mletto157
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Everything posted by mletto157
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Plus all the players like having Cameron around; he's a good clubhouse guy. He'll be a good guy to have here to make other free agents want to come here too. Though I think some are still underestimating the value of a good defensive CF. Especially considering who we have in the corners. I think the loss of Cameron's defense would be felt more than some might realize.
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Cameron averaged 2.92 chances per 9 innings this year. Adam Jones for the Orioles averaged 3.25 chances per 9. I'll compare these two because both are considered good CF'ers and both played with terrible pitching staffs. As important as CF defense is, I find it hard to believe those 3 chances a CF'er gets every 27 outs are more valuable than the 18-21 outs of a good starting pitcher. I agree that the defense of a position player would not be more valuable than a good starting pitcher, but it's not as far off as you make it out to be. The approximate 3 chances per 9 IP is in reference to one game (every game) and that pitcher's 18-21 outs are in reference to one game (in every 5). A more reasonable evaluation would have those 3 chances/9IP be more like 15 chances/5 games compared to the starting pitchers 18 outs/5 games. Seems a lot more comparable now, hey? Not to mention that when you also add in the offense of said position player he absolutely is as valuable if not more valuable than that starting pitcher.
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I don't think that is even close to a fair comparison. Hall had huge holes in his swing while Casey has a tighter, compact swing and makes much better contact. I don't think he's necessarily talking about the players actual physical skills as much as the perception of said player by the fans/front office, etc. Everyone loved Bill Hall and thought he was the next coming after one or two good seasons that came out of no where. The exact same thing is happening with McGehee. The exact same thing happened with Brady Clark. Anyone notice a pattern here? We can't keep doing this to ourselves with players that come out of nowhere and have a career year... it's turning into our achilles heel!
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I hope they don't trade Gamel now, because IMO they will regret it sooner rather than later. Yount19 - don't you think it's interesting that both Gamel and McGehee struggled with limited playing time? That's pretty much what happens with younger players. So the fact that Gamel had a .864 OPS while starting at 3B is definitely an important stat. Most young hitters, or all hitters for that matter, play better with consistent playing time.
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Rays fire hitting coach, stat crowd will love why!
mletto157 replied to DuWayne Steurer's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
So Jason Kendall just happens to want to ground out to 2B on almost every at-bat then. I get it. Though I'd rather he wanted to get a hit on every at-bat instead... -
And his .864 OPS when starting at 3B wasn't enough to show them anything? That's just about what McGehee did in a career year this year that he's unlikely to repeat...
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Gamel will figure what out? If you look at his statistics he has already figured out how to hit. Apparently the only thing he needs to figure out is maturity... I'm extremely scared that everyone in the organization is so in love with Casey McGehee they totally forgot why he landed as a Brewer in the 1st place. He's not a great player. He's a good backup/utility guy. If he somehow maintains a level similar to this year for the rest of his career, that's wonderful, and I'd be glad to have it. But, I just don't think it's too likely. He will most likely regress closer to where his minor league numbers suggest he should be. Gamel on the otherhand is a good player. He should be starting at 3B in the near future. In the longrun I will be very surprised if Gamel doesn't out-produce McGehee.
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Manny Parra to undergo minor arthroscopic shoulder surgery
mletto157 replied to trwi7's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I only ask because I don't buy into the constant excuse train that comes out to cover every bad outing by Bush, Suppan, and Parra. I just don't get this sentence MJ... you think injured pitchers should pitch like they do when they're healthy? Of course they're going to pitch poorly when they're injured... -
Rays fire hitting coach, stat crowd will love why!
mletto157 replied to DuWayne Steurer's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
topper, I think you're giving a little too much credit to MLB hitters and not enough to MLB pitchers. Maybe, on a fastball, right down the middle, that they are completely ready for a MLB hitter should be able to hit it at least close to where they want to - but how often can a hitter be certain the pitcher is going to throw a fastball right down the middle? I'd say never. MLB pitchers are mostly good enough to throw the ball where they want and throw many different pitches at different speeds and different breaks. No way can I believe that on any occasion a MLB hitter should be able to ground out to 2B in every at bat if they wanted to. -
I'm not big on the "closer" being an important role... because statistically speaking most relief pitchers could perform in that role. However, with how the general fan base responded to Trevor this year, I totally see why they brought him back. After a disappointing season they need someone to fill the seats. Whatever makes people come to the games is a win for the organization. Having Trevor does that, and having him hit #600 this year could help that even more! EDIT: I don't know about you, but even I got amped when Hells Bells starting playing over the loudspeaker this year.
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When they brought Gamel up, I fully thought that it was because Weeks got hurt and they planned on playing McGehee/Counsell more at 2B and having Gamel as the everyday 3B. That's what made sense to me since it seemed like the best way to replace the lost production from not having Weeks in the lineup. Apparently Macha didn't think so... Now, once they acquired Lopez, it seemed like a no brainer to send Gamel back down since obviously they weren't playing him like they should anyway. But IMO having Lopez at 2B and Gamel at 3B with McGehee/Counsell as the backups would have been a pretty good solution; probably even out-producting what they had prior to the Weeks injury.
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How's this for a hilarious statistic. Suppan "held" opposing hitters to a .896 OPS this year. To put it into perspective, Evan Longoria had an OPS of .892! In other words, having Suppan on the mound is WORSE than going against a lineup of 9 Evan Longorias! Imagine that. If the average player turns into Evan Longoria... what does an above average player turn into? That would mean to me that Jason Kendall would turn into himself when he was good, pitchers all turn into Micah Owings, and players like Prince and Braun would turn into Barry Bonds circa early 2000's… That's amazing to me. He faces a lineup with no holes every time he pitches.
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Sporting News says Pujols is the Player of the decade.
mletto157 replied to piccione88's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
For those of you who can look up baseball stats at work or during the day... it would be interesting to look up what each player did in their respective half of the decade relative to the next best player in that half decade. Or maybe the average of the top 5 players on that half decade. I think that might be more telling than just looking at their stats in a vacuum. It would show just how much better that player was than the rest of the players they played against. IMO that would be a better way to judge the best player of the decade. -
I don't understand why so many are on the Weeks to CF bandwagon. He would be a TERRIBLE CF. At least Lopez has played OF in his career - have him move if you want to keep them both. But either way, neither of them should move to CF. Corner OF would be the only place I'd move anyone like that.
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And I'm sure that's exactly what he's been trying to do for the past two years... You think Looper would have been his first choice? Do you remember how late we signed him? He was the last option after nothing else panned out. GM's aren't stupid - they likely don't want to give up potential impact pitchers for our scraps. If we don't want the players... most GM's aren't going to give us much for them.
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You think .367 is a BABIP that should be expected from Parra going forward? I have to believe that is likely to regress next year.
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Although in MiLB he always had good command. So this should be easily correctable. I'm thinking he's trying to nibble too much. With as much power he has in his pitches, he doesn't need to nibble - and never was like that in the minors.
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If Parra maintains his overall performance from this season, he should probably be moved to the bullpen or DFAed. If he maintains his pitching from this year, we should expect an ERA in the 4's. He has been very unlucky this season and that will always be seen in a largely luck driven stat like ERA. Granted, he had a couple of good months last year, but my guess is that those were likely smoke and mirrors. So his one unlucky season this year leads you to this conclusion? Not his one good season last year, or his track record of success in the minors?
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The goal shouldn't be playoff contention, the goal should be World Series contention I guess that's where the difference is in our thinking. IMO any team that is in playoff contention is therefore in World Series contention. How often do you think the best two teams in the league play in the World Series? Any team that makes the playoffs can make the WS. All it takes is a good hot streak.
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But MJ, look at that craziness. All 16 of those games had the starting pitcher determine the outcome of the game. That means they were either serviceable enough to win (44% of the time) or they were so bad that our offense had no chance to come back (56% of the time). If this is true, that means that the majority of the time they started games, they got shelled. Most likely that means they were pulled out by or before the 5th inning. That's a huge tax on your bullpen, especially since almost all of these starts happened in the same month or two period. (Sorry, I can't check the actual statistics of this, all sports sites are blocked at work - somehow this forum fell through the cracks).
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Probably helped that we're both out of the race.
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True JB... but if you expect both Bush and Suppan to get hurt again and pitch poorly because of it; expect Parra to have an ERA as bad as this year (which was very luck driven); expect Looper to give up as many HR as he did this year; expect our AAA depth to be just as bad; etc... I think that might be more insane than expecting them to regress back to their mean seasons respectively - and in some cases get better with experience (speaking of the young guys, AA pitchers, and AAA pitchers).
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You know what... If all of our pitchers pitched like their career averages, and none got hurt - we would be very realistically in the playoff hunt right now, period. I would even say that based on what's available and what will for sure be on our team, I would be OK with starting next year with the same 5 starters. Our biggest problem was depth. We need to have more depth in the rotation. Maybe in gathering depth, we push Suppan out of the rotation to the long man in the pen? Who knows? If we had decent depth we would be in a much better position this year, and that's what we need to focus on for next year. Why did they keep Parra up so long before sending him down to work on stuff? Because we didn't have anyone better to replace him... If we had quality depth, we replace him earlier... we also are able to better handle injuries. Our starting 5 wasn't the main problem, it was #6-8 starters that killed us.
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2009 National League Rookie of the Year
mletto157 replied to jjfanec's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
He has about as much of a chance as any of the position players... which based on the way a couple pitchers played this year - really isn't much. -
Cardinals TV announcer calls Brewers disrespectful
mletto157 replied to apirk's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
But, do you have to choreograph your celebration? Prince and Braun have had a choreographed celebration after every homerun Braun hits. You know you've all seen the boxing thing they do. No one has a problem with that. In fact - I love it. I think it's awesome. This is no different. It's a bigger hit in a bigger situation and a bigger choreographed celebration. I have absolutely no problem with it. If it makes the game fun for them, all the better. Guys play much better when they're having fun than when it's all business. This might be their job, but that doesn't change the fact that it is just a game.
