Not sure how thats "not close" , i think thats pretty close given his injury history. A top 30, top ~70, former top 100 whos shown can have MLB success (albeit struggling this year) and a top 5 pick from two years ago whos turning it around. Maybe another lotto or something but were overpaying with more imo. I could see another top flight prospect (like brinson this time last year) if the dude didnt have signuficant injury risk.