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brewfanmn

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Everything posted by brewfanmn

  1. brewfanmn
    It's like this in every thread of a Peralta start -- he is a essentially a troll when it comes to Peralta.
  2. brewfanmn
    Impressive comeback today for a team that’s already in cruise control. Imagine what the score might have been if they were still trying! Sorry you missed it!
  3. brewfanmn
    Record vs. above-.500 teams: MIL 47-37 (.560) ARI 39-45 (.464) PHI 45-36 (.556) LAD 46-40 (.535) Definitely just the weak division (which has more wins than the NL East, BTW), though.
  4. brewfanmn
    Garrett Mitchell's career pace of hitting home runs in the Major Leagues is now 25 home runs per 650 plate appearances.
  5. brewfanmn
    But how’d the Cubs do tonight?
  6. brewfanmn
    He has a 1.63 ERA, a 2.34 xFIP, and 15/17 outings have been scoreless.
  7. brewfanmn
    It’s so bizarre. Do all of these people spend this much time worrying about 2-in-1000 outcomes in the real world too? Or just baseball?
  8. brewfanmn
    Just totally detached from reality
  9. brewfanmn
    Would be interesting to go back and find some of the early season hysteria every time Murphy sat Turang vs. a lefty or pinch hit for him
  10. brewfanmn
    Worrying about the division when the odds have been above 99% for three weeks is such a loser's mentality. Go Cubs (tonight)
  11. brewfanmn
    Rea trying to regress all the way to his peripherals in one night
  12. brewfanmn
    And Philadelphia's isn't?
  13. brewfanmn
    Lol
  14. brewfanmn
    Most likely not, but the Brewers getting a bye is literally 40x more likely than them being caught by the Cubs (per FanGraphs), so a Dodgers/Phillies meltdown should be the primary scoreboard watching rooting interest
  15. brewfanmn
    Only a Dodgers loss is a positive right now. Brewers fans should be rooting hard for a Cubs sweep
  16. brewfanmn
    This is the part that’s important: “A player who doesn't meet said criteria for postseason eligibility can still be added to a team's roster in the postseason via petition to the Commissioner's Office if the player was in the organization on Aug. 31 and is replacing someone who is on the injured list and has served the minimum amount of time required for activation. (For example, a player on the 10-day injured list who has been on it for at least 10 days, or a player who has been on the 60-day injured list for at least 60 days.) Players who are acquired in September or after are ineligible.” This is a widely misunderstood rule that confuses people every year. I’m not sure why MLB doesn’t clarify it. Just last year, the Diamondbacks didn’t add Jordan Lawlar to their 40-man roster until September 6th, and then he was on their Wild Card roster vs. the Brewers. All you have to do is “replace” someone who has been on the IL. So the Brewers could just “replace” Oliver Dunn. Long story short: if the Brewers want Isaac Collins on a postseason roster, he will be on it
  17. brewfanmn
    This is not accurate. If you are in the organization on 9/1 you are playoff eligible. The circumstances do not need to be special.
  18. brewfanmn
    Yeah, I don't see how they could ever win two out of three against these teams that they are 7-2 against this year.
  19. brewfanmn
    You're probably right that his time is running out, I was just pointing out that it's not that difficult to see why he'd keep getting chances and that he seems pretty likely to go back to being effective moving forward
  20. brewfanmn
    If you can't understand it, it's just because you don't understand modern player evaluation The formula Milner has used to be one of the most effective lefty specialists in the league the last two years has been to throw a bunch of strikes, get a bunch of weak contact, and strike out just enough guys to limit traffic. That looks like this: 23.5 K%, 5.3 BB%, 49.9 GB%, 85.9 Avg EV, 4.7 Barrel% And then here's what he's done this year: 23.8 K%, 6.2 BB%, 51.3 GB%, 87.6 Avg EV, 2.5 Barrel% Nobody can honestly say they'd be willing to bet with confidence which of those had the 2.79 ERA and which has the 5.03 ERA He made a bad pitch to Hilliard and probably deserved that result, but it's not hard to see why he keeps getting chances. He hasn't actually been that different from the guy that was really good for the Brewers the last two years
  21. brewfanmn
    Also, I see people do this a lot, but somehow holding scoring runs off a position player against an offense is so lazy. For starters, the Brewers have scored a grand total of 11 of their 683 runs this year with a position player standing on the mound. Remove all of those from the ledger, and they drop from the 5th highest scoring offense this year all the way down to... 7th. And it's not like the Brewers are the only team in baseball that have scored runs off a position player this year. They're #5 in MLB in runs scored regardless of whether you include position player pitching appearances. And lastly, do people not realize why position players end up on the mound in the first place? More often than not, it's because you blew the other team out. You know how many runs the White Sox have scored off position players this year? Zero. Because you have to earn those games. Aside from the game against the Yankees, the reason the Brewers have faced so many position players this year is because they put up 8 against Charlie Morton, 7 on Bryce Elder, 8 on Reese Olson, 8 on Emerson Hancock, and brow-beat the Reds bullpen. To somehow spin that as a mark against the lineup is just disingenuous.
  22. brewfanmn
    What about scoring more runs than almost any team in baseball all year long and not having their performance decline when they play winning teams? That feels relevant
  23. brewfanmn
    Can't argue with that
  24. brewfanmn
    Before tonight, Hoskins had batted behind Chourio 1 time in the previous 21 games. Bauers hadn't done it since July.
  25. brewfanmn
    Lol in the span of 10 minutes in this thread, there are people suggesting that a team with a top-3 record and run differential in MLB both can't beat good teams, and also plays down to the level of bad teams. I will never understand people tying themselves in knots just to be pessimistic. If you're going to distort reality, at least do it to be optimistic
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