Lajitas

And of the last 46 ROY (23 AL, 23 NL), other than 2020, only two have debuted after the 15th of June (one of which was Carlos Correa; does anyone really think Frelick is going to be as good as Correa?). So the chance of him winning the ROY after being kept in the minors until the middle of June are about 4%. That's a worthwhile risk to save eight figures and have him around for an extra year. Just think about the situation with Hader if he hadn't qualified for Super Two by one day. As a side note, the right fielders for Milwaukee accounted for less than 5% of the outs made. Hell, we had Corey Hart in the outfield a number of years. Winker can't be much worse than him.

If Frelick is as good as we all think he'll be, getting Super Two status will cost the team an extra $10-20 M over the four arbitration years. That kind of money isn't worth a draft pick. In another thread, everybody is justifying not spending big money on free agents because that's what a franchise in the financial position the Brewers are in has to do. Well, another thing a franchise like the Brewers has to do is doing whatever it takes to avoid having players reach Super Two status.

Especially here.

No. Just branding outcomes that have no basis in reality.

No, there is realism and then there is unrealistic optimism.

Frelick on the MLB roster anytime before the Super Two deadline is what doesn't make sense. We'll open with Yelich, Taylor and Mitchell as the outfielders, and, yes, Winker will be the primary DH. But there won't be any other outfielders on the roster. Brosseau and Hiura would be the only other possibilities. So Winker will be playing in the outfield when one of those three needs a day off (Yelich's back). And, at some early point, either Mitchell will show he needs more seasoning (which means they'll bring up Perkins, who won't be starting) or, more likely, Taylor will show that he's just a fourth outfielder. And Winker will get more and more starts in the outfield.

DH is rotated between Yelich, Singleton, Hiura, Winker or anybody else that needs a day off. Just like it has been.

Yelich, Taylor, Mitchell and Winker are our OFs. Winker plays more games in the OF than he does at DH.

I know what to tell them, but I keep getting suspended when I do.

We have Winker in RF. Hosmer takes Singleton's roster spot.

I'd rather take a flier on Hosmer at league minimum than Myers at $9 M. Or Drury at $17 M. Or Brian Anderson at $6 M plus.

Exit velocity is another. Esteury Ruiz has a low exit velocity, so he has no future as a hitter. But his career SLG in the minors (.457) is more than 40 points higher than William Contreras (.413). And that doesn't include all the "single and steal second" doubles that he's capable of.

There's a first baseman who hit left-handers last season with a .324 / .359 / .414 slash line (.268 / .334 / .382 overall) that's available for league minimum.

If that's the lineup for the final game of the year, I would be massively disappointed. Because that lineup would mean we're not even close to making the playoffs.

I'll always contend that Keston is a victim of the launch-angle craze. In college and coming up, he was a line drive machine. Screaming missiles, gap to gap. A doubles hitter, not a home run hitter. Changing his swing to try to increase his launch angle is to blame for his struggles more than anything.