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Fear The Chorizo

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Everything posted by Fear The Chorizo

  1. Fear The Chorizo
    Viking fans are beside themselves...it's like "do we throw $35+ million to Cousins and hope he's the same player a couple more years after blowing out his achilles mid-season, knowing we're already going to be hardpressed to extend Jefferson/Darrisaw and retain Hunter?" Or do we trade who we can and go full rebuild mode knowing the defensive personnel are thin and aging at key spots, give Jefferson a market-setting WR contract extension while having no longterm QB in the organization and hope the GM actually makes a good pick early in the draft? Then they turn around and see Love shredding them and mutter "of course" to themselves....it's glorious!
  2. Fear The Chorizo
    You mean Watson, I presume? I just want to see him back in a game situation - him on the field with the rest of the young receivers really spaces out the field, and a healthy him paired with Reed in the slot and the rest of the WRs/TEs is a handful if Love is distributing the ball to all of them. Love seemingly has been really good against teams dialing up blitzes to try and generate pressure, because the receivers have more open space to run to. Where Love still needs development is against defenses that can generate decent pressure rushing 4 and dropping into coverage - alot of those downfield jump throws leading receivers into wide open spaces won't be there and typically will have defenders closing from the back end instead of chasing in man coverage. Thinking of that Giants game that Love played poorly in for most of that contest. The offense's surge has been tied to improved Oline play (no surprises there) - if that keeps up I'm looking forward to an entertaining playoff game for a team I have no expectations on making run with nothing to lose.
  3. Fear The Chorizo
    Jorge Soler looks like a really good fit on this roster, especially if he's signed as the DH to go along with Santana to play 1B
  4. Fear The Chorizo
    Which is sad, because Bauer was among the best starting pitchers in the game before he got his MLB career taken away from him for something he was falsely accused of doing. Part of the lack of rumors with Bauer is probably all the other more prominent FA pitchers taking awhile to sign contracts that interested teams are still vying for (Snell, Montgomery, etc). I'm not saying Bauer is a saint, but he's a good, durable starting pitcher that will take the ball every 5th day and give the team he's pitching for a good chance to win, and I think a MLB team will sign him to a deal before the season starts. I actually think he would be a really good fit in Milwaukee in the middle of their rotation regardless of whether they trade Burnes or keep him into Opening Day. If nothing else, I don't see why a rebuilding team doesn't give Bauer a contract and then try to deal him for prospects at the deadline if he proves to still be an effective starter at the MLB level.
  5. Fear The Chorizo
    One thing I've done recently to further diversify from just the retirement account is throw a pile of my rainy day fund savings into CDs - my bank had 9 month and other short term CDs at 5% APR with the recent rate hikes. That's a pretty solid guaranteed return that doesn't tie up funds for too long, either. 2022 sucked for my retirement account (and probably for most of us since there was really nowhere to hide in stock or bond fund markets), but 2023 was a nice rebound....hoping the market isn't as volatile as I think it will be in 2024 so the gains we've all seen recently have a chance to stabilize the retirement account baselines. It does seem like the bond market is finally starting to crawl out of the hole it dug itself into the past few years, so making sure to have a decent percentage of the 401k tied to a bond fund or two makes alot of sense if you're at an age where the retirement finish line is at least starting to come into view.
  6. Fear The Chorizo
    At this point in time, I think the Reds are solidly the 2nd best team in the division because the Cubs have gotten markedly worse pending any additional roster moves (honestly, besides paying CC $40M to manage they've done squat besides see key bats for their 2023 roster in Candelario and Bellinger leave the roster, plus their 2023 Opening Day starter is also a free agent), and the Brewers have actually improved their roster from the 2023 club that won 92 games. If the Brewers truly do plan on rolling with Burnes during his free agent year and keep Adames/Williams in their roles to start 2024 instead of trading them, they are still the clear favorite to win the division with a ballclub capable of churning out 88-94 wins. And, I think they have a chance to make significant roster upgrades at 1B, DH, or 3B via free agency to further separate themselves from the Reds. The Cubs could obviously throw a ton of $$ at Bellinger, a starter, and a closer/reliever, but honestly if they did all 3 of those things it would basically get them back to where they were in 2023 in terms of win projections.
  7. Fear The Chorizo
    What are they going to do when Burnes is finally gone and they don't have the pitching to fall back on like they used to? Probably just insert more young starters from their organization into the MLB rotation that cost about $600K per season for a few years instead of $30M+, similar to what the Brewers did 5-7 years ago with Peralta, Woodruff, and Burnes (none of which were ever premier can't-miss TOR prospects...in fact Burnes was arguably the worst pitcher in baseball in 2019 as a starter). The current organizational model gets it right way more than it gets it wrong with pitching, so they've earned trust with regard to continued development of pitching....and if you'd look in the mid to upper minor league levels right now there are a couple guys who could slide into MLB rotation roles over the next 1-2 seasons, starting with Gasser. The Brewers are obviously banking on offensive improvement from some of their young OFs in 2024, and the offseason is far from over that they could bolster corner IF offensive production before Spring Training, too. Most of the veteran garbage that gobbled up a bunch of DH, 1B, and 3B at bats last season is no longer on the roster, so to say the Brewers aren't actively looking to upgrade those roster spots is wrong even if no other additions are made.
  8. Fear The Chorizo
    The NBA also has the huge advantage of teams only having to worry about 12 players on their roster, not 40 plus 5-6 minor league team rosters full of prospects and organizational depth. I think the nfl is more comparable to mlb, and despite massive revenue sharing their player contract system is awful compared to what mlb players have in terms of guaranteed contracts.
  9. Fear The Chorizo
    As long as there continues to be an amateur mlb draft and international signing process, well run organizations will find ways to field consistently competitive mlb ball clubs without having to print money to sign veteran free agents on the downslope of their careers. Baseball has and always will be a young man's game - but it also has the biggest hurdle between amateur and major league professional players and because of it their player development model is vastly different than the nfl or nba, where revenue sharing teams get their pick of league-ready talent every draft. Mlb clubs that excel at player development, talent evaluation in the draft, and mining underappreciated prospects from other teams can win at the MLB level consistently without carrying a $200m plus payroll. The revenue sharing that mlb does have actually is plenty of $ for organizations to draw from and build good ballclubs without needing to sign a 32 yr old outfielder to a longterm 9 figure contract who might give you a couple seasons of solid production before his body falls apart.
  10. Fear The Chorizo
    I have no idea why any Brewer fan would want to ink a pitcher over 30 yrs old to any sort of longterm deal who is coming off a shoulder injury that required him to miss most of last season and undergo surgery. I think Woodruff is going to have a hard time finding a team to sign him to a contract before this season starts, because teams are going to want to see him pitch after rehabbing to have a better idea what he is before guaranteeing anything. And posters want to offer him 4+ season extensions at this point? Maybe a huge market team that misses out on all the other prominent free agent starters that will actually pitch in MLB next season will throw Woodruff a 2 year flyer with a nominal amount of $ this season and a club option for 2025 if Woodruff enters next offseason healthy and ready to pitch at the MLB level again, but it also wouldn't surprise me if we're talking about a "Woodruff throwing session showcase" sometime in July or August that attempts to draw interest from teams to sign him for the stretch run or set up his free agency headed to the 2025 season.
  11. Fear The Chorizo
    They won't be paying Chourio like a middle of the order bat and starting CF with his current contract extension for another 5-6 calendar years. Had they called up chourio last August, his current contract extension would include at least one fewer option year and likely would have been closer to double the total cost compared to what the current contract value is. This hot stove rabbit hole makes zero sense, and I already regret venturing down it....but I can't help myself and would rather comment on this than reading the next article related to "could the Brewers trade Burnes to the Cubs for Ian Happ?"
  12. Fear The Chorizo
    As of now the Cubs are far worse on paper than they were last season with both bellinger and stroman currently being free agents
  13. Fear The Chorizo
    Dez was high on Doubs early last season, too.
  14. Fear The Chorizo
    1 - those weren't contentious negotiations, as the Brewers made Burnes a solid Arby 2 offer and Burnes opted to go to an arbitration hearing instead, then he got pouty because he lost. The Brewers reached terms on ALL of their other arbitration cases, including Woodruff and Adames. 2 - I hate how Boras operates, but it's in his own best interest to keep Burnes as happy and productive as possible this season if he wants a shot at a decent agent's commission next offseason when Burnes becomes a free agent and doesn't wind up signing a contract until middle of spring training 2025. Torres makes zero sense in a trade for Burnes from the Brewers' perspective - he's basically going to be a salary wash in his own 3rd year of arbitration and will be a free agent after next season. The Brewers would be better off just sticking with Burnes for 2024 and then getting the QO draft pick compensation.
  15. Fear The Chorizo
    It would be so fun for this team to get into the playoffs....and despite their defensive limitations, their offense if anywhere close to healthy would terrify playoff opponents right now, just because it's full of young playmakes all over the field.
  16. Fear The Chorizo
    Despite being the current NFC favorite, I still think the 49ers will Shanahan themselves out of the mix before the Super Bowl in the playoffs....their demolition of both the Cowboys and Eagles in the regular season are the type of situations where a rematch in the playoffs turn into dramatically different games - and I just don't trust Purdy to flat out win them a playoff game when the opposing defense takes away the middle of the field and makes him beat them with throws to the perimeter.
  17. Fear The Chorizo
    The 12 team playoff field is a step in the right direction...that should at least keep players in the top tier programs long enough to have a slate of good games rather than see the transfor portal and nfl sit out announcements pour in for games that should carry some weight. However, with the expanded field I'd like to see them do away completely with the top 25 rankings. Just make the cfp field the top two teams in each of the four power conferences plus four at large bids - with no more than 4 teams being able to get into the playoff from any one conference. I hate that preseason rankings carry weight through the year , and this large of a playoff field should render them completely pointless.
  18. Fear The Chorizo
    When you diminish everything else that was formerly of value in major college football (conference titles, conference-specific Bowl game representation, etc.) to be meaningless besides winning what still amounts to a popularity contest to get into two games at the end of the year, something that 90+ percent of the teams in major college football that aren't NFL factories have zero chance at to begin with, then sprinkle in the current insanity that is the transfer portal and NIL push for good players at these mid tier programs to shop around where they could make more $$, you get the current state of college football. Which is essentially garbage but enough people in SEC country care about it to make the current system profitable, so things aren't changing for the better anytime soon.
  19. Fear The Chorizo
    Right now the Phil's are focused on giving Wheeler a massive extension...and since he's a better pitcher than Burnes is I don't see them being a match via trade. I can see the Braves being an interesting fit for Burnes in that division, though.
  20. Fear The Chorizo
    Adames 2021 season after first coming to the Brewers has proven to be his statistical outlier for his career. Expecting him to repeat that and then base an extension or free agent deal of sustaining that level of offense is what teams like the Angels do in free agency. Adames is a good mlb player who plays solid defense at a premium position and can carry a team offensively for a couple weeks here and there during the season...the rest if the time you better not have to rely on him in the top half of the batting order. Personally, I'd like to trade Adames now if there's value to avoid him repeating 2023 at the plate and wind up not even being comfortable offering him a QO next offseason and getting nothing back for him leaving.
  21. Fear The Chorizo
    Giving their top prospect who has a ceiling of a league MVP based on what he's done in the minors as a kid a never-been-done before longterm extension isn't splashy enough for you? Compared to 95 percent of the rest of MLB, the Brewers have been making plenty of moves this offseason. Just because the Brewers don't give massive contracts to players on the verge of onfield decline as they become free agents doesn't mean they aren't actively improving a roster that won 92 regular season games last year.
  22. Fear The Chorizo
    Not sure on actual numbers, but the best player in CFB this season (Harrison Jr.) is sitting because he's set to be a top 5 draft pick and their starting QB transferred, then their primary backup got knocked out early with injury. Mizzou has some guys out as well - any player with eyes on the NFL would be foolish to play in the bowl game the way this system is set up, and even the guys who suit up aren't invested in the outcome of this game despite it being one of the marquee non-CFP bowls. OSU was within 1 score of being the top ranked team in the CFB playoff, and they had a better resume with 1 loss than Alabama did, IMO.
  23. Fear The Chorizo
    OSU vs Mizzou, without any motivation and the current transfer portal climate...looks like a mid level high school JV game. And these are a pair of top 10 teams! College football is really screwing up their product
  24. Fear The Chorizo
    I'm not expecting Santana to be more than he has shown to be the past few seasons, which would still be a big upgrade at 1B, and he wouldn't require a platoon mate on the roster to have competent offensive production from a corner IF position. plus he's still a quality defender over there. The past few seasons, it seems like the Brewers have been chasing their tails trying to set up platoon options at 1B and 3B plus DH, often taking up 3-4 or even 5 roster spots and wind up getting below average offensive production to show for it from all 3 of those everyday lineup spots. To me, there's value in plugging Santana in as the primary 1B and dedicating 1 roster spot to that position, then rolling the dice with Black at 3rd and signing a veteran DH to give your roster flexibility/depth elsewhere. DH, IMO, should be a bigger priority in free agency for a team like the Brewers than 1B...if their model is defensive versatility to build the position player roster, I'd be much more ok with that if they would view the DH as more than an afterthought/bench role when Yelich or Contreras isn't occupying that spot in the lineup. Even if the Brewers hold onto Burnes to start the season instead of trading him (and I hope that is the case), they have plenty of budget available to sign Santana and one of the more sought after DHs...particularly if they let Black open the season at 3B making league minimum.
  25. Fear The Chorizo
    Instead of spending $18-20M a season for at least 2-3 years to add Hoskins via free agency to play first, coming off a knee surgery, I'd prefer the Brewers sign Santana to a 1-yr (~$7-8M) deal to play 1st, then also make another free agent splash in adding either Jorge Soler (3-4 yr deal) or JD Martinez (1-2 yr deal) to be their everyday DH...Yelich could still get plenty of DH ab's against righty starters if there's a need to keep his bat in the lineup, and Contreras could actually get legit days off instead of DH-ing when he isn't catching a game. This type of approach would allocate a similar dollar amount and actually bolster the lineup at two spots with veteran RH hitters with pop (Santana is a switch hitter) instead of one.
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