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RobertR

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Everything posted by RobertR

  1. RobertR
    Heck, Jenkins hasn't even missed 6 weeks. He got hurt in Cincinatti on August 28. And the Brewers went 4 and 2 in the next 6 games through September 3. They're 4 and 15 since and only 4 of those losses have been decided by 1 run. And they've averaged nearly 6.7 runs per game given up in that span. They could have replaced Jenkins with Barry Bonds and they'd still have a poor record for the month of September with that pitching performance. Robert
  2. RobertR
    The starting pitching has just been poor the whole month. Doug Davis is the only starter with an ERA less than 5 in September and Sheets is the only starter with a WHIP less than 1.5. You're simply not going to win with that kind of pitching. Melvin has made a half-hearted excuse pointing to Jenkins' injury. And, yes, they have missed him. But, they've played real teams and have a staff ERA close to 5.8 and I think that makes their record in September a pretty good indication of the state of the team. Jenkins maybe turns 1 of those losses into a win. Maybe. Robert
  3. RobertR
    When Tony Jr. was drafted, there were a lot of comparisons to this player. I'm kind of ambivalent towards Tony Jr. He can hit for average and play defense, but the lack of power is a big concern and it's way premature to project him for any kind of significant big league career until he actually does start producing extra base hits at a significant rate. Robert
  4. RobertR
    I've no interest in seeing Billy Hall in the outfield. There's a very good possibility that Hall is never going to post an OPS much above .700, and that's likely with a poor OBP. Every year there are veteran corner outfielders that you can sign to 1 year contracts for not much money that will post an OPS in the .850 range with a respectable OBP. I don't care if Hall is young, he has no upside as a player that's replacing a corner outfielder. If Hall is ever going to make it as a starter in MLB, it's going to have to be as a middle infielder. There's a difference in "setting a player up to succeed" and coddling him. He's not better than Ginter. He's not better than Helms. And he's not better than the potential corner outfielders that are available to the Brewers. If the Brewers aren't willing to give him a chance to show whether he can handle SS or not, then they should just trade him for something they can use since utility infielders are a dime a dozen. Robert
  5. RobertR
    Considering how much ground there is to cover in left, I'd think it would be a mistake to use Brooks as anything other than a pinch hitter or pitcher in the series. Save him for a high leverage situation and let him hit for the SS or pitcher. Robert
  6. RobertR
    Yeah, I don't recall many serious answers to that part, I didn't really give one, but I'm sure there were a couple. BTW, Florida has officially eliminated the Brewers from the Wild Card with their win today. Robert
  7. RobertR
    With Philadelphia and Florida at 80 wins and with Houston and St. Louis having 6 games remaining between them, I believe that if the Brewers lose to the Astros today or tomorrow they'll be officially eliminated from the playoffs. Might be time to check those preseason predictions. Robert
  8. RobertR
    This could be the last meaningful series of the year for the Brewers. They're not going to go to the playoffs anyways, but they could be guaranteed a losing record and possibly be eliminated from the playoffs if they perform poorly in this series. Granted, I think it's inevitable, but it would be nice if they bounce back from the Cubs series and play well with their backs against the wall. Robert
  9. RobertR
    It's amazing how quick sentiments turn around on this team. Heading into the weekend, people were pretty happy. We'll see how this team finishes up. The rest of the schedule is very difficult. It will probably help place the winning streak in context. Robert
  10. RobertR
    Yeah, I should have said "possibly heinous" as the adjective. I don't know the details, after all, to say for sure what exactly is alleged. I do know this, if the Mets were involved in leaking this as a negotiating ploy, it's truly a crummy thing to do. Especially if this is "old news". If I were Millege's agent and I suspected that were true, I'd say go to Junior College. Noone needs to work for an employer that will stoop that low, even for millions. Robert
  11. RobertR
    It's impossible to say if there's any validity to these accusations or not based on the information provided. I've seen this brought up elsewhere, but it appears to be a very basic violation of Millege's rights as a minor to keep his records sealed. He was never charged or convicted. That doesn't necessarily mean that he didn't do the heinous things he's accused of, but it does mean that the authorities are being irresponsible and publicly discussing things that they shouldn't. Robert
  12. RobertR
    Well, as far as Prince Fielder goes, I believe the risk is that he'll be too fat to play as I don't believe that the A's questioned whether he could hit. In many ways he is the prototypical A's player. Another thing that needs to be brought up is that the A's had a very tight budget, something like $10 million total. So, not only did they have to find low risk players, they had to find players that didn't have a lot of leverage beyond their first couple of picks. They very easily could have blown their whole budget just trying to sign their first rounders. That's one other reason why the A's picked college seniors, beyond thinking that they're lower risk. And, although Lewis assumes everything is going to work out, it's worth noting that the A's signed something like their first 20 picks. They still believe in quantity and are assuming some of their picks are going to fail. Lewis' book is very good and entertaining. And I think you can ignore even the draft section, only 1 to 2 chapters, since there's more to the book than that. But, I think it's fair to say that Lewis simplifies some issues in favor of telling an entertaining story. Kind of like reducing a player to ABsxOBPxSLG. Generally true, but there are other issues. Robert
  13. RobertR
    Well, more to the point, it also needs to be pointed out that all college picks aren't created equal. The A's don't just draft players because they played college, but because they played college, excelled at the things that the A's believe are important for making it in professional baseball, and have good "makeup" and other qualities. The A's still have scouts, after all. And there is still risk. Not all of the A's picks, even their high ones, are going to work out. Let me say this. In Moneyball, Paul Depodestra discusses Voros McCracken's DIPS findings and basically concludes that McCracken is basically right but that his findings can be taken too far. As far as the A's, and their preference for college players, I believe they are basically right, but it can be taken too far. College player are not automatically better than high school players. I'll bet a lot of college pitchers are worse prospects than Zack Grienke, for instance, one of the players used as a risky counter-example in Moneyball. Prince Fielder was another counter-example cited by Michael Lewis. Robert
  14. RobertR
    Well, just because the DRays are doing something, promoting Upton, doesn't necessarily mean it's the right thing. As far as Bullington goes, I think he's still generally acknowledged as a solid prospect. Of course, with apologies to Robert Heinlein, TAASTAAPP. More to the point, I think people can take Oakland's course a little too far. Oakland's on a limited budget, picking towards the end of the round, and contending now. They really don't get a shot at the top end of High School prospects and are picking in a position where players generally have a few warts. They need both safe picks and people that can move through the system quickly, and look good doing it, so that they can sustain their success and create good looking prospects that they can trade for major league ready pieces. I've just finished Moneyball and I think Michael Lewis kind of falls victim to his own subjective feelings towards the subject and assumes an outcome towards the A's draft. Now, I think that Oakland did a pretty favorable job, based on early returns, but the important thing to remember is that Oakland is thinking about problems to reduce risk and maximize results and will take the results of the draft and tweak or change things if they don't get the results that they expect. The most important thing from Moneyball is the idea that they don't know everything about baseball, but are objectively studying the problem, measuring results, and adjusting. Robert
  15. RobertR
    But PH'ing Young for Nance in the bottom of the 8th, when you were going to bring in Kieschnick for the 9th, especially against a RH pitcher, was arguably Yost's dumbest in-game move of the season. I've been thinking about this today, and I don't necessarily agree. If Kieshnick was going to be brought in as a pitcher, then Yost and Maddux should make sure that he's fully warmed up and not doing things like warming him up and running him in as a pinch hitter from the bullpen or letting him pinch hit and then rush to warm him up. It's easier, and probably better, to get him warmed up, have him pitch, and then have him hit. Would it have been better to have Kieshnick hit and then have him give up a run or two because he wasn't fully warmed up? Granted, option 3, pinch hit Kieshnick and have someone else pitch might have been the better option. But, if Kieshnick does exactly like EY did, then you get to the 9th and EY would have been available to pinch hit for the pitcher instead of having Kieshnick in that spot with the ability to go into extra innings without burning out the bullpen. OTOH, I see no excuse for Vander Wal not coming in to pinch hit for Clayton. Not with Cruz on the bench who's at least proven to be adequate at SS with the glove. Robert
  16. RobertR
    I actually have a softspot for the Astros old unis. Probably a sign of insanity. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif Now, the Padres old uniforms, those I find truly apalling. Robert
  17. RobertR
    I'd believe it be the agents bringing it up. Especially since they often represent both players and draftees. Let's face it, it's pretty easy to make the argument that if unproven draftee X gets a big bonus then proven veteran player Y should make at least that much. Then again, it may very well not amount to anything. I would add that it's probably a bad situation for the Brewers to have a pick that high in a year when Bud is creating a confrontation. Robert
  18. RobertR
    Not having read the relevant portions of the CBA, but isn't this collusion? Now maybe the CBA states that it's o.k. to conspire collectively to hold down the salaries on draftees. But, if it doesn't, I hope Bud has better lawyers than he had last time around. And, regardless, this really puts a damper on thinking that Weeks is going to be signed anytime soon. Robert
  19. RobertR
    A big thank you to Dusty Baker for littering the Cubs bench with the likes of Tom Goodwin, Lenny Harris, Troy O'Leary, and Paul Bako. And for running Mark Bellhorn out of town. And to Jim Hendry for rolling over to Baker while he searches for more players like Shawon Dunston. Robert
  20. RobertR
    That was flat out unacceptable from Glendon. Even Ned Yost can't spin that into a positive. I'm not one to panic, but it's the middle of June and there's not even a hint of improvement. If the Brewers have no faith in their players at AAA, then give Jamey Wright a call. He can't be any worse. Robert
  21. RobertR
    Considering the Brewers' history with prospects and injuries, I'm in the camp that doesn't want to touch Harvey. I'll admit it's more superstition than logic, but why tempt fate? Robert
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