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topper09er

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Everything posted by topper09er

  1. Some follow up, the league SB% is 73%, so does the batter raise his average by 270 points when a runner is going? I think not.
  2. I really question the defensive indifference, does the offense really get a hit more often due to players covering the bases than the average throw out percentage?
  3. What's the difference? Seriously, they both suck. The difference is do you want Gonzalez vs Robinson or Badenhop vs Beltran Its always better to be lucky than good
  4. Assuming the 1969-1993 scoring environment R1R3 0 out is about 86% R2R3 1 out is about 68%. Well done Ronny
  5. Well I should be a major league manager, unfortunately the only way to get that job is to have some experience as a major league player or at least high minors. I of course mostly agree with you I just think there are times to increase your chances by not always playing the straight up odds.
  6. I suppose one may question the decision to break for home (though I can see why he'd think the ball was going to get past the pitcher), but I didn't see a lack of effort. He was out by a mile - I'm not going to ask him to try to plow through Molina. Well I at least want a slide or get into a run down. In major league baseball it is unacceptable to stop running and allow a tag at home if you are the winning run in the 9th
  7. This should be one of those Andre Dawson "Im a run producer, Im not up there to walk" situations for Braun. Id rather have Braun chase a pitch then leave it up to Weeks
  8. Good God why the hell would you bunt there!!!?!?!?!?!? We had 2 chances to hit a flyball and take the lead
  9. That is not some fact, it is your opinion. I am sure you have heard me say this before, but you cannot treat human beings as independent variables. Baseball is not roulette, previous results DO impact future results. Of course you should expect long term behavior ON AVERAGE, but a true strategist can make the call when you should go against the average, because the last time I checked there are no probabilities in baseball that = 1.0. There are times when the average doesn't occur, if you don't try to account for these rare times you will not maximize the number of times you are right.
  10. I am being serious here, I would consider letting Henderson bunt Yuni over so he can pitch the 9th
  11. Well no one is talking about the long run, just the short run where everyone who bats after Braun sucks
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