Which Marlins Pitchers Will Be Available At The Deadline?

Everybody would love Luzardo, but I’m not sure I’d want to surrender the prospect capital it will likely take to win the bidding.

If the Rays keep scuffling I could see us linking up with them for someone like Zack Littell who shouldn’t require quite as large of an outlay.

Last two years as SP…

Littell (25 GS | 133 IP)
95 K%+ | 32 BB%+ | 93 HR9+
83 ERA- | 86 FIP-

Luzardo (41 GS | 230 IP)
122 K%+ | 87 BB%+ | 93 HR9+
87 ERA- | 85 FIP-

Jesus has the obvious stuff and track record edge, but Littell has gotten similar results via elite command.

Luzardo would be the best but you are right he would cost a lot in prospect capital and I am not willing to give that up for 2.5 years of control. 

Another option if you want to go down the just for this season route would be Yusei Kikuchi from Toronto.

If you want to go big Braxton Garrett has also been rumored to be available though I think I would wait on the Marlins and possibly talk with them in the off season and see if they would be willing to deal Alcantara in the off season.  He won't have as much value in the off season so the Marlins may hold on him to get a better return or just keep him going forward. 

If I were to deal with the Rays I would see if they would include Arozarena in the Littel deal.  Arozarena has been bad this year offensively but the Brewers have picked someone up from the Rays who was playing poorly before and it worked out (Adames).

Maybe something like Wiemer/Lara, Wichrowski and a DSL player for Littel and Arozarena could be close?

If you want Luzardo I think the Marlins would ask for a Quero/Black/Misio/Wilken + deal.  I don't think you will need to give up more than one  of the Brewers top 10 prospects and I think the Marlins would be more interested in a bat than pitching.  I know the bullpen has been great so far but I wouldn't mind picking up Puk.

I think the Royals will splurge on Luzardo and I wouldn't want to get in a bidding war for that.  The Cubs or Cardinals may also get in on Luzardo. 

I would rather get Kikuchi or Verlander if the Astros falter but it looks like they are playing like expected recently. 

8 hours ago, Scooterfletcher said:

People wanting Lazaro need to realize a Crod Black Wiemer and Lara/Mitchell type deal could get it done.   No Miso though but we should have a solid offer that could be accepted.

No.  I don’t see the Marlins accepting that.  Wiemer and Mitchell have very little value they are basically throw in players right now.  I am not sure the Marlins would want Crod either.  Black is interesting but I think they would want Wilken or Quero over Black.  If you want Luzardo you are going to have to give up one of Quero, Misio or Wilken and then a couple of other pieces and no Wiemer or Mitchell are not one of those other pieces.

In the other thread I said only Misiorowski and Quero, but no one else. I still like that offer. There's so much development risk with Misiorowski, that the 2.5 seasons of Luzardo would make up for it. Quero, too, has a lot of risk that I'd be okay with selling.

If it's Black instead of Quero, that would be awesome, as I'm worried he's a LF-only.

I don't want to give up Wilken. I think he has a higher floor than Mis, Quero, and Black.

24 minutes ago, BraunWeeksFielder said:

Luzardo this season has only pitched 3 games away from home, 16.2 IPs with a 6.48 ERA compared to 35.0 IPs with a 3.09 ERA at home.

Luzardo has been a Marlin since 2021 though…

Home (230 IP)
3.76 ERA | 3.53 FIP

Road (158 IP)
4.39 ERA | 3.90 FIP

Kind of interesting that they have seemingly tilted his starts towards being at home compared to their other regular SPs over that stretch with their home | road IP splits…

Alcantara
309 | 310

Lopez
152 | 130

Garrett
150 | 155

Rogers
149 | 160

Cabrera
111 | 108

13 hours ago, Scooterfletcher said:

How close is their pick of Turang or Or Ortiz for Lazaro given the control factor?   The one we keep continues to start at 2/3 base before moving to short when Adames bolts.  Black and Wilken are on the way and Dunn shows promise too.  I know Fla needs a short stop badly so might be a deal to be had….

I don’t see the Marlins having any interest in Turang or Ortiz.  This also doesn’t make any sense for the Brewers.  This is just digging in the hole you are to fill in the hole you are in.