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JohnBriggs12

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Everything posted by JohnBriggs12

  1. JohnBriggs12
    Lol been calling him for past 2 years. To me all it shows is what we already knew...the kid can falt out hit. He centers up on every ball. However we still needs to greatly improve in the field and improve baserunning. Pedroia never had any fielding concerns, so Gennett needs to get better. I was comparing him offensively to Pedroia. Pedroia is a gold glover but he'd still be an All Star if he were simply average in the field. Very few guys are going to compare with him defensively. BTW, Gennett is up to a ridiculous .419 now. Glove or no glove, a bat like that will play. BTW: Gennett has zero errors in the AFL so far.
  2. JohnBriggs12
    So after less than 400 major league AB's you are pigeon-holing him as a .300 OBP hitter (it's actually .305) and completely ignoring that against lefties it's .360 or that in the past 2 minor league seasons it's been .371 and .375? I'm not calling him the second coming. I'm just saying that he's got sufficient credentials (compare him to the McGehee that was claimed 3 years ago) both in the minors and majors to certainly be worth bringing in as a potential RH platoon partner with Gamel. Remember Gamel is no sure thing at 1B. McGehee would be a platoon option but he doesn't hit lefties very well, and he'll be more expensive.
  3. JohnBriggs12
    This whole Marlins offering 3 guys screams "marketing ploy". It's to show potential ticket buyers that "we are serious". Pujols isn't going to jump at the first offer. Neither is Reyes. Is it possible the Marlins land a guy. Sure, but to call it a done deal at this point is really stretching it.
  4. JohnBriggs12
    This whole Marlins offering 3 guys screams "marketing ploy". It's to show potential ticket buyers that "we are serious". Pujols isn't going to jump at the first offer. Neither is Reyes. Is it possible the Marlins land a guy. Sure, but to call it a done deal at this point is really stretching it.
  5. JohnBriggs12
    This whole Marlins offering 3 guys screams "marketing ploy". It's to show potential ticket buyers that "we are serious". Pujols isn't going to jump at the first offer. Neither is Reyes. Is it possible the Marlins land a guy. Sure, but to call it a done deal at this point is really stretching it.
  6. JohnBriggs12
    Getting back to Carroll. He's never started more than 111 games in the majors, and many of those are at 2B. He's 5'9" and generously listed at 170 pounds and he'll be 38 next year. He played a lot when Furcal was out, but not at SS. Dee Gordon played most of the time there. He's a Hairston type. Solid player, good AB's, but not an everyday SS. Never has been. Knock Yuni all you want but Yuni has been an everyday player at a key position for a number of years.
  7. JohnBriggs12
    The Mets just outrighted the versatile Nick Evans. Evans, who'll be just 26 in January, has a career .295/.360/.489 line vs. lefties. Now wouldn't he be a nice cheap guy who can platoon with Gamel, also play some 3B and corner OF? I'm amazed nobody claimed him.
  8. JohnBriggs12
    He showed that he could be an every day player last year... and with his deal, you are only risking 4% of your payroll in doing so. To be honest, I just don't see how Yuni is an everyday player at SS at this point in his career, either. And he's in the middle of his prime. His 146 games played last year is deceiving. He only started 111. That's not an everyday player. At 38, at best he's a 4 day a week player. Had the Brewers got him, they'd need a Hairston type to split time with him. I suspect the Twins will too. $3.5 million per year isn't outrageous, but does push up the market for true everyday players at that position. Yuni was the everyday SS on a 96 win team. He was 2nd among NL SS in RBI. From the All Star break through the postseason, he hit .276 and slugged .430. He's never been hurt. I'd take him over Carroll.
  9. JohnBriggs12
    The potential suitor list for Fielder seems to shrink daily. Nolan Ryan pretty clearly stated that the Rangers (a team that could have afforded to make a big bid) isn't interested. Eliminating a team like the Rangers will cost Fielder. I think some of the remaining teams out there that have been linked are in situations where their interest depends on the price tag and they're thinking in amounts far less than Boras is. Right now I think the Brewers attention is on Reyes but it could go back to Fielder if the market collapses enough. Then there is the ace that Boras holds. If the market collapses enough, he could opt to accept the Brewer arbitration offer and figure Prince could have more appeal next year, when the Cubs will be further along, and Pujols won't be out there taking potential Fielder suitors away. Now suppose Attanasio lands Reyes and Fielder decides to accept arby which figures to be around $20 million. That would put the Brewers in a payroll bind for 2012 though I'd assume they'd then try to deal at least one of not two starters in that scenario, but imagine for a second a lineup (at least for one year) with Reyes and Fielder.
  10. JohnBriggs12
    My point isn't that Greinke isn't a quality starting pitcher but that he's not an ace. He's had one "ace quality" year in his career. One. Forget ERA. Opposing hitters have hit a cumulative .260 and slugged .411 off of him for his career. There's nothing special about those numbers. Those numbers are a lot closer to Narveson (.258 BAA, .421 SPA) than they are to Gallardo Against Gallardo, hitters have a cumulative .240 BA and a .380 SP. Lets compare him to his Cardinal counterpart, Adam Wainwright. Hitters have hit .244 and slugged just .361 off of Wainwright. I have the benefit of having MLB Extra Innings. I heard many an out of town color commentator (including a lot of ex pitchers) comment that Greinke threw harder in 2009 and they frankly were not overly impressed with his stuff. The tipping point for me was his final game against St. Louis when it was noted he had induced one swing and miss in his first 75 pitches. That's an ace? That's not to say he doesn't have value. The max I'd offer him would be $52 million over 4 with some incentives that would add some on to that. But this is a guy who people have thrown out numbers like $85-90 million over 5-6 years and no way do I do that. The Brewers success this year had more to do with their bullpen which was as good as it gets in the 2nd half, and having two of the top 3 MVP candidates in the middle of the order than it did the starting pitching.
  11. JohnBriggs12
    What are we to make of Scooter Gennett's performance in the AFL? True it's 69 AB and its Arizona, but .406/.474/.536 from a 21 year old who is just 5'9" 164? That's one impressive line. Is it too early to start calling him a lefty swinging version of Dustin Pedroia?
  12. JohnBriggs12
    That's not a problem it's a blessing. If Greinke took what he was worth based on the past 2 seasons, he'd get something like $45-50 million over 4. But his asking price is going to be more in line with what he did in 2009, and the Brewers wouldn't be wise to do that.
  13. JohnBriggs12
    1 HR every 19 AB's playing for the Dodgers. That's not a bad threat to have batting down in the order. I can see some value there.
  14. JohnBriggs12
    How many did McGehee have last year? About half of that number. Apples and oranges. McGehee had 1 3/4 years of success at the major league level. He hit from day one his rookie year. Had he gone 60 AB's in 2009 and not hit, he would have been gone.
  15. JohnBriggs12
    His trade value is very limited. There aren't a lot of teams looking for a 26 year old who's not made any impact in the big leagues and who's limited defensively to 1B or corner OF. True his minor league numbers have been very good, but lots of AAAA guys who never panned out in the majors have put up numbers like that in their mid 20's in AAA. Its not like he's doing that at age 22. With no outstanding alternatives, it's likely he'll start the year at 1B. I don't think they'll stick with him all that long if he struggles though. He's going to have pressure to produce right away. This is his make or break year. If he hits .250 with 17-18 HR and 70-75 rbi, they'll look elsewhere for 2013. He's going to need to hit .275 or up and have close to 25 HR and 90 RBI. Time will tell.
  16. JohnBriggs12
    Doing nothing is risky too. Remember what happened between 1992 and 1993. In 92, the Brewers won 92 games. Then in the offseason, Molitor took his talents north of the border, and Chris Bosio left as a FA. There was a lot of angst over losing Molitor of course, and to a lesser extent Bosio, but there were many fans that looked at rotation that still had youngsters Cal Eldred, Jamie Navarro, and Ricky Bones and a lineup that included Vaughn, Yount, Surhoff, and a couple of hot shot youngsters in David Nilsson and John Jaha and most figured at worst the team would slide a little. I'll never forget the marketing campaign that year, where Phil Garner bemoaned anything that was 2nd place. Of course what happened is that the team sunk to 69 wins in 1993. If they don't add an impact player and next year the teams slides to under .500, there is going to be a lot of finger pointing.
  17. JohnBriggs12
    Trade any of the starting pitchers you don't control beyond 2012 and replace them with Peralta, Estrada or someone you get back in the deal. Pitching begets pitching. Teams wanting veteran pitching might pay with a young pitcher. Want to get to $85 million? Trade Weeks and get a young 3B back, then play Green at 2B, his natural position. I'm virtually certain the budget is going to be around $95 million for next year. $30 million or so will be freed up if they let Greinke, Marcum and Wolf go after this year. Some of that will go to raises for others, but enough should be left over to sign or trade for an established pitcher to fill one of those spots for 2013. I think the plan is that by 2013 to have at least 2 pre arby pitchers in the rotation. If they could have 2 and one decent veteran who's moderately priced (perhaps still Narveson), then they can splurge a little on the other spot. I think Greinke has to show them a little more though to be that guy.
  18. JohnBriggs12
    Cabrera had an All Star caliber year. This is a steal for the Giants in my opinion and makes them much stronger. Sanchez is a tease. He's got a losing career record and a career ERA of 4.26 playing in a pitcher friendly park and in the pitcher friendly NL West. He'll get hammered in the AL Central facing DH's and walking guys like he does.
  19. JohnBriggs12
    Thome can't play first. He'll have a Matt Stairs/Jason Giambi role. Come up late in games when a HR is needed.
  20. JohnBriggs12
    I don't get why Pena is always listed so highly. What did he do for the Cubs last year? Nothing. He can't hit lefties at all. He's not hit over .227 the last 3 years plus he'll be 34 next year.. If they don't have faith in Gamel, I much prefer the $4 million gamble that Kotchman could build on his 2011 season. Plus he's a very good defensive 1st baseman.
  21. JohnBriggs12
    "Rotation is one of the least of our concerns". I don't agree with that. The rotation is always a prime concern and expecting repeats of prior years from all is shortsighted. Still the rotation was only 6th best in the NL in ERA I believe, which means there is room for improvement. Still, with Peralta, Fiers, De la Cruz, Estrada they have guys capable of stepping into a 5th spot. Spending another $4-5 million on a Pineiro or a Francis only makes sense if you've already unloaded a higher price guy like Wolf or Marcum. Now that's a route I'd seriously consider going myself if you don't want to overpay to bring them back in 2013.
  22. JohnBriggs12
    Getting a pitcher coming off 2 double digit win seasons in the FA market will require at least $4-5 million per year over more than one year. Sure you can find those guys, but why pay for one when you already have one at a fraction of that cost, at least in 2012 and that you still control on year to year basis for 3 more seasons? Obviously you could fill that spot with a Peralta, Estrada, or Fiers, but once again what do you do in 2013? Do you really want to extend the guy that was so awful for 2 months? Or do you really want to commit $90 or so to Greinke who if it weren't for great run support was just average the last couple seasons? Also do you really want to sacrifice Thornburg for a nice player in Headley before you give Green a shot?
  23. JohnBriggs12
    Let me get this straight. Unless you want to pay Randy Wolf $10 million to pitch at age 36 in 2013, they presently control only 40% of their rotation beyond 2012. So the solution is to trade one of the two you do control and who figures to still be reasonably affordable? Then in another deal you sacrifice a strong, minimum salary candidate to fill one of those open spots in the 2013 rotation? Then by trading for a 1B and 3B, you completely negate any value of two players in Green and Gamel who posted .997 and .862 OPS, and combined for 50 HR and 184 RBI at AAA? Furcal? Seriously? Take away his 49 regular season AB's against the Brewers, and he hit .222 and slugged .303 with 3 HR and 19 RBI in 284 AB's against the rest of the league. Thankfully Mr. Breen isn't running this organization. He must see pitching depth in the organization that I don't see. My 2013 rotation includes both Narveson and Thornburg along with Gallardo, Peralta and a solid FA veteran. No way I deal those guys.
  24. JohnBriggs12
    If GMs were so good at in game strategy, how come so few were ever big league managers? If the GM has flawed ideas on what strategy works best then he's likely going to hire a manager who also does. Now if someone brought in LaRussa, or Leyland to evaluate a candidate, now that might hold some validity.
  25. JohnBriggs12
    "Yuni has produced terribly"? Say what? He was 2nd among NL SS last year in RBI. I know nobody looks at RBI as meaningful anymore, but it is a measure of production. The 146 RBI's he's got in the last 2 seasons are more than Mike Cameron had in his 2 years as a Brewer. In 294 AB's since the All Star break including the postseason, Betancourt hit .276, with 17 doubles, 2 triples, 9 HR, and 44 RBI. He slugged .436. How is that producing terribly? Yes, he was less than stellar in the first half, but most guys struggle after changing leagues.
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