Every team changes every season. Sometimes subtly, sometimes dramatically. The sample size of 162 is really about the best sample size you're going to get. And, in terms of making the playoffs, it's the only sample size that matters. I won't argue against luck, because luck is a vastly underrated factor in just about every facet of life. That said, I am reminded of the scene in Butch Cassidy and the Sundance Kid when Butch, Sundance and Etta step off the train at their very primitve, very dirty destination in Bolivia. Butch says that all of Bolivia can't be that bad, and Sundance counters that it could be that they are right then standing in the garden spot of the entire country. It just seems that every time luck is brought up on this site that it is to say that things aren't really that bad, when in fact maybe they are. Maybe the Brewers are actually fortunate to have the wins they do. In the end it doesn't matter in that Brewers are where they are and there needs to be some clear-headed assessment of how they want to handle their internal player personnel issues going forward. It would help if this franchise had a consistent, long-standing approach/philosophy when it comes to talent assessment, development, and retention but they don't. At least not in the way some of the better organizations do. The Brewers were sort of fortunate in that they had a good group of young players all come up and perform well in a given window, but that sort of hit-and-miss approach is way too luck-based to work over any extended period of time. For the Brewers it has been one hit per quarter century. I'm not all that happy with Doug Melvin, but he's much better than what has come before. Ownership needs to decide if Doug is the guy to put into place a larger organizational philosophy that can serve as a blueprint after he is gone, or if he is just a guy who will try to assemble teams on an ad-hoc basis over some collection of identified shorter-term windows of opportunity.