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bill hAll Star

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Everything posted by bill hAll Star

  1. bill hAll Star
    I strangely enjoy watching a team with a directive to shave payroll in future years incrementally buy down contract lengths of players via trade.
  2. bill hAll Star
    Ah, yeah. There we go.
  3. bill hAll Star
    I guess I'm just surprised that teams don't cut guys like a Robinson Cano as much. They ended up getting slight value added in a trade but if I have a complete dud at 4 years, $100 million left that still might sign for 3 years, $20 million elsewhere, I'd consider just cutting ties. If I'm the Cubs I consider dumping Jason Heyward. I just assumed that a player was due all of the money from a team. Of course in a lot of these cases you just say that it's better to have Heyward and pay him $100 million instead of not have him and pay $80 million, but it just seems like this should be happening a bit more often.
  4. bill hAll Star
    that is correct. If we sign him for $1 million, the Jays would owe him $37million. Wait...is that true? I just assumed that any team was on the hook for a signed contract. That doesn't seem right because teams would be cutting guys all the time just in hopes that a new team would sign a new contract for even 15-20% of the deal to cut into their losses. Wouldn't the Blue Jays owe $38 million no matter what and anything a new team signs him for (say $1 mililon) is supplemental?
  5. bill hAll Star
    All I can think of is that the "Jordan Lyles game" occurred against the Pirates. So, there's that.
  6. bill hAll Star
    Yeah, I am wary of Price's viability over the next 4 years but I could see a team like the White Sox or Phillies taking on his contract. Those teams might even know that they're probably getting a guy that may only be close to worth his cost for 2 of the 4 years and is an injury risk. I think that the Red Sox may be afraid to deal him given the playoff lore. Maybe dumping $120 million outweighs that but it seems like something that professional franchises don't do much.
  7. bill hAll Star
    They've got a lot of fat that they could trim from their payroll. They're $30 million into luxury tax land and they're going to pay 30% this year and 50% on that next year. They have some big names coming due next year and they have some things they want to do with the bullpen this year. Unfortunately for them, a lot of that "fat" is paying Pablo Sandoval and Rusney Castillo $40 million this year, which probably cannot be trimmed away anymore. So yeah, I think they'd listen on some of their overpriced assets. I'm not sure they want to go $60 million over the tax threshold to finish their bullpen while paying a 30% tax on it.
  8. bill hAll Star
    Looking at their payroll, I would guess that Porcello, Pedroia (debatable given hometown love), Moreland, and maybe Nunez are guys they'd deal away for limited prospect return. Price probably would've been on this list if someone ate $80 of the $120 million or something to that extent but after the World Series they're probably keeping him. I doubt that Xander is on the block unless they're absolutely blown away.
  9. bill hAll Star
    They're on the hook for all $38 million. Anything Tulo signs for will be on top of what he gets paid from Toronto.
  10. bill hAll Star
    That's kinda steep for a guy that I don't think is aging as well as Cain. That said, it's short-ish term $ and they had reduced payroll to really ramp it up in 2019...but that's a bit much.
  11. bill hAll Star
    $38 million guaranteed left to pay.
  12. bill hAll Star
    That is somewhat true, but I have to assume the White Sox are buying. The White Sox are on year 6 or so of a rebuild depending on if one thinks their struggles 3-4 years ago were intentional or not. Their only contract on the books in 2020 is Tim Anderson and then a handful of arbitration players. I think they're trying to make a giant splash. Sure, they could see if Eloy + Kopech returning in 2020 is good enough to start spending but I don't think a $40 million payroll in 2020 while still trying out the young guys is a good gesture to the fans.
  13. bill hAll Star
    I don't know why but I would see it as fun to have Harper, Machado, and maybe someone like Keuchel go to the south side. I have no reason for thinking that but the White Sox have literally a blank slate payroll other than a Tim Anderson contract after this year and basically had nothing this year until they started adding 1-year guys. It would make sense.
  14. bill hAll Star
    You can say that again!
  15. bill hAll Star
    I don't dismiss incremental moves but the counterpoint could be the Cubs and Astros which were essentially 10-15 guys hitting the majors in a 2 year window + free agents/name vets traded for. Sure, one always would forget to mention someone like Strop or arguably Arrieta was a "younger" player traded for that didn't exactly fit the window given service time, but those were on a smaller deal. If I'm trading my best player, Davies better be a very, very minor detail in the trade...not just a package of solid MLB players.
  16. bill hAll Star
    Never understood how the West Coast of the US is "closer to home" for Asian players. It's a 12 hour flight from LA or 14 hour flight from NYC. Neither of those is in any way "close" to home. Maybe that's just the politically correct way of saying they want to play somewhere with a large Asian population. Tokyo? Splitting hairs here but it's 9.5 vs. 14.5 I think.
  17. bill hAll Star
    I am one that totally understands why it is Yankees/Red Sox or Dodgers/Cubs x10 basically. Those games, like it or not, get the ratings. The more hardcore fans will tune into MLBNetwork for a Thursday night Brewers/Phillies tilt. That said, I still laugh my ass off at it. And honestly, there still could be something to be said about the parity and eventual growth of people tuning into the smaller market teams if they showed them more.
  18. bill hAll Star
    Gordon is arguably falling off from being an MLB-caliber player. He couldn't crack a .700 OPS last year against RHP even though that's his better matchup as noted. So you're basically signing Haniger to a 4 year, $50-60 million dollar deal (pending what Haniger gets in arby) and getting a replacement-level 2B/OF along with him that you are forced to put in the lineup. I get the idea but we aren't the team for that right now. Not with our surplus of OF already.
  19. bill hAll Star
    Per Rosenthal, etc.
  20. bill hAll Star
    Woodruff was throwing 98 in the playoffs. Bumgarner was throwing 91 last season (in his prime he was at 93-94). Velocity isn't everything but I'm not paying market price for a huge risk at this point. Maybe Bumgarner just wasn't back up to speed after his random injuries, but the Giants are asking for a big name package at this point and I'm not willing to pay it. Maybe if the price goes down as the article suggests I'd consider it: https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/madison-bumgarner-wont-fetch-the-giants-that-much/ Honest question. Didnt Woodruff's velocity spike up when he went to the bullpen? How high would it be as a starter? Would he be able to maintain upper 90s or would he slip back to 93-94 range Yeah, he may be back to mid 90s in longer stints. However, I do wonder if the Brewers are going to take yet another step towards full bullpen ball this year. Woodruff and Burnes may start but their outings may be shorter. So maybe we'll see closer to the upper 90s stuff.
  21. bill hAll Star
    Woodruff was throwing 98 in the playoffs. Bumgarner was throwing 91 last season (in his prime he was at 93-94). Velocity isn't everything but I'm not paying market price for a huge risk at this point. Maybe Bumgarner just wasn't back up to speed after his random injuries, but the Giants are asking for a big name package at this point and I'm not willing to pay it. Maybe if the price goes down as the article suggests I'd consider it: https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/madison-bumgarner-wont-fetch-the-giants-that-much/
  22. bill hAll Star
    Check out Bumgarner's last 2 years. He's not good away from home in arguably the best pitcher park in baseball. He strikes hitters out at a barely higher clip than Chacin, his xFIP/FIP are barely better than Chacin. He has the repertoire to go later into the game than Chacin so I would definitely take him over Chacin but he's not that good anymore. If the Giants give him away for a few middling prospects, I'll take it. If not, pass.
  23. bill hAll Star
    Sure, I'd love to have a great starting pitcher. I'm not paying a large chunk of our farm system for a guy that is maybe marginally better than Chacin at this point in his career. I'd rather "hold together by duct tape, binder twine, and dreams" a performance from Woodruff, Burnes, etc. again in the playoffs, not give them away for a guy that isn't even that good anymore.
  24. bill hAll Star
    Now being reported as $140.
  25. bill hAll Star
    I realize they got fleeced in the Yelich trade while the other 3 trades were fine but I think it is appearing more and more to be a good idea for them to sit out 3-4 seasons rebuilding.
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