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    The Brewers Don't Care About Your Sweeper Revolution


    Matthew Trueblood

    With each season, MLB becomes a bit more of a slider league. This year, that trend has been accelerated by the profusion of the sweeper. The Brewers, though, are zagging against that widespread zig, with an approach to pitching that sets them apart from most of the rest of baseball.


     

    Image courtesy of © Jovanny Hernandez / Milwaukee Journal Sentinel / USA TODAY NETWORK

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    Since the dawn of the pitch-tracking era, and especially since Statcast and the data it generates began to inform pitching development in 2015, MLB teams have steadily become more reliant upon breaking balls--especially sliders. The primary driver of that trend is the pursuit of swings and misses, which the slider gets at a higher rate than any other offering. Thus, we shouldn't be surprised that the young 2023 season has only seen the march toward slider hegemony continue, as teams adjust to new rules that make opponent contact more dangerous.

    Slider and Sweeper Usage by Season, MLB, 2015-23

    Year Pitch % xwOBA
    2023 22.4 0.278
    2022 20.8 0.269
    2021 19.2 0.272
    2020 17.9 0.272
    2019 17.4 0.269
    2018 16.7 0.255
    2017 15.9 0.259
    2016 14.8 0.26
    2015 14.3 0.251

    The hottest pitch in baseball this spring has been the new version of the slider, dubbed the sweeper, which has only made it easier for the league to increase its use of the pitch. A sweeper is just a slider with greater horizontal movement and less vertical movement--a big-breaking cutter, in one way of viewing things, or what would have been called a roundhouse curve back in the first half of last century. Hardly anything in baseball is truly new, and the sweeper is far from being an exception to that bit of wisdom, but the eagerness with which many teams, players, coaches, and fans have embraced the concept of the sweeper as a new and distinct pitch only highlights the desire of everyone in the MLB orbit to ratchet up slider usage and utility by whatever means.

    The Brewers have a couple of purveyors of the sweeper. Colin Rea has used it to miss a surprising number of bats since being called upon to fill the unexpected void left in the rotation when Brandon Woodruff went down. Rea has introduced his sweeping slider against right-handed batters, at the expense of the curveball he used to prefer, and it's yielded solid results. However, it's not the most notable change he's made.

    Brooksbaseball-Chart (35).jpeg

    Rea's switch from leaning on a four-seam fastball to being primarily a slinger of sinkers is telling. The above is just his pitch usage against right-handed batters. (Always analyze pitchers' repertoires by first isolating their work against lefties and against righties; the two tasks that make up pitching overall are distinct and need to be treated that way.) Here's what he's done against left-handed hitters.

    Brooksbaseball-Chart (36).jpeg

    It would be hard to overstate the extent to which the Brewers' approach with sinkers is bucking the league norm. I wrote this weekend about the fact that Peter Strzelecki has not only added a sinker to his arsenal this spring, but used it fairly often against left-handed batters. Few teams in baseball instruct their pitchers to use their sinker against opposite-handed hitters, unless it can't be helped. The Brewers are an exception. Just as importantly, here, note that Rea has become primarily a cutter guy against lefties. That's more conventional, but equally telling. The Brewers love sinkers and cutters. They want hard stuff with late movement, the kind that limits the quality of opponents' contact and lets the team's league-best defense do its job. They want the good control that comes with throwing fewer breaking balls and more of what amount to fastballs.

    As a result, only one team in MLB has thrown fewer sliders and sweepers than the Brewers in 2023.

    Sliders and Sweepers as Percentage of all Pitches, Top and Bottom 5 MLB Teams, 2023

    Team Pitch %
    SF 30.8
    LAA 30.3
    PIT 30.1
    OAK 27.6
    KC 26.7
       
    BAL 18.3
    DET 17.6
    SD 17.4
    MIL 15.1
    AZ 14.8

    Even Rea, the rare Brewer who has developed a new slider this year, helps illustrate what the Brewers prefer to do instead. Strzelecki's new sinker tells a clear story. The fact that the team elected to bring back Wade Miley via free agency is telling. With Corbin Burnes as their ace, the pitching staff really seems to have taken on his identity and learned the lessons implied by his breakout: that smaller, sharper movement can be more effective than big, sweeping break and prioritizing spin rates.

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    1 hour ago, Matthew Trueblood said:

    They want hard stuff with late movement, the kind that limits the quality of opponents' contact and lets the team's league-best defense do its job.

    Bingo. What's also true with pitch selection is the situational nature of things. The pitcher may use swing-and-miss pitches in higher leverage situations, and weak-contact pitches in lower leverage situations. Perhaps the Brewers simply have been in a lot of lower-leverage situations (e.g. big lead/deficit, no runners on base, looking for double-play, etc.)



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