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The Brewers front office and coaching staff knew this would happen, even if you didn't. Over and over, when asked questions about an apparent surfeit of starting pitching options in the wake of multiple trades that brought in more young arms in the late stages of the offseason, Matt Arnold, Pat Murphy and others in the organization sounded the same note: there will be injuries. The team needs to be ready when they come, and they need everyone they acquired in order to do that.
It's clear, by now, that they were right. Already this spring, Brandon Woodruff has been brought along exceptionally slowly, with the goal being to have him ready to pitch in October, even if that comes at the expense of March. Quinn Priester, as it turns out, is dealing with a form of thoracic outlet syndrome, and while his prognosis is better than it often is for pitchers dealing with that issue, he's unlikely to be back on a big-league mound before Memorial Day. Logan Henderson has dealt with elbow discomfort this spring. Now, Kyle Harrison's short-term availability is up in the air, as he left his latest Cactus League start with a blister.
One week from Opening Day, the Brewers' projected starting rotation suddenly looks stretched. It goes:
- Jacob Misiorowski
- Chad Patrick
- Brandon Sproat
- Woodruff
Firstly, that's only four names. Second, the hope had been to hold Woodruff back until the second series of the season, which now looks tougher to do. Third, Sproat came to camp without a guarantee of any place in the rotation. He's already become indispensable.
Let's tackle that first note more completely, though. The Brewers need a fifth starter. Even with days off aplenty early in the year, shortening to a four-man rotation is not an option they'll consider. The true routine of the modern starter is to work every sixth day, with the flexibility to go every fifth when required. They won't begin the season by asking their starters to go on four days' rest with any regularity. So, who will stand the gap?
The good news is that, thanks to all those moves and their stubborn retention of all the pitching depth they can get, there remain several viable options. The most obvious is Robert Gasser, but fellow lefties DL Hall and Shane Drohan are right there in the mix, too. It's less likely that the team will turn to either Carlos Rodríguez or Coleman Crow, but both are on the 40-man roster. It's a luxury to have so many theoretically usable starters, even after a few of them are sidelined.
Rather than Gasser, Hall or Drohan, though, another lefty could end up back in the mix for the rotation, on an interim basis. Maybe this year, the way for Pat Murphy and Aaron Ashby to get Ashby into the game as often as he wants to be is to have him start some games in a traditional, rotational role.
Despite stretching out with starting in mind in 2024 and 2025, Ashby hasn't actually been a regular starter in the majors since 2022. It would be a significant change to move him back into the role this year, but it's no longer a wild idea. He threw 50 pitches in one Cactus League appearance. He's worked into a third inning multiple times. He has, after all, a deep arsenal for a reliever, with a sinker, a curveball, a changeup, and a four-seamer he leaned into more late last season, plus the occasional slider.
There's no pitcher Murphy trusts more than Ashby, and Ashby wants the ball more than any other pitcher in the clubhouse. He's not fussy about the role he fills, but always eager to help the team and alleviate the burden on teammates, and this spring, the best way to do that might be to shift back to the rotation for a while.
It helps quite a bit that Ángel Zerpa has looked great this spring, both in camp and during his time with World Baseball Classic-winning Team Venezuela. Zerpa and Jared Koenig can fill the team's needs from the left side in high-leverage relief, while Hall is a good candidate to go multiple innings in relief. Hall, Gasser and even Drohan would be more conventional choices for the rotation, because they've each worked with that specific goal and role throughout the spring, but Ashby is clearly the best of those four pitchers. If the team needs a trustworthy fifth starter for the first month or so, he's the player Murphy is most likely to choose.
Once he's in the rotation, moving him back to the pen might be tricky—unless his body responds to the added workload with another injury. That's a problem for later in the year, though, and it could be a "good problem": there's little real friction in simply keeping Ashby in the rotation and telling Hall to shift his focus toward a permanent relief role.
If Harrison and/or Henderson come along exceptionally well in the coming days, this could be moot. But keep an eye on Ashby; he could be starting (not just opening) come next week.
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