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Scooter1027

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Everything posted by Scooter1027

  1. Scooter1027
    Just guessing here, but I would think given that Kendall starts the vast majority of the time, that they wouldn't want to have Salome sit and waste the opportunity to keep developing in AAA. I don't know exactly what our other options are though. Maybe a guy like Carlos Corporan would get called up to be backup for a couple weeks? That would require a 40 man move though. How much could McGehee be trusted? Could we go without a true backup catcher for a 15 day DL stint with McGehee on the roster? Hopefully we won't have to answer any of these questions.
  2. Scooter1027
    If I'm not mistaken, isn't he out of options? I believe DFA'ing him will result in his outright release. I think it's too early for a move like that, if that's correct
  3. Scooter1027
    Bushie's pitch count getting up there due to below-average control and a defense that's making him earn extra outs. We're going to need some quality work out of McClung or DiFelice today at this rate.
  4. Scooter1027
    I don't know if the pitchers are taking any kind of different approach, I just think that this year we have a good group of hitting pitchers. Gallardo and Parra have always flashed the ability to hit, and Looper comes over to us from St. Louis where he hit .254 last year. Suppan has had a couple poor hitting seasons with us, but had some success in the past (heck, he hit .293 with Pittsburgh in 2003, and had two .200+ seasons with St. Louis). Historically, and surprisingly to me given his overall athleticism, Dave Bush has been the worst hitter of this bunch (career .133/.147/.166 with 1 BB / 57 K). I think you take Sheets out and put Gallardo in, and the overall perception of our pitchers' ability to hit is going to climb significantly.
  5. Scooter1027
    Well, I would think that we'd play a healthy Braun, Cameron, and Hart as much as possible, right? So what if you pass Gwynn through waivers (or he gets claimed, whatever), and you send Duffy down to AAA. I would have to think that despite his age, Jenkins could still out-hit those 2 guys, and he's gotta be a better defender than Nelson. If Cameron had to miss any significant time, you could just call Duffy back up. Hart could occasionally play a game or inning or two in CF, although he really shouldn't be used there more than that. I don't know, I'm just spitballin' here, I'm not sure that's a better option. But it could work and you could perhaps generate a little more offense that way.
  6. Scooter1027
    It was just a brief synopsis, he basically just listed 3 things that could make our system jump up, and 3 reasons it could regress.
  7. Scooter1027
    Well, we weren't in the bottom half, but we were 15th, the worst of the top half teams. To sum it up: He likes Escobar's superior defense, thinks Jeffress could become elite, and calls Salome an "offensive monster" Dings us for Lawrie moving out from behind the dish, for Gamel's error rate, and for "precious little pitching" He thinks that Escobar, Gamel, and Salome all could get enough big league time this year to lose propsect status, and at that point our system will be solidly into the bottom half of the league.
  8. Scooter1027
    Bummer, I was hoping Swindle would break camp on the 25 man. I definitely like him more than the likes of Coffey and Julio. Oh well, I guess it's nice having a guy like that at the ready in AAA.
  9. Scooter1027
    I think DiFelice is the guy we should be looking at as another starter. Two fantastic seasons in AAA, followed by a strong showing on the big league club last year, and he's just keeping it going this spring (4 shutout innings against Venezuela's stacked lineup, 5 shutout innings with the Crew, 6 K/0 BB).
  10. Scooter1027
    I don't know that Lamb is necessarily the answer, I'm not thrilled with him. Maybe X is right and Melvin picks up another bat yet this spring. But I think you're reading to much into very limited spring training data. Counsell will still be Counsell -- if lowering his hands will make that big a difference, he would have done it 10 years ago. And McGehee has yet to show a lot of pop in his career -- a career .409 minor league slugging percentage doesn't do much for me, a couple ST HRs doesn't change that for me. And even if 3B isn't a straight platoon -- and indications are that it won't be -- I think you still need a halfway decent lefty bat to face some of the tougher righties. Counsell just isn't that guy. He's a solid guy to have as an occasional spot starter at 3 different positions (particularly defensively), but I don't want to get back to that point again where he has a regular, near-everyday role somewhere (like being the lefty bat in a platoon situation, even if it's not a strict platoon). I do agree with you though, the bench is looking awfully left-handed right now. I just don't think McGehee is the answer.
  11. Scooter1027
    But McGehee making the team just doesn't make sense in the context of this roster. Bill Hall needs a platoon partner, and I don't think Craig Counsell should be it. McGehee is another righty bat, like Hall. Lamb is a career .281/.336/.422 hitter against righties...not spectacular by any means, but much better than you can reasonably expect out of any of our other options. McGehee has barely put up lines like that in the minor leagues.
  12. Scooter1027
    I don't know what kind of chance he has, but I'd like to see DiFelice make the roster. Today's 4 shutout innings against a darn good Venezuelan lineup (Abreu, Cabrera, Ordonez, Carlos Guillen, Mora, etc) only confirmed this for me. I don't know what more he has to do...2.84 ERA, 20 K / 4 BB in 19 MLB IP last year coming on the heels of some incredible minor league numbers over the past two years. I know people point to his age and his middling velocity, but the guy flat continues to miss bats and not walk anybody. This guy really isn't better than the Jorge Julio, Todd Coffeys of the world?
  13. Scooter1027
    I agree with joepepsi here. Jenkins should be on there. He definitely should be there over the overrated Vaughn, who in 7 full seasons with the Brewers only had two .800+ OPS seasons, and had 3 seasons with a .725 or below. On 3 different occasions he also carried batting averages in the .220s. These are not good numbers for a corner OF. He had a big half-season the year we traded him, and had a nice 3 year stretch outside of Milwaukee, but there's no way I'm taking him over Jenkins. I'm also torn on Braun. I think we all know how special he is, and he seems destined to be one of Milwaukee's all-time greats, but like the Cubs fan said, he's only been an OFer for 1 season. I have a hard time putting him on the list at this point ahead of Jenkins, Burnitz, Oglivie, and Thomas. I'll also agree that Molitor should be put at 2B to allow either Don Money or Jeff Cirillo to slot in at 3B, rather than having to stretch for a guy like Gantner at 2B. Also -- Gary Sheffield? His name should never be mentioned on an exercise like this. Not only could he not wait to get out of town...he wasn't good while he was here (OPS' of .695, .640, .771, and .597 as a Brewer). Unless you're including his accomplishments while outside Milwaukee (which I'm not, for the sake of this list), he has no business being on the 25 man.
  14. Scooter1027
    I actually didn't think Ben Grieve was all that bad for us. He had a .364 OBP and a .779 OPS. Not spectacular, but far from "a joke".
  15. Scooter1027
    Explain your Escobar statement further. Stastically, I would agree with you, I don't think his offense is there yet. But what is it about this small sample size of observations for you that makes you think he "isn't that good yet". Not a criticism of your commentary, I'm actually curious.
  16. Scooter1027
    As a pharmacist, I'm obligated to say yes. As a Brewers fanatic, I want to say no. So I'm torn. Let the overanalysis of meaningless exhibition games begin. I myself am anxious to see how all the relievers do as the ST season progresses. There's a lot to shake out there. Today we apparently get 3 of the competitors in Morlan, Coffey, and Julio.
  17. Scooter1027
    I would like to see both Stetter and Swindle; however, I could see where perhaps it wouldn't be necessary to keep two lefty specialists on the roster. Having Villanueva is like having another lefty specialist, in that his changeup has actually made him more effective against lefties (.235/.304/.412) than righties (.252/.319/.442) in his young career. That said, if Swindle and Stetter are just flat better than the other options in camp regardless of handed-ness (unlike Shouse, who clearly stunk against righties), by all means, keep them both. If I had any say on such things, right off the top I'd be looking at Dillard in AAA, and Julio would be a guy on the outside looking in. Both would have to have huge exhibition season to make it, or injuries would force them in. I like Dillard, but with so many arms available, it might be smarter to have the depth in AAA to begin with, regardless of his spring. That would leave Morlan, Gagne, Coffey, DiFelice and one of the Swindle/Stetter duo then for 2 slots. If you assume just one lefty to start the year, then 2 of Morlan/Gagne/Coffey/DiFelice make it. Of that group, I would lean towards Morlan and Gagne, unless Gagne just has a terrible spring. I don't know a whole lot about Morlan yet, but I do know about Coffey, and he's nothing more than a mediocre at best bullpen arm. I'm a big DiFelice fan, but he's a guy who could also being the year in AAA, perhaps as SP depth. That could be particularly beneficial if the Chase Wright/Nick Green moves don't pan out.
  18. Scooter1027
    The early reports from Spring Training have him playing 2nd base.I like it. It's not like our system is deep at 2B (using these depth charts, our other second basemen are Jason Bourgeois, Mike Bell, and Eric Farris), whereas we do have two exciting catching prospects. Even if you're a Weeks fan (which I am), you figure that by the time Lawrie is ready, he'd likely be just about up for free agency. Additionally, putting in the work to become a catcher likely will slow down the process of getting his bat to the big leagues.
  19. Scooter1027
    The RZR ratings as seen on Hardball Times only take into account "in zone" plays, out of zone plays (such as "calling off a LF") are looked at separately, if I'm not mistaken. He was fairly below average there too. I don't think the problem is his speed, I'm guessing it's just an instincts thing, getting good jumps. Of course, you're likely going to make more "highlight reel plays" if you're late getting to a ball (due to a poor jump) that another CF would be there waiting for. Those types of instincts are the reason that Cameron was still 12.2 runs above average last year (+17.2 runs/150 games). Of course, that could get better with experience for Nate, but as of now, he did not deserve that gold glove.
  20. Scooter1027
    Bingo. Not uncommon of course, but that's what happened. According to Fangraph's UZR/150 stats, McLouth was 13.7 runs below the average CF last year, with a UZR/150 games of -13.3. Other defensive metrics agree with this (Dewan's Plus/Minus of -40, RZR of .867 where an average CF is .896, and so on). He's a good player, most likely worth the investment for Pittsburgh, but he defense was not good last year. On the flip side, for the poster that compared him to Braun, Ryan's defense was only 2.6 runs below average in LF in 149 games (UZR/150 of -2.8). Now certainly CF is a tougher position, and defensive metrics are far from perfect, but they all seem to agree that McLouth was pretty below average last year. He had a nice shiny fielding percentage, but fact is his lack of range prevented him from getting to a lot of balls the average CF would get to.
  21. Scooter1027
    Agree 100% Ender (as I usually do with your posts). Hardy is our most well-rounded talent as a legit offensive player and a very solid defensive SS. There are 3 Brewers I want to see locked up for the long haul and they are Braun (already done), Hardy, and Gallardo. This is the trio to build this franchise around. Lock him up, pay him elite SS dollars. Perhaps if we pay him the type of $$$ that elite SS make and secure his future, at some point he may be amenable to a shift to 3B if Escobar can prove himself to be a viable offensive player and forces his way into our lineup. I would think Hardy's instincts, soft hands and reliable arm would play well at 3B, and his bat would play there too. Or heck, trade Escobar for a premium. Bottom line I think we need Hardy in a Brewers uniform for a long time.
  22. Scooter1027
    Yeah, I highly doubt that we'll ever see the .500+ slugging percentage days again, but one thing that Nixon has always done well is carry a good OBP. As recently as 2006 Nixon carried a .373 OBP with a very nice 60 BB/56 K ratio. I would wager that his '01-'03 form is lost and gone forever, but if he can even just recapture what he did in '05 (.275/.357/.446) and '06 (.268/.373/.394), he could be a very nice reserve OF who could spell Hart against tough righties. If we can catch a little lightning in a bottle, both he and Lamb could provide some much needed balance in our lineup (lefty bats, low K/solid OBP players). Just 2 years ago (2007), Lamb posted .289/.366/.483, and in '06 it was .307/.361/.475. I know he was miserable in Minnesota last year, I have no explanation for that, and he's fairly poor defensively. But if somehow both he and Nixon could reproduce offensive seasons like they've had in the not too distant past, it could really improve the balance in our lineup and bench,
  23. Scooter1027
    Maybe someone can enlighten me and change my opinion, but I guess I'm not that thrilled with Sanchez. In 89 career games (37 starts), he's carried a 5.18 ERA, 1.50 WHIP. I do see he was a bit unlucky last year (5.01 ERA vs. 3.85 FIP), and I like his K rate. However, I don't like his BB rate, and he just seems to get hit around a bit too much. He's 26 now, so he's not super-young anymore. Bill James and CHONE seem fairly high on him in '09 (3.90 and 4.05 ERAs, respectively). What am I missing?
  24. Scooter1027
    I agree with much of the sentiment here. At 1 year / 1 million, he is cheap and brings things to the table that this team is lacking (good infield defense at multiple positions, and the ability to draw a walk). Obviously overall his hitting leaves much to be desired, but those two aforementioned qualities make him a very solid investment at a million bucks. Utility infielders generally are not good hitters, so I don't know how much more we really could have expected.
  25. Scooter1027
    I'll throw my submission into the public fray: 1. Mat Gamel 2. Jeremy Jeffress 3. Alcides Escobar 4. Lorezno Cain 5. Jonathan Lucroy 6. Angel Salome 7. Brett Lawrie 8. Cole Gillespie 9. Jake Odorizzi 10. Taylor Green 11. Brad Nelson 12. Caleb Gindl 13. Omar Aguilar 14. Evan Anundsen 15. Tim Dillard 16. Cody Scarpetta 17. Erik Komatsu 18. Zach Braddock 19. Wily Peralta 20. Rob Wooten Really hard to rank this year. I look at other people's lists and it makes me second guess my own. I'm probably too high on Nelson, too low on Periard (not ranked), but just my opinion. I'm really anxious to see what Scarpetta and Peralta do this year...they are two guys I think could make a significant jump.
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