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jay87shot

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jay87shot last won the day on March 12

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  1. Vaughn hit .306 with a 390 obp. with a 130 ops+, sure the power wasn't great but those are elite numbers. His arbitration projection is like $8 million I believe. We will for sure pick up his arbitration and if Bauers comes back he should have some surplus value (not a huge amount but some) in a trade.
  2. Our 1st round pick is a pick swap with NO (currently 4-4) but is top 4 protected. As long as we don't lose the pick to a Trent penalty it looks like a decent chance we will be in the top 4. It did take the league over a year (pretty sure) to investigate and rule on the Kawhi penalty for the Clippers so I wouldn't be surprised if there is a penalty that it isn't until after next years draft. I find it a strange catch 22 when thinking about tanking, i think tanking might actually mean playing Turner, Kuz, and Green. I think Ware, Ament, and Burries (Jak, Deing, Sims as well) are much better than the vets. It seems obvious that we will deal Herro and maybe Rollins if he plays a bit better.
  3. I am conflicted with the Jersey retiring, he put up 2 amazing seasons and has been Geoff Jenkins since. The captain of the world series team plays pretty big into it. He will have 200+ HR and close to 200 sb and like 1300-1400 hits so that is very solid. Rollie Fingers was on the team only 4 years and I don't think anyone would argue with the fact that Yeli is more important to the franchise than Rollie. I will say yes but it is a bit borderline.
  4. Are there any pre-lockout moves that we would expect to make? It sounds like the mlb wants to cap teams signing it's own players at 6 years, I don't know if that is different for players in the minors or pre-arbitration players or just free agents. However if there is a cap on years would we want to sign Made, Fischer, Henderson etc. now before the lockout so they are grandfathered in???
  5. Wood has basically double the walks to k. Have there been any reports about his defense, I know throwing out runners is a knock against him. I think with his performance he might be pushing Quero and Dinges on the depth chart, I wouldn't rank him higher as a prospect because of age and potential. I don't think it would be to crazy with a really good spring if he made a case to be William's backup (probably a little stretch).
  6. Good point, I would rather pay one of our guys like Turang, Contreras, or Megill if we need to add salary.
  7. Devin had a FIP of 2.68 in 2025 and 3.05 in 2026, his advanced stats are all pretty close to what his prime Brewers numbers were. With looking at how the Mets screwed up Freddy, I do think there is a good chance that he could be a higher end reliever still. I wouldn't trust him to be a 8th or 9th inning guy, however if we do need to spend money he would be better than Grant Anderson with good upside to get back. I would think we might be able to get a prospect back with Devin as well just based on his potential current value. I do want to be clear the only reason I would pursue Devin is if there is a floor and we need to spend money. I feel like the league is pretty set on getting a floor/cap in, I feel like by the time the negotiations are done the floor will likely be much lower than proposed and the cap will be much higher. I can see the league giving in but with current negotiating tactics of both sides setting demands really high it is hard to tell where the center is or could be.
  8. With a likely salary floor coming and us being 30-40 million or more below the current proposed numbers would it be wise to go get a star player that can fill in some salary and help the team? I think Skubal might be out of the question but maybe a trade for a star with 2-3 years left? I doubt the floor starts in 2027 so maybe a multi-year guy. Could we take back a guy like Corbin Burnes back for almost nothing (ARI) eats some money? Mike Trout? Devin Williams?
  9. If Bauers signs the QO, Vaughn should be pretty easy to trade. Adams seems like the perfect backup 1B who can play a little 3B and probably some OF if needed in an emergency. His patient approach would fit right into the Brewers bench perfectly. Your point about the other 1B in AAA also would seem to make it more likely Adams in the bigs would work. I wouldn't count out the team trading one of the 1B options especially with Bitonti not to far behind that group of 3.
  10. I'd love if he would sign it, I don't think he will however. He doesn't have a great track record but ever since he changed up his swing last July/August he has been on of the best hitters in the league. I think with the lack of top end bats and with how many teams need middle of the lineup help 3/60 like Christian Walker got a few year ago is a pretty good bet on his worth somewhere. If he does sign the QO we can helpfully trade Vaughn for a decent bullpen arm or decent prospect (top 20 in our system). Burke and Fischer probably need like a half a season until they are truly ready, I wouldn't have a problem turning 1B over to some combo of Adams, Burke, and Fischer but it might take 1/2 a season to really figure that situation out. With Bauers we can be patient and if/when one of them are ready we can squeeze out some playing time at least as much as Vaughn had this year if we can get some DH time and sneak Bauers in the OF here or there.
  11. I would like to run things back as much as possible however I do think we will be overwhelmed by offers for Megill and Joey and in turn have a more busy offseason than I would prefer. We offer Bauers a QO and he signs else where, all other FA walk. Woody get a 1 year deal with a bunch of incentives with the Braves. 1)Megill and Tyson Hardin for Sandy Alcantara and a lower level pitching prospect. The Fish need bullpen help bad and last year the signing of Fairbanks shows they are ok spending for it. By adding Hardin they give up Alcantara and we get them to add a young arm as a precaution. Alcantara is to good to pass up. 2) Joey Ortiz to the Phillies for Andrew Painter and SS Bryan Rincon The Phillies move Turner to 2B and have holes at SS and 3B until Aiden Miller is ready. The Phillies are desperate to add some defense IF help and give up Painter and a talented prospect in Rincon for Joey. Again to good to pass up. 3) Harrison, Crow, Quero, and Adams for Hunter Goodman and P Wellington Herrera The front office realizes that with Painter and Alcantara on board there is to much pitching depth. Goodman plays 1st and is the backup catcher this year, in 2028 he takes over at catcher full time. We give up 4 valuable pieces but also get a good relief prospect back as well. 4)Andrew Vaughn for Jeff Hoffman With Goodman on board Vaughn becomes disposable and the Twins need a 1B bad make a swap for the high potentail vet reliever that takes Megill's place (as a setup man) 5) Sign Ildermo Vargas 1/5 and Brusdar Graterol 1/4 (incentives and 2 team options) Vargas is a switch hitter who can play 1B and 3B and gives time for Made and the young 1B to develop. Graterol is a role of the dice on the big arm coming off injury 6) Extend Misi 6/100 (3,3,12,20,25,25) ($12 million signing bonus (2 team options at 30 million each) extend Logan Henderson 6/50 (1,3,6,10,15,15)(5 million signing bonus) (with 2 team options at 20 million each) and Jesus Made 9/150 with 2 option years (10 million as sigining bonus) Spend the WS money on extensions specifically using extra funds as signing bonuses to get future uncontrollable seasons cheaper. Our farm system takes a hit in the Goodman deal but the big league team gets better and the farm system doesn't lose any big time pieces and gets Rincon and Wellington back. C: William Contreras ($14.50M) 1B: Hunter Goodman ($6M) 2B: Brice Turang ($9.90M) 3B: David Hamilton ($3M) SS: Cooper Pratt ($3.50M) LF: Jackson Chourio ($8.00M) CF: Garrett Mitchell ($3.40M) RF: Sal Frelick ($1.50M) DH: Christian Yelich ($22.00M) 4th OF: Luis Lara ($2.00M) Utility: Ildermo Vargas ($5) Utility: Jett Williams/Rincon ($1M) Backup C: Lockridge/Minor league FA (OF) (1M) POS: Add Dead Money Here ($0.00M) SP1: Jacob Misiorowski ($3M) SP2: Sandy Alcantara ($22M) SP3: Logan Henderson ($1.00M) SP4: Andrew Painter ($1.00M) SP5: Robert Gasser ($1.00M) RP: Abner Uribe ($1M) RP: DL Hall ($0.95M) RP: Aaron Ashby ($7.50M) RP: Jeff Hoffman ($11M) RP: Shane Dorhan ($1M) RP: Chad Patrick ($1.00M) RP: Brusdar Graterol ($4M) RP: Herrera/Wagoner/Holub/minor league FA vet ($1M) POS: Add Dead Money Here ($0.00M) Payroll is 4.11% under budget
  12. Pratt and Lara signed during the season, that is what I would prefer with Made. If we wait until say May we just will have a better understanding of who he is. As the #1 prospect we aren't going to get any discount by doing it during the offseason and if we wait until mid-season we are a little protected against an injury or other issue. I would be fine extending him in the offseason but I think waiting a little is only beneficial for the organization. When Lara and Pratt signed their extensions there was a slight disruption in that the didn't play for a couple days but the extensions didn't affect any development/
  13. I would prefer to have an in season extension with Made, I think either way he is going to command like 8-9 years at 140+ like Griffin or McGonigle either way. I dont feel like a couple months in AAA is really going to change the price, so we would be best to wait.
  14. Contreras= keep, QO gone after 2027 Megill= Set the price high, probably around what we got for Burnes and if anyone gets close a trade is likely. I doubt would mind if we keep for the year even if he isn't a likely QO player as a reliever. Bauers= I think him accepting a QO actually might be possible, however he likely get like 3/60 or better on the open market. If we lose Bauers I think we keep Vaughn and break in Burke and Fischer as platoon mates at various parts of the year. Woody= I feel like the is a chance come back on like a 1/2 milly deal however I wouldn't pay for him and his numbers look good that some desperate team could give him an incentive based deal that has some good value. IF= Joey/Hamilton= I would take the same approach as Megill set the price high for either player, if we get and overpay, great. If we keep both great as well, both players would be tradable in like May/June if Made torches AAA and forces his way up (or signs a longterm deal) Sal/Mitchell= I think we keep both, Josh A. and Payne need most of the year and we have seen how easy it is for an OF to have injury issues. With no Bauers as an emergency and Yeli past his OF days, Mitchell was healthy but is far from a sure thing. The current 4 man OF is great and is cheap so unless someone just gives an insane amount for Mitchell (I wouldn't trade low on Frelick unless you think his arm injury is the beginning of the end) I would keep the OF in tact. Additions= I would love to add a veteran SP like Sandy Alcantara or Joe Ryan if the price doesn't get to huge but my guess is it would. I trust Arnold can find a couple young controllable quality arms that just provide depth either in the rotation or pen. I wouldn't go crazy and spend a ton of money but it does seem like we have depth at certain areas to try and turn some depth into a higher end player, nothing to crazy. Extensions=This should be the #1 focus on young player extensions, I think Brice, William, and Misi have likely already priced themselves out of town. However Henderson, Gasser, Abner, Harrison, Hall could all be candidates for extensions like Freddy and Ashby signed a couple years. Add in at least starting talks with Made and other top prospects to possibly do what we did with Pratt and Lara as in season extensions (or maybe even in the offseason). This is were the extra money should be spent. Crazy Idea= Any chance that if we lost lower level coach we could make Yeli a player/coach over the next couple years and maybe he would be a candidate to take over for Murph somewhere down the road. I am not sure if he is assertive enough to be a head coach but it is interesting to at least think about.
  15. I am 38, I would estimate I have watched or listened to nearly 4000 games to get here. On top of that countless 1000's of hours researching players, news around the league, and reading articles. It is so amazing to be the champs and knowing what other fans of the Brewers have gone through to get here. Best fans, best staff, and best players. So happy, congrats to all the awesome Brewer fans around the world and especially here on this forum. Brewers forever baby
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