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  • Timing--Of Two Kinds--Might Soon Be Right for Keston Hiura

    Jake McKibbin

    Coming back from a two-month layoff, it’s understandable that Keston Hiura would take a little time to find his rhythm again. After he did a solid enough job of getting on base with some seeing-eye singles, Sunday night’s game was his first sign of really getting on time again. 

    Image courtesy of © Katie Stratman, Katie Stratman / USA TODAY NETWORK

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    Looking further into his at-bats, there are some reasons to be optimistic that we might see a prime Hiura in the Brewers lineup sooner rather than later.

    This is his second at bat below, and a slight indicator of his improvement at grinding against the high fastball:



    Having fallen behind 0-2 with fastballs on each edge of the plate, he stayed patient on some very high ones i tight, took a well-located sweeper just off the outside edge of the plate, and punished the slider left over the middle. Previous iterations of Hiura get antsy, swing at the fifth pitch, and strike out, but this version had a far calmer approach, resulting in a hard-hit single.



    This approach in his third at-bat is a typical example of how not to pitch to Hiura: a fastball down in the zone, followed by a cutter even lower. This is the AB finishing in the 98 mph “fly out”, and they got away with it, but this would be classified as a barreled-up baseball.

    His fourth at-bat is, perhaps, my favorite, as it located pitches exactly where you would want to Hiura


    He swings early in the count at pitches he would probably regard as very hittable, over the middle of the plate and slightly above the knees, whiffing one and fouling off the next to fall behind early.

    Then he takes a fastball just above the strike zone–again, something he’d previously be very likely to chase. A slider far off the plate and a high changeup evened the count, before a foul ball again on a pitch he would probably like back. 

    And to finish it off, the high fastball, something he has perennially struggled with, slightly off the outside part of the plate. Mashed. A 107-mph double.

    All in all, here were his exit velocities from the game:

    • 83.9 mph groundout
    • 100.9 mph single
    • 98 mph flyout (19 degree launch angle, so basically a line out)
    • 107.1 mph double 
    • 99.9 mph lineout

    That’s four hard-hit balls consecutively, off a variety of different pitches in different locations.

    The Issues

    Let’s face it, a fully firing Jesse Winker is an upgrade on a firing Keston Hiura at the plate, and Winker has begun to show some resurgence in the last week or so, making much better contact, hitting the ball noticeably harder even to the opposite field. He’s hitting .261/.346/.478 over his last seven games, while hitting four doubles and a home run. (Bear in mind that he went over two months without an extra-base hit, beginning in mid-April).

    The ongoing struggles of Rowdy Tellez at first do, however, present an opportunity for Hiura to try and seize that role against right-handers as well as lefties. Tellez has still shown occasional power, but his lack of home runs (previously his main value to this team) is very concerning, and you can’t help but think even an average Keston Hiura is a substantial upgrade if his hands have improved with the regular playing time at first base.

    Tellez last hit a home run on May 22nd, and recorded just seven RBIs in the month of June–shocking, from a hitter in the three or four hole, and given how often Christian Yelich got on base ahead of him.

    Hiura has also played an average left field this season, unexpectedly, with some highlight-reel plays, so there are several ways to get him involved in the line-up should he come up.

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    A fully firing Winker from 3 or so seasons ago is an upgrade to what Hiura provided at the MLB level in 2022, but a chronically injured and diminished Winker is most certainly not...which is what it appears the Brewers currently have on the MLB roster.  Winker's current "hot" streak is frankly still not good enough to guarantee him a longer leash as this team's primary DH.  And it makes no sense to include Hiura as a 1B option just because he played there a few seasons ago while his own offensive production suffered (and played it poorly, btw) - he's been in AAA playing LF, so Hiura should either be a DH or spot start corner outfielder if he's in MLB.  Tellez has stunk up the joint most of this season and the Brewers are getting laughable production from 1B because of it, but that shouldn't mean square-pegging Hiura back at that position on what would AGAIN become a part time role for him.  To improve 1st base offensive production this season, the Brewers need to acquire a better offensive 1B than Tellez.  To improve DH production this season, the Brewers need to DFA Winker or option Miller and get Hiura back in Milwaukee ASAP so they can see if he can sustain what he's been up to in AAA when healthy this year, or otherwise they could look into the trade market at the deadline.

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  • Posted

    Tellez was trying to play through an injury - which probably explains his power outage. Hopefully he's learned NOT to try to suffer in silence, but to tell someone.

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    Jake McKibbin
  • Brewer Fanatic Contributor
  • Posted

    5 hours ago, Samurai Bucky said:

    I am so glad nobody kept highlighting my exit velocities,

    Luis Arreaz


    Haha absolutely, but I think it's fair to say Arraez is a freak, and very very different as a player. In general when you hit the ball in the air as well as Hiura does, exit velo is important to show quality of contact

    8 hours ago, clancyphile said:

    Tellez was trying to play through an injury - which probably explains his power outage. Hopefully he's learned NOT to try to suffer in silence, but to tell someone.

    He never lost the high exit velos though, but definitely seemed to be guessing at the plate, still I do think he could have a big second half and even if Winker is replaced, then Hiura will take some of Rowdy's AB's

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