Good morning, Brewers fans. Last night, after the Brewers got blown out by the then last place Reds, I made a post to my Facebook page about the game, and alluded to Milwaukee's inability to sustain success as being my ultimate source of frustration as a Brewers fan. As I waited for responses from friends that still live in Wisconsin, and follow the team as religiously as I do, this thought crossed my mind: when was the last time the Brewers made back-to-back playoff appearances? Of course, I knew that answer right away: the 1981 and 1982 seasons. After losing the '82 Series to the Cardinals, it took 26 years for the Brewers to even get back to the post season again. While we have made three trips to the playoffs in the last eleven years, and this is clearly a step in the right direction, merely getting into the post season is not enough. Ultimately, the Brewers play to win the World Series, and the front office attempts to do this by maximizing their window for success: that means building a young, talented, and controllable team within the budgetary constraints established by ownership. Each post season appearance provides the Brewers another opportunity to win it all. This, obviously, is not a revelation. I then began looking outside of Milwaukee as a means of comparing how the Brewers have performed relative to the other (now) twenty-nine teams in the Major Leagues. Not only recently, but since the Brewers came to be as the Seattle Pilots expansion team in 1969. How have the Brewers, as a smaller market franchise, compared to teams with a similar profile, as well as the big market teams. I first decided to look at all the teams, and document their most recent run of consecutive years in the post season. Teams with the most recent occurrences of back-to-back post season appearances are listed first. If they have appeared in more than two consecutive seasons, I've indicated this, as well. If that particular franchise won the World Series in a listed season, I've bolded it in blue. If they won the American or National League pennant, I've bolded it in green. If they reached their respective League Championship Series, I've bolded it in red. Much of what I found was expected, but some things began to surprise me. Most recent consecutive post season appearances by franchise Los Angeles Dodgers (2018, 2017, 2016, 2015, 2014, 2013) Chicago Cubs (2018, 2017, 2016, 2015) Boston Red Sox (2018, 2017, 2016) New York Yankees (2018, 2017) Cleveland Indians (2018, 2017, 2016) Houston Astros (2018, 2017) Colorado Rockies (2018, 2017) Washington Nationals (2017, 2016) New York Mets (2016, 2015) Toronto Blue Jays (2016, 2015) St. Louis Cardinals (2015, 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011) Kansas City Royals (2015, 2014) Texas Rangers (2016, 2015) Pittsburgh Pirates (2015, 2014, 2013) Oakland A's (2014, 2013, 2012) Detroit Tigers (2014, 2013, 2012, 2011) Atlanta Braves (2013, 2012) Cincinnati Reds (2013, 2012) Philadelphia Phillies (2011, 2010, 2009, 2008, 2007) Tampa Bay Rays (2011, 2010) Minnesota Twins (2010, 2009) Los Angeles Angels (2009, 2008, 2007) San Diego Padres (2006, 2005) San Francisco Giants (2003, 2002) Arizona Diamondbacks (2002, 2001) Seattle Mariners (2001, 2000) Baltimore Orioles (1997, 1996) Milwaukee Brewers (1982, 1981) Chicago White Sox (have never appeared in the playoffs in back-to-back seasons; won the World Series in 2005) Miami Marlins (have never appeared in the playoffs in back-to-back seasons; won the World Series in 1997 and 2003) Clearly, back-to-back playoff appearances are not the only indication of sustained success. For instance, while the Giants have not been in the playoffs for consecutive years since 2002 and 2003, they made it to the playoffs in 2010, 2012 and 2014, and won the World Series in all three years. But it's a good place to start, because while good teams can fall short of expected results for a myriad of reasons, reaching the post season indicates a successful campaign. Those strings of consecutive seasons likely indicate a strong core, and a front office that is able to deal with adversity. Though I have the White Sox and Marlins listed below the Brewers, as they have never appeared in the playoffs in back-to-back seasons, they have each recently won at least one World Series, Chicago winning in 2005, and Miami most recently in 2003. That raised another question for me: the Brewers last made it to the Series in 1982. What is each team's most recent Series appearance? I then compiled a list (bold blue indicating they won a World Championship in that year): Most recent World Series appearance Boston Red Sox, 2018 Los Angeles Dodgers, 2018 Houston Astros, 2017 Chicago Cubs, 2016 Cleveland Indians, 2016 Kansas City Royals, 2015 New York Mets, 2015 San Francisco Giants, 2014 St. Louis Cardinals, 2013 Detroit Tigers, 2012 Texas Rangers, 2011 New York Yankees, 2009 Philadelphia Phillies, 2009 Tampa Bay Rays, 2008 Colorado Rockies, 2007 Chicago White Sox, 2005 Miami Marlins, 2003 Los Angeles Angels, 2002 Arizona Diamondbacks, 2001 Atlanta Braves, 1999 San Diego Padres, 1998 Toronto Blue Jays, 1993 Minnesota Twins, 1991 Cincinnati Reds, 1990 Oakland A's, 1990 Baltimore Orioles, 1983 Milwaukee Brewers, 1982 Pittsburgh Pirates, 1979 Seattle Mariners have never appeared in the World Series Washington Nationals have never appeared in the World Series This got me thinking further. Should a team that makes the post season on a regular basis, but doesn't win the World Series, still be considered successful? Yes, I believe so, and I would assume most on our forum agree. Only one team can win the Series every year. A 162 game season is a marathon, and so much can go wrong to derail a team over the course of the season. Injuries can truly decimate a team's chance to win it all. But a team that consistently makes the post season should be considered as having a successful run. If they consistently go deep into the playoffs, even more so. This, I believe, is the truest measure of a team's success. Not just making the playoffs, not just winning the World Series (though that is clearly the main goal). Winning divisions, making the playoffs, and making deep runs in the post season-everything should be considered. Think about a team like the Atlanta Braves of the 1990s. The Braves franchise had fallen on hard times, with a combined record of 251-392 between 1987-1990 (.390). In 1991, the franchise turned it all around. From 1991 to 1999, they made the post season eight times in nine years (and they didn't make it in 1994 because the post season was cancelled by the strike). Their rotation featured three future Hall of Famers in Greg Maddux, Tom Glavine and John Smoltz, and by 1995, their high powered offense featured future Hall of Famer Chipper Jones at third, and another likely Hall of Famer, Fred McGriff, held down first base. Over this nine year span, the Braves went 860-532, good for a whopping .618 winning percentage. On a 162 game basis, this means they averaged 100 wins a season for nearly a decade. They won only one World Series (in 1995, beating the Indians), but they won eight division titles, made it to the World Series five times, and the NLCS three other times. So, I decided to compare all the franchises in baseball since Milwaukee joined the Major Leagues in 1969 (as the Seattle Pilots, moving to Milwaukee for the 1970 season), and weighed the amount of success each team has had in this last half century. I devised a point scoring system: 10 points awarded for a World Series Championship 6 points awarded for an American or National League pennant (they made it to, and lost the World Series) 3 points awarded for an American or National League Championship Series appearance 1 point awarded for any other post season appearance This system is not perfect, of course, and some will argue that a team should get additional points for winning their division, as opposed to just securing a Wild Card spot. I would agree with this, and I will include this in my assessment at the next step. I've tried to award more points for more heavily-weighted accomplishments. Simply making the playoffs, while an achievement in and of itself, is not as hard as it once was. With the implementation of the Wild Card game, ten of the thirty teams in the Majors will reach the post season in 2019. Getting to the League Championship Series should represent an increased point total beyond just making the playoffs, as should winning the AL or NL pennant. Finally, winning the World Series is the ultimate prize, and should receive the highest point total. Note: A team is only rewarded at one level, per season; ie a team will not get 1 point for making the post season, and another 3 for making it to the ALCS or NLCS. Point totals by Major League team, 1969 to 2018. Team name, Total points (total playoff appearances), (WS wins (x10) + WS losses (x6)+ LCS appearances (x3) + other (x1)): New York Yankees, 118 points (25 appearances), (70 + 24 + 15 + 9) Oakland A's, 75 points (19 appearances), (40 + 12 + 15 + 8) St. Louis Cardinals, 75 points (16 appearances), (30 + 24 + 18 + 3) Los Angeles Dodgers, 74 points (19 appearances), (20 + 30 + 18 + 6) Boston Red Sox, 73 points (17 appearances), (40 + 12 + 15 + 6) Atlanta Braves, 61 points (20 appearances), (10 + 24 + 18 + 9) Baltimore Orioles, 55 points (12 appearances), (20 + 18 + 15 + 2) Philadelphia Phillies, 54 points (12 appearances), (20 + 18 + 12 + 4) Cincinnati Reds, 54 points (11 appearances), (30 + 12 + 9 + 3) San Francisco Giants, 52 points (11 appearances), (30 + 12 + 6 + 4) New York Mets, 48 points (9 appearances), (20 + 18 + 9 + 1) Kansas City Royals, 45 points (9 appearances), (20 + 12 + 12 + 1) Pittsburgh Pirates, 44 points (12 appearances), (20 + 0 + 21 + 3) Toronto Blue Jays, 35 points (7 appearances), (20 + 0 + 15 + 0) Detroit Tigers, 35 points (8 appearances), (10 + 12 + 12 + 1) Minnesota Twins, 35 points (11 appearances), (20 + 0 + 9 + 6) Houston Astros, 34 points (12 appearances), (10 + 6 + 12 + 6) Cleveland Indians, 30 points (11 appearances), (0 + 18 + 6 + 6) Los Angeles Angels, 29 points (10 appearances), (10 + 0 + 15 + 4) Chicago Cubs, 29 points (10 appearances), (10 + 0 + 15 + 4) Miami Marlins, 20 points (2 appearances), (20 + 0 + 0 + 0) Chicago White Sox, 18 points (5 appearances), (10 + 0 + 6 + 2) Texas Rangers, 18 points (8 appearances), (0 + 12 + 0 + 6) Arizona Diamondbacks, 17 points (6 appearances), (10 + 0 + 3 + 4) San Diego Padres, 15 points (5 appearances), (0 + 12 + 0 + 3) Milwaukee Brewers, 14 points (5 appearances), (0 + 6 + 6 + 2) Colorado Rockies, 10 points (5 appearances), (0 + 6 + 0 +4) Seattle Mariners, 10 points (4 appearances), (0 + 0 + 9 + 1) Tampa Bay Rays, 9 points (4 appearances), (0 + 6 + 0 + 3) Washington Nationals, 7 points (5 appearances), (0 + 0 + 3 + 4) Now, I am going to take an extra step, and award one additional point per division title won. Greatness in the regular season should count for something, agreed? If team A wins 100 games, and takes their division, and team B wins 89 games, and gets a wild card, at this point, each team has earned one point. But wouldn't winning a division typically represent a greater achievement? There are exceptions, of course. If the Yankees win 105 games, and the Red Sox win 100, and Boston's 100 wins is the second best win total in the American League, they are penalized for playing in a very strong division. I believe this phenomenon is somewhat rectified by the sheer strength of the team. A Red Sox team that wins 100 games will likely progress deeper into the playoffs than a division winner that only won 89 games. The team winning their division will now receive an additional point, slightly raising their overall rank. Total division titles, by team for the period 1969-2018 New York Yankees, 18 Los Angeles Dodgers, 17 Atlanta Braves 18 Oakland A's, 16 St. Louis Cardinals, 14 Cincinnati Reds, 12 Philadelphia Phillies, 11 Minnesota Twins, 10 Cleveland Indians, 10 Boston Red Sox, 10 Baltimore Orioles, 9 Los Angeles Angels, 9 Pittsburgh Pirates, 9 Houston Astros, 8 Texas Rangers, 8 San Francisco Giants, 8 Chicago Cubs, 7 Kansas City Royals, 7 Detroit Tigers, 7 New York Mets, 6 Toronto Blue Jays, 6 Chicago White Sox, 6 San Diego Padres, 5 Washington Nationals, 5 Arizona Diamondbacks, 5 Milwaukee Brewers, 4 Seattle Mariners, 3 Tampa Bay Rays, 2 Miami Marlins, 0 Colorado Rockies, 0 Next, I am making an adjustment for the 1994 season, which was ended by the strike. Teams that would have made the playoffs, were there any, will receive one additional point, each. There would have been three division winners, and one wild card. In the American League, the Yankees, White Sox and Rangers would have been division winners, and the Indians would have won the Wild Card spot. In the National League, the Reds, Expos and Dodgers would have won their divisions, with the Braves getting the Wild Card nod. +1 point New York Yankees Chicago White Sox Texas Rangers Cleveland Indians Cincinnati Reds Montreal Expos (Washington Nationals) Los Angeles Dodgers Atlanta Braves To total everything New York Yankees 137 (118 + 18 +1) Los Angeles Dodgers 92 (74 + 17 + 1) Oakland A's 91 (75 + 16) St. Louis Cardinals 89 (75+14) Boston Red Sox 83 (73 + 10) Atlanta Braves 80 (61 + 18 + 1) Cincinnati Reds 67 (54 + 12 + 1) Philadelphia Phillies 65 (54 + 11) Baltimore Orioles 64 (55 + 9) San Francisco Giants 60 (52 + 8) New York Mets 54 (48 + 6) Pittsburgh Pirates 53 (44 + 9) Kansas City Royals 52 (45 + 7) Minnesota Twins 45 (35 + 10) Detroit Tigers 42 (35 + 7) Houston Astros 42 (34 + 8) Toronto Blue Jays 41 (35 + 6) Cleveland Indians 41 (30 + 10 +1) Los Angeles Angels 38 (29 + 9) Chicago Cubs 36 (29 + 7) Texas Rangers 27 (18 + 8 + 1) Chicago White Sox 25 (18 + 6 +1) Arizona Diamondbacks 22 (17 + 5) Miami Marlins 20 (20) San Diego Padres 20 (15 + 5) Milwaukee Brewers 18 (14 + 4) Seattle Mariners 13 (10 + 3) Washington Nationals 13 (7 + 5 + 1) Tampa Bay Rays 11 (9 + 2) Colorado Rockies 10 (10) So, these point totals will show us which teams in the Major Leagues, from 1969 to 2018, have been the most successful. The Yankees are clearly still the class of baseball, even when their dynasty years of the DiMaggio and Mantle eras fall outside the period considered. However, one last adjustment needs to be made, because obviously, not every team in baseball has been around since 1969. So, I've taken the total points and divided it by the number of seasons each team has played from 1969 forward. This gives me an average yearly score: Yankees 137 / 50 = 2.74 Dodgers 92 / 50 = 1.84 A's 91 / 50 = 1.82 Cardinals 89 / 50 = 1.78 Red Sox 83 / 50 = 1.66 Atlanta Braves 80 / 50 = 1.60 Cincinnati Reds 67 / 50 = 1.34 Philadelphia Phillies 65 / 50 = 1.30 Baltimore Orioles 64 / 50 = 1.28 San Francisco Giants 60 / 50 = 1.20 New York Mets 54 / 50 = 1.08 Pittsburgh Pirates 53 / 50 = 1.06 Arizona Diamondbacks 22 / 21 = 1.05 Kansas City Royals 52 / 50 = 1.04 Toronto Blue Jays 41 / 42 = 0.98 Minnesota Twins 45 / 50 = 0.90 Detroit Tigers 42 / 50 = 0.84 Houston Astros 42 / 50 = 0.84 Cleveland Indians 41 / 50 = 0.82 Miami Marlins 20 / 26 = 0.77 Los Angeles Angels 38 / 50 = 0.76 Chicago Cubs 36 / 50 = 0.72 Texas Rangers 27 / 50 = 0.54 Tampa Bay Rays 11 / 21 = 0.52 Chicago White Sox 25 / 50 = 0.50 San Diego Padres 20 / 50 = 0.40 Colorado Rockies 10 / 26 = 0.38 Milwaukee Brewers 18 / 50 = 0.36 Seattle Mariners 13 / 42 = 0.31 Washington Nationals 13 / 50 = 0.26 As low as Milwaukee's average score is, if this analysis had been done just a year earlier, the Brewers would have challenged the Nationals for the lowest score; 14 points over 49 years would have given them a .2857 score, with the Nationals at .2653. My frustration comes from the knowledge that, even in the past eleven years, whenever the Brewers have made the playoffs, the next season represented a substantial step backwards. In 2008, Milwaukee went 90-72. In 2009, they fell to 80-82, missing the playoffs. In 2011, Milwaukee went 96-66. In 2012, they fell to 83-79, missing the playoffs. In 2018, Milwaukee went 96-67. So far, the Brewers are 53-50. We are currently 1.5 games back of the wild card. While I believe the Brewers are still trending up with the Craig Counsell era-in his fourth season, the Brewers are 308-281 (.523) overall, and 235-192 over the past three seasons (.550)-I am hoping that we are able to achieve sustained success in the form of multiple deep playoff runs in the next few years. Is this ownership and front office the group to get it done? Time will tell.