrible at positioning, your DRS numbers will not be positive. The Brewers were ranked 2nd in MLB in DRS. Do people here think it's because their players turned into gold glovers overnight? Players on the Mets, Orioles, and Phillies are going to have bad DRS numbers no matter how good their gloves are because those teams are terrible at defensive positioning. The Brewers are one of the best. Repeat, the Orioles made Manny Machado a butcher defensively while the Dodgers made him a stud defensively. Put a Brewer on the Mets or Orioles and their DRS numbers will be terrible. Take a player from the Mets or Orioles and they'll suddenly look strong. Travis Shaw has next to no range but held up at 2B because he was positioned well. Put him on a team like the Mets and have him play 2B and it would be a circus.
  8. True Blue Brew Crew
    No one should be forgetting that the #1 criteria for the person to man 2b until Hiura is ready is likely "positional flexibility". Even if they sign a guy to a 1 year deal, they're going to want it to be someone they can move around when Hiura arrives around June 1. That's why the all over the field types should be everyone's first guesses. CC likes everyone to get ABs, likes to protect hitters against tough matchups, and needs a roster of players with positional flexibility to do it. Come June when Hiura joins Shaw, Arcia, and Aguilar as your most common starting IFs, you want them supplemented with a player(s) who can cover the most spots. Someone like a Cabrera or Gonzalez makes it so much easier to carry an extra pitcher. And carrying as many pitchers as possible is extremely important when you want to limit their exposure to lineups multiple times through. An all over the field player helps you protect Shaw, Arcia, Hiura, Aguilar from bad splits and helps you carry that extra pitcher.
  9. True Blue Brew Crew
    Adding up everything I've heard, a team threw stupid money at a guy they looked at from afar as a magician like many of us fans did. DJ is someone the Brewers would have been happy to bring back no doubt. But he's not irreplaceable. Irreplaceable is when you sign a blank check. Unless Cincinnati gets really good at placing their defenders (19th DRS), their pitchers aren't going to make the leaps they're expecting with Derek Johnson given what they're paying him. Add the money and being closer to home, and you can see why Johnson would make the leap. I can also see why the Brewers didn't think he's the sole or even biggest reason for their pitching success. I also think there's something to be said for CC and DJ not necessarily having the same vision for the future of pitching. That's admittedly pure speculation but I saw that one raised earlier and it makes some sense.
  10. True Blue Brew Crew
    Lol, so wrong. DRS has more to do with the team than an individual defender. If Cabrera plays for the Brewers next year, he will have a "+" DRS next year 100%, zero doubt, guaranteed. The Mets were one of the worst teams in baseball at aligning their defenders. Another awful team, the Orioles, made Manny Machado into some sort of butcher defensively. Until he went to a team that knows how to position players and suddenly Machado was magically a great SS again. One of the greatest deficiencies Stearns makes use of is "rescuing" pitchers and position players from teams who don't know how to correctly position their players. Still smh at "horrid defender". No fielding metric rates him well. But keep up the condescension. It definitely helps your argument. And you should keep on making blanket statements with nothing to back them up. That definitely helps your argument. As for metric rating systems, and none supposedly rating him well, there's one in the very first post of this thread that has him as a positive defender over the last 3 years. Another aspect being completely overlooked here is how the versatile all over the field guys are docked by these measurements. Stick Cabrera strictly at 2B like a LeMahieu or Kinsler and take a guess at what his DRS numbers would look like. The Brewers proved with Shaw how the most important factor in defensive performance is positioning. Our fanbase was first-hand witness yet it still seems lost on many.
  11. True Blue Brew Crew
    What do we think Cabrera is looking at? He got 2/18.5 in 2015-16 offseason. Since then, he's been better with the bat but a bit worse defensively. Sean Rodriguez got 2/11.5 after a bit year after the 2016 season. Does somewhere between those numbers make sense for the soon to be 33 year old? Or do we prefer a 1 year deal? There's no reason to shy away from a 2-year deal. He's a big upgrade from Perez and fills that role once Hiura is up for good come June. 2/15 for Cabrera is a much better route than Schoop at 1/10. I saw someone say Schoop's return is dependent most upon if Mark A. signs off on stretching the budget from 110 to 120. WHAT??? So Mark A. gives you the green light to stretch an extra 10 million and you use it all up on Schoop? I'd rather use that extra money on a better player and still have money left over to spend elsewhere. Be it now or even midseason.
  12. True Blue Brew Crew
    Mediocre on a team that knows how to use data. Put Asdrubal Cabrera on the Astros and make Marwin Gonzalez a Met and their DRS will be a lopsided flip in Cabrera's favor. This stuff is going to fool people for quite a few more years. Works in the Brewers favor at least.
  13. True Blue Brew Crew
    Lol, so wrong. DRS has more to do with the team than an individual defender. If Cabrera plays for the Brewers next year, he will have a "+" DRS next year 100%, zero doubt, guaranteed. The Mets were one of the worst teams in baseball at aligning their defenders. Another awful team, the Orioles, made Manny Machado into some sort of butcher defensively. Until he went to a team that knows how to position players and suddenly Machado was magically a great SS again. One of the greatest deficiencies Stearns makes use of is "rescuing" pitchers and position players from teams who don't know how to correctly position their players. Still smh at "horrid defender".
  14. True Blue Brew Crew
    The most logical fit on that list continues to be Asdrubal Cabrera. There's even a thread started on him somewhere.
  15. True Blue Brew Crew
    Aguilar never had anywhere near as many plate appearances as he had in 2018 (566). His previous 4 years he had the following number of MLB plate appearances - 38, 20, 6, 311. Major league pitchers adjust and started to do so with Jesus. I'm confident in his ability to adjust back because he has a good 2-strike approach and a repeatable swing. It's understandable and somewhat expected for a hitter to tail off a bit when he nearly doubles his previous career high of major league PAs. The grind alone can get you. I'm not at all worried about Aguilar at 1B next year. Even in his worst month in 2018 his OPS was .770
  16. True Blue Brew Crew
    The Mets are one of the worst teams in baseball at defensive runs saved as well. Usually a pretty good indicator that they haven't made good use of positioning and shifts. It's likely Cabrera would be better deployed defensively by the Brewers.
  17. True Blue Brew Crew
    Cabrera is coming off a 3 year deal for $24.75 million so I would sure hope he could be had for less than the deal Eduardo Escobar just signed (3 for 21). Also he turns 33 next month, not 34. Not a big difference but every year counts.
  18. True Blue Brew Crew
    Cabrera also had an OPS 120 points higher away from Citi Field last year. He could really benefit from Miller Park as his home stadium.
  19. True Blue Brew Crew
    Switch-hitting, up the middle infielder who plays 2B, SS, and 3B and is strongest from the left side. Would seem to be a reasonable placeholder at 2B who could play all over once Hiura comes up.
  20. True Blue Brew Crew
    However, the spot he'd more likely to be platooned or played would be for Shaw so then RH would be good. Kind of a catch 22. I'd hope for someone without drastic splits if possible. Yep no doubt. The perfect acquisition would be a LH bat with an up the middle caliber glove, who has the ability to play 3B and fare better against LHP than Shaw. That's a big, but not impossible ask. I'd wager that whoever best fits that bill would be someone the Brewers prioritize and are willing to overpay for. I suppose Perz isn't going anywhere and he can be counted on to play decent 3B and hit LHP. Would bring the criteria back primarily to a left hand bat that plays 2B/SS. Asdrubal Cabrera really fits the bill.
  21. True Blue Brew Crew
    On paper, he seems like a great fit. Depends on the cost. There are plenty of middle infield options available who could come cheap and don't require a big commitment. I could still see it happening with Marwin because of how much playing time is available for the 5th infielder in Counsell's rotation.
  22. True Blue Brew Crew
    Given Hiura and Arcia's right-handedness, the ideal placeholder at 2B, who would then back up all over the IF, would be a LHB. I think you start there when taking a stab at who will be added to the roster this offseason. Could come via free agency or via trade. You can't allocate too much salary to said placeholder because the team has a lot of work to do to get LHP into the IOG mix next year. Thus why Schoop and Moustakas aren't realistic at their salaries, much less their difficulty making consistent contact.
  23. True Blue Brew Crew
    As for Hiura's defense and thinking it's a big risk to pen him in for a big role in 2019, I just have to chuckle at that. The Brewers weren't a leader in defensive runs saved because they have gold glovers up and down the roster. They are arguably the best in MLB at defensive positioning. This is a team that successfully played zero-range, 6'4" Travis Shaw at 2B because of their well placed shifts. Hiura will be just fine defensively at 2B. And the bat is the 3rd best in the organization today behind Yelich and Cain. Some here may think it's risky to factor him in for a big role, but I'm comfortably confident that the team doesn't think it's all that risky. Risky would be moving on from an all-star at 2B to plug in Hiura and expect no dropoff. He'll be called on to fill one of the Brewers glaring weaknesses. Not much risk in that at all.
  24. True Blue Brew Crew
    I may have missed it, but I think everyone who has said move on from Shoop has been promoting a versatile, multi-positional infielder to replace him. Someone to man 2B until Hiura arrives and back up all over the field (including 2B) after. The Brewers desire for versatility should be an accepted fact by now.
  25. True Blue Brew Crew
    Unless Miley just absolutely loves being a Brewer and signs for less than he'll likely get elsewhere, I see Gonzalez the more likely of two to be brought back. I think there's unfinished tinkering to be done with Gio. From outside, I like Happ as a budget friendly 1 year option.
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