Where are the Pre-Season Projections?

[Gobias Industries]

Before the season, there was a designated thread where members could post their season projections. It was said someone was gonna aggregate the numbers, and then post.

 

Any mods know where this thread is?

[Ennder]

http://forum.brewerfan.net/viewtopic.php?t=10370

[Gobias Industries]

Wow. Nearly every person went overboard. Someone even had Corey at a .415 OBP!

[logan82]

So how did we do verses the "professional" projection systems.

[JoeHova]

I was quite optimistic (which is usually not my style) on the hitters, and it didn't work out. I was trying to do some positive thinking, I guess.

[logan82]

Almost every player underperformed vs their 3 year average(2005-2007). In many cases that is their whole career so we really don't know what kind of talent we are really dealing with. Braun for example, there was almost no way he was going to match last year. Most were within 30 points of their 2005-2007 OPS. Given their ages though we should have expected more than just Hardy to show improvement. Except Braun of course since his rookie year was off the charts.

 

 

OPS vs 2005-2007

Feilder -.029

Weeks -.029

Hardy +.029

Hall -.097

Braun -.050

Cameron +.024

Hart -.056

Kendall -.009

[Ennder]

ERA and WHIP are really terrible stats to project for pitching so if we do that again next year we should come up with something like OPS against and K/BB or something. Our hitting underperformed on the year and on top of that offense was down in general. The pitching in the division was better than previous years since the Reds actually got some pitchers.

 

I bet if you look at predictions vs Sept 1st numbers they'd look a lot more in line, we finished the year with a team wide offensive slump.