The question might be (and why get worried for something that might not happen), how does our system need to change if pre-FA control is reduced to 4 or 5 years instead of the 6-7?
Does that add more of a market incentive to do these early 6-8 year deals in the $40-60 million range for our premium players. I think we all agree that the $20-$30M/per deals really crash our system.
Between Braun, Yelich, its hard to argue that either of those deals worked out for us. Woody hasn't (but was realistically a 1 year deal at that premium price so it doesn't hurt long term)... I agree that signing Adames, Williams, Burnes, and Hader would not have been in our best interests.
My question would be though, would 1 extra year of Adames last year helped us? Would 1 extra year of Contreras or Turang help us in 2028, 2029, or 2030?
I think my original point was, would it be a valuable strategy to try and extend (early) our control over some of these premium players from 6-7 years to 8-9 years if possible. Not keep them for their career, but try and get year 1 or 1/2 of their FA. I realize this is a dicey proposition though. Extend the wrong players, and you end up with bad contracts. Wait too long for the player to establish themselves, and there really is no reason for them to give up their most valuable 1-2 years of FA.
Then again, an injury can come out of nowhere (QP, Woody, etc)