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    Brewers 1, Blue Jays 3: Brewers Can’t Overcome A Bad First Inning


    Jason Wang

    After scoring three runs in the first inning, the Blue Jays failed to plate a runner for the rest of the game. Unfortunately, that shutdown was too little, too late, as the Milwaukee Brewers scored just one measly run. It's another series loss for the Brewers.

    Image courtesy of © Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports

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    Box Score

    Starting Pitcher: Freddy Peralta - 6.0 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 3 K, 85 pitches, 57 strikes (67.1%)
    Home Runs: None 
    Top 3 WPA: William Contreras (.025), Joey Wiemer (.016), Trevor Megill (.011) 
    Bottom 3 WPA: Brian Anderson (-.182), Freddy Peralta (-.137), Brice Turang (-.120) 

    Win Probability Chart (via FanGraphs)

    image.png

    Freddy Falters Early
    All three of Peralta’s earned runs scored in the first inning, as the Blue Jays got to work quickly. He gave up a 414-foot solo home run to Bo Bichette, followed by a single to Daulton Varsho and a 366-foot home run by Matt Chapman to give Toronto a 3-0 lead. Both home runs were off of his four-seam fastball, which has actually been his best pitch this season and throughout his career. 

    Luckily, Peralta was able to complete his six-inning start without any further hiccups. He was officially credited with the loss, bringing his record to 5-5 for the season but trimming his ERA to 4.62 over 60-plus innings pitched.

    Bullpen Locks It Down
    Trevor Megill and Elvis Peguero took on relief duties, combining for three hits, two strikeouts, and zero earned runs. Megill had a relatively straightforward inning, giving up just a single and a stolen base to George Springer before striking out Bichette to earn the final out of the seventh inning.

    Things got a little stickier for Peguero, who started the eighth inning strong, getting a double play to retire Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Varsho. He followed that up by walking Chapman, giving up a single and a stolen base to Whit Merrifield, and then walking Cavan Biggio to load the bases. He escaped the jam by striking out Kevin Kiermaier to end the inning unscathed. He whipped out his slick slider when he needed it most.

    Romano Shuts Down Late Rally By The Crew
    Blue Jays closer Jordan Romano hasn’t been as dominant this year as he was last year, posting a 3.27 ERA, but he’s shown flashes of his intimidating stuff. The Brewers entered the ninth inning with a 3-0 deficit and a 3.1% chance to win the game with him on the mound. 

    Things started off great. Rowdy Tellez hit a huge triple, his first of the year, to put Romano on notice immediately. 

    Milwaukee followed this with a William Contreras walk before a Brian Anderson grounder initiated a double play that scored Tellez but drastically reduced the Brewers’ chance to come back. With two outs and still down by two runs, Andruw Monasterio struck out, dashing any hopes of a Milwaukee comeback.

    What’s Next? 
    The Brewers will travel to Cincinnati to start a series against the division-rival Reds, with Corbin Burnes taking the ball against lefty pitcher Brandon Williamson. The Crew are currently the worst-hitting team in Major League Baseball, posting a .626 team OPS over 473 ABs, .027 lower than the next-worst Colorado Rockies. 

    They still maintain a narrow 0.5 game lead over the Pittsburgh Pirates to remain on top of the NL Central division, but who knows how much longer that will last.

    Postgame Interviews

    Bullpen Usage Spreadsheet

      SUN MON TUE WED THU TOT
    Williams 26 0 0 15 0 41
    Payamps 15 0 0 21 0 36
    Strzelecki 16 0 0 11 0 27
    Peguero 0 0 0 0 23 23
    Cousins 0 0 16 0 0 16
    B Wilson 0 0 15 0 0 15
    Megill 0 0 0 0 13 13
    Milner 0 0 13 0 0 13

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    Brandon Sproat

    Milwaukee Brewers - MLB, RHP
    Sproat had a rough first appearance in a Brewers uniform (3 IP, 7 ER, 3 HR). On Thursday, he gave up one run on 4 hits and a walk over 6 2/3 innings. He struck out six Blue Jays batters.

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    Of the three game series innings of Brewers offense they K 27 times.  That is one total game of just K's.  They had a total of 17 Hits and 13 BB's.  Not going to get much going when you have a WHIP 1.11 for the three game series.  I know the pitching hasn't been as dominant as last year but the offense cannot put much of a fight consistently to be any real threat.  There is no one in the lineup that would put fear into the opposing pitchers.  The K rate is just to high for the crew to put up any runs consistently.  This is a station to station offense that needs 4 hits an inning to score a run and that just will not happen with this offensive roster construction.  If we don't hit the HR we don't score and we don't get on base enough to make the one offensive weapon we have meaningful.  I say meaningful in the loosest possible sense as we are about average when it comes to HR.

    I disagree with  people who are saying June will be an easier month for the Crew.  I don't see how playing the Reds,Orioles,A's, Pirates,Diamondbacks, Guardians, and Mets will be any easier than May.  People will point to the A's series as a series that the Crew should win or sweep and I'm inclined to believe that but the offense numbers between the two teams is to close for me to think that series will be a sure thing.

    R/G - A's 3.45(30th) / Crew 3.95(26th)

    R - As 200 (30th) / Crew 221 (26th)

    H - As 419 (28th) / Crew 418 (29th)

    2B - As 74(29th)/ Crew 69(30th)

    3B - As 6(20th) / Crew 4 (29th)

    HR - As 57 (20th) / Crew 65(15th)

    BB - As 190(11th) / Crew 188 (13th)

    K - As 535(4th) / Crew 519 (5th)

    BA - As .230(25th) / Crew .219(30th)

    OBP - As .299(27th) / Crew .306(25th)

    SLG - As .353(29th) / Crew .379 (26th)

    Even if we get everyone back from injuries this team will struggle with lineup that is being put out.  Can't expect the pitching staff to hold the MLB offensive players to 2 or less runs every night and expect to win.

    Jake McKibbin
  • Brewer Fanatic Contributor
  • Posted

    5 hours ago, BlightyBrew said:

    Of the three game series innings of Brewers offense they K 27 times.  That is one total game of just K's.  They had a total of 17 Hits and 13 BB's.  Not going to get much going when you have a WHIP 1.11 for the three game series.  I know the pitching hasn't been as dominant as last year but the offense cannot put much of a fight consistently to be any real threat.  There is no one in the lineup that would put fear into the opposing pitchers.  The K rate is just to high for the crew to put up any runs consistently.  This is a station to station offense that needs 4 hits an inning to score a run and that just will not happen with this offensive roster construction.  If we don't hit the HR we don't score and we don't get on base enough to make the one offensive weapon we have meaningful.  I say meaningful in the loosest possible sense as we are about average when it comes to HR.

    I disagree with  people who are saying June will be an easier month for the Crew.  I don't see how playing the Reds,Orioles,A's, Pirates,Diamondbacks, Guardians, and Mets will be any easier than May.  People will point to the A's series as a series that the Crew should win or sweep and I'm inclined to believe that but the offense numbers between the two teams is to close for me to think that series will be a sure thing.

    R/G - A's 3.45(30th) / Crew 3.95(26th)

    R - As 200 (30th) / Crew 221 (26th)

    H - As 419 (28th) / Crew 418 (29th)

    2B - As 74(29th)/ Crew 69(30th)

    3B - As 6(20th) / Crew 4 (29th)

    HR - As 57 (20th) / Crew 65(15th)

    BB - As 190(11th) / Crew 188 (13th)

    K - As 535(4th) / Crew 519 (5th)

    BA - As .230(25th) / Crew .219(30th)

    OBP - As .299(27th) / Crew .306(25th)

    SLG - As .353(29th) / Crew .379 (26th)

    Even if we get everyone back from injuries this team will struggle with lineup that is being put out.  Can't expect the pitching staff to hold the MLB offensive players to 2 or less runs every night and expect to win.

    I absolutely agree, but overhauling this line-up just doesn't happen by trades this time of the season. It's more a spark plug needed, and throughout May Turang, Taylor and Wiemer were black holes, just sucking the life out of things. Wiemer has shown better contact in the last few games, and what a difference that could make, and Turang may head down once Urias is back (particularly as Monasterio has actually looked quite solid at the plate just judging by approach and contact alone), while Taylor will get hot at some point.

    I think it's more incremental improvements needed from big players than just all new players, but along with this, Adames needs to step up. He shines most with men on base, always has, so could do better as a cleanup hitter too

    • Like 1
    Jason Wang
  • Brewer Fanatic Contributor
  • Posted

    3 hours ago, Jake McKibbin said:

    I absolutely agree, but overhauling this line-up just doesn't happen by trades this time of the season. It's more a spark plug needed, and throughout May Turang, Taylor and Wiemer were black holes, just sucking the life out of things. Wiemer has shown better contact in the last few games, and what a difference that could make, and Turang may head down once Urias is back (particularly as Monasterio has actually looked quite solid at the plate just judging by approach and contact alone), while Taylor will get hot at some point.

    I think it's more incremental improvements needed from big players than just all new players, but along with this, Adames needs to step up. He shines most with men on base, always has, so could do better as a cleanup hitter too

    There's only one man who can solve all of our problems.

    Hawaii's Kolten Wong introduced as Milwaukee Brewers' new second baseman |  KHON2

    • WHOA SOLVDD 2


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