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Lajitas

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Everything posted by Lajitas

  1. Lajitas
    Exit velocity is another. Esteury Ruiz has a low exit velocity, so he has no future as a hitter. But his career SLG in the minors (.457) is more than 40 points higher than William Contreras (.413). And that doesn't include all the "single and steal second" doubles that he's capable of.
  2. Lajitas
    I'll always contend that Keston is a victim of the launch-angle craze. In college and coming up, he was a line drive machine. Screaming missiles, gap to gap. A doubles hitter, not a home run hitter. Changing his swing to try to increase his launch angle is to blame for his struggles more than anything.
  3. Lajitas
    If the team was still looking at trading Burnes and Adames, it makes sense to play Frelick. But a team looking at contending isn't going to give regular playing time to a rookie with zero Major League experience (not even September call-up experience) and less than 100 games above A ball, especially one that is barely in the top 50 prospect list. I'm done with this. And I fully expect all you to be whining come April when Frelick is back in AAA.
  4. Lajitas
    You didn't present any evidence. You presented your opinion. You know what you get when you rush a young talented player? You get Keston Hiura.
  5. Lajitas
    He also hit about 50 points higher all the way across his typical slash line in those few AAA games. They'll wait to see if it continues. Again, if they didn't have other options, I would agree. But they'll cycle through those first, and bring him up only if all the others fail.
  6. Lajitas
    Frelick has played a third of a season at AA and a third of a season at AAA. Before May of last season, he hadn't been above A ball. If there was nobody else and he has an incredible spring, maybe. But they'll go through all their other options before calling him up.
  7. Lajitas
    People need to check themselves with thinking Frelick and/or Wiemer are going to be starting this season. Frelick has played 46 games at AAA and Wiemer has played 43. It's FAR more likely our OF is going to be Yelich, Mitchell and some combination of Taylor/Ruiz/Perkins/some inexpensive veteran.
  8. Lajitas
    Just think, with the deferred money, we'll be paying him until 2042.
  9. Lajitas
    First, Abreu is projected to get around $20 M a year, not $15 M. Second, spending the $10 M saved from trading Renfroe is better spent on upgrading the bullpen. Money spent on one position is money that is not available to spend on others. Abreu/Turang and the current bullpen is NOT an upgrade over Tellez/Wong and two or three more bullpen arms.
  10. Lajitas
    First, Abreu is projected to get around $20 M a year, not $15 M. Second, spending the $10 M saved from trading Renfroe is better spent on upgrading the bullpen. Money spent on one position is money that is not available to spend on others. Abreu/Turang and the current bullpen is NOT an upgrade over Tellez/Wong and two or three more bullpen arms.
  11. Lajitas
    We have less than 1% chance of signing Abreu. People need to get over that idea. Jesus, talk about self-fulfilling. "It's going to be a disappointing off-season if we don't do something that there is no chance of happening."
  12. Lajitas
    We have less than 1% chance of signing Abreu. People need to get over that idea. Jesus, talk about self-fulfilling. "It's going to be a disappointing off-season if we don't do something that there is no chance of happening."
  13. Lajitas
    Let's take a look at the roster and the payroll. We'll use the 40-man, actual salaries for those that are signed, MLBtraderumors' projected arbitration numbers and $750 K for pre-arbitration players (league minimum will be $720 K; some will get more) Starting lineup: C - Caratini ($2.8 M projection) / 1B - Tellez ($5.3 M projection) / 2B - Wong $10 M / SS - Adames ($9.2 M projection) / 3B - Urias ($4.3 M projection) / LF - Yelich $26 M / CF - Taylor $750 K / RF - Mitchell $750 K Total: $59.1 M Bench: Feliciano - $750 K / Brosseau - ($1.2 M projection) / Hiura - ($2 M projection) / Singleton - $750 K / Ruiz - $750 K Total: $5.45 M Rotation: Burnes - ($11.4 M projection) / Woodruff - ($11 M projection) / Peralta - $3.5 M / Lauer - ($5.2 M projection) / Houser - $3.6 M Total: $34.7 M Bullpen: Williams - ($3.2 M projection) / Bush - $1.85 M / Ashby - $1 M / Milner - ($1.1 M projection) / 4 various pre-arb out of the 7-8 on the option shuttle - $3 M total Total: $10.15 M Total for the 26-man: $109.4 M
  14. Lajitas
    Let's take a look at the roster and the payroll. We'll use the 40-man, actual salaries for those that are signed, MLBtraderumors' projected arbitration numbers and $750 K for pre-arbitration players (league minimum will be $720 K; some will get more) Starting lineup: C - Caratini ($2.8 M projection) / 1B - Tellez ($5.3 M projection) / 2B - Wong $10 M / SS - Adames ($9.2 M projection) / 3B - Urias ($4.3 M projection) / LF - Yelich $26 M / CF - Taylor $750 K / RF - Mitchell $750 K Total: $59.1 M Bench: Feliciano - $750 K / Brosseau - ($1.2 M projection) / Hiura - ($2 M projection) / Singleton - $750 K / Ruiz - $750 K Total: $5.45 M Rotation: Burnes - ($11.4 M projection) / Woodruff - ($11 M projection) / Peralta - $3.5 M / Lauer - ($5.2 M projection) / Houser - $3.6 M Total: $34.7 M Bullpen: Williams - ($3.2 M projection) / Bush - $1.85 M / Ashby - $1 M / Milner - ($1.1 M projection) / 4 various pre-arb out of the 7-8 on the option shuttle - $3 M total Total: $10.15 M Total for the 26-man: $109.4 M
  15. Lajitas
    Yes, attendance was down compared to pre-pandemic levels. But the average ticket price was also up. Average ticket price times attendance for 2022 was only about $8 M less than 2019. And that is countered by the revenue from the national TV deal being up about $8 M per team. Plus, that $24 M salary number for a Woodruff extension wouldn't be for this season. It would be for the 2025 season. Even with signing an extension that buys out some of Woodruff's free agent years, he's still going to get around the $11 M he's projected to get this year. Luis Castillo's deal with the Mariners, one that seems to be roughly what Woodruff would get, is only paying him $11.4 for 2023, as that would have been his final arbitration year. Castillo's $24 M years don't kick in until 2024, which would have been his first free agent year. Even figuring a $110 M payroll, Yelich and Woodruff's combined $37 M leaves over $70 M for the rest of the team. Also, there's is no evidence that 2023 isn't also going to be a "go for it" year. Trading Renfroe doesn't change that one bit. Picking up Wong's option, not trading Adames, Burnes or Woodruff (and the indications are that they won't) means the team is still in "go for it" mode.
  16. Lajitas
    Yes, attendance was down compared to pre-pandemic levels. But the average ticket price was also up. Average ticket price times attendance for 2022 was only about $8 M less than 2019. And that is countered by the revenue from the national TV deal being up about $8 M per team. Plus, that $24 M salary number for a Woodruff extension wouldn't be for this season. It would be for the 2025 season. Even with signing an extension that buys out some of Woodruff's free agent years, he's still going to get around the $11 M he's projected to get this year. Luis Castillo's deal with the Mariners, one that seems to be roughly what Woodruff would get, is only paying him $11.4 for 2023, as that would have been his final arbitration year. Castillo's $24 M years don't kick in until 2024, which would have been his first free agent year. Even figuring a $110 M payroll, Yelich and Woodruff's combined $37 M leaves over $70 M for the rest of the team. Also, there's is no evidence that 2023 isn't also going to be a "go for it" year. Trading Renfroe doesn't change that one bit. Picking up Wong's option, not trading Adames, Burnes or Woodruff (and the indications are that they won't) means the team is still in "go for it" mode.
  17. Lajitas
    Your numbers are a bit off there. Yelich is signed for $26 M and an extension for Woodruff would be in the same range as what Castillo signed ($24 M). That's around $50 M combined for them both, leaving about $80 M for the rest of the team.
  18. Lajitas
    Your numbers are a bit off there. Yelich is signed for $26 M and an extension for Woodruff would be in the same range as what Castillo signed ($24 M). That's around $50 M combined for them both, leaving about $80 M for the rest of the team.
  19. Lajitas
    Finishing fourth with four players ahead of you. That's quite an accomplishment.
  20. Lajitas
    Finishing fourth with four players ahead of you. That's quite an accomplishment.
  21. Lajitas
    I'm surprised they got this much for Renfroe.
  22. Lajitas
    I'm surprised they got this much for Renfroe.
  23. Lajitas
    "Most teams #3" Yeah, non-contending teams. And in 2002, Lauer would have been the Brewers ace. Ace on a team that loses over 100 games. Any team that looks at Lauer as their #3 isn't a team looking to make the playoffs.
  24. Lajitas
    "Most teams #3" Yeah, non-contending teams. And in 2002, Lauer would have been the Brewers ace. Ace on a team that loses over 100 games. Any team that looks at Lauer as their #3 isn't a team looking to make the playoffs.
  25. Lajitas
    If Renfroe is a prominent non-tender candidate, they aren't getting much in talent back for him. A direct quote from your first response to me: "It's not like you'd non-tender them." Lauer IS a back of the rotation, innings eater. Nothing more. He's not bringing back a "valuable high leverage reliever" (again, quoting you). And even if he did, that reliever's salary would be as much, if not more than Lauer's. They WOULD have to get rid of a bunch of salary to sign Abreu. You are probably the only one on the planet that thinks, "hey, they'll just add $20 M to the payroll to sign Abreu." I picked Renfroe, Tellez and Lauer/Houser because their combined salaries are about $20 M Abreu will get. It could be Renfroe and Adames. That's about $20 M, also.
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