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    Ace Of The Future: Jacob Misiorowski vs. Carlos Rodriguez


    Harold Hutchison

    When it comes to naming the top pitching prospect in the Brewers system, two names close to the majors come to mind: Carlos F. Rodriguez and Jacob Misiorowski. Which one could claim the title as Ace of the Future?

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    Carlos Rodriguez and Jacob Misiorowski both rate very highly on the MLB Pipeline and Brewer Fanatic top prospects lists. Misiorowski holds the No. 3 spot in both lists, while Rodriguez ranks sixth on MLB Pipeline’s list and seventh on Brewer Fanatic’s. They had some overlap this year at Double-A Biloxi, but have had different paths in their professional careers. Misiorowski rocketed up in 2023, while Rodriguez has seen a slower, steadier climb. Let’s look at the case each of them have as ace of the future.

    The Case For Jacob Misiorowski
    This one comes down to one word: Stuff. His fastball regularly hits triple digits. His slider and curveball are both plus pitches. MLB Pipeline grades two of his pitches – the fastball and slider – at 70 on the 20-80 scale. Two other pitches, a cutter and a curveball, are at 55. He also adds a changeup to the mix.

    A second-round pick in the 2022 draft, Misiorowski saw his first extended action in 2023 after being wooed from an LSU commitment by a $2.35-million bonus that was just in time to give Misiorowski a brief cup of coffee with Low-A Carolina in 2022.

    The results in 2023, his first full professional season, were extremely impressive. He struck out 13.9 hitters per nine innings across three minor-league affiliates (Carolina, High-A Wisconsin, and Double-A Biloxi). He gave up only two home runs all season (both with Biloxi). He also allowed only 5.3 hits per nine innings.

    His biggest issues are control (he issued 5.3 walks per nine innings in 2023) and endurance (he averaged less than four innings in his 20 starts). Given what else he brings, though, those are somewhat minor issues. In fact, the Crew could insert him into the 2024 bullpen as a late-inning relief ace if the team was so inclined. However, with Misiorowski at Biloxi and with quite a while to go before he is Rule 5 eligible, that would be a very short-sighted move.

    The Case For Carlos F. Rodriguez
    Rodriguez has not risen as rapidly. A sixth-round pick in 2021, he split time between Carolina and Wisconsin in 2022, then spent the bulk of 2023 at Biloxi. What stands out is the sheer depth of his arsenal – an outlier in and of itself. His entry in the Brewer Fanatic prospect list features three variants of a fastball (four-seam, sinker, and cutter), topping out at 96 miles per hour; two curveballs (one in the 70s, the other a slow curve in the 60s); a slider; and a changeup.

    Statistically, what stands out is what Rodriguez doesn’t do: He doesn’t surrender many hits – only 6.1 per nine innings pitched. He also cut down his walks in the second half of Biloxi’s season – not that he was horrible from April to June (3.09 ERA). His major strength, according to MLB Pipeline, is his ability to locate his pitches.

    He also generates a lot of strikeouts – 11.1 per nine innings in 2023 and 10.8 per nine innings in 2022 – despite a lack of overpowering “stuff.” He would not be the first Brewers prospect to overachieve despite a lack of high-end velocity. In this case, Rodriguez has such an arsenal that a hitter will be kept guessing.

    While Rodriguez spent the entire 2023 season in the rotation, and most of 2022 there as well, the one big question will be if he can eat more innings. His only other weakness – at least compared to Misiorowski – would be that he surrendered ten go-fer balls. Still, at worst, he ends up like Adrian Houser, a serviceable starter. But he could very well outperform his “stuff,” and be an ace by making the most of his arsenal.

    Breakdown
    Come 2025, the Brewers will likely have both of these pitchers in their rotation, or knocking at the door very insistently. Unlike the clash between Cooper Pratt and Juan Baez for “Shortstop Of The Future,” the Crew doesn’t have to make an either/or decision as to which one is in the rotation – both will likely be there. The only either/or choice they have to make is which one gets the ball for the second game of the season, behind Freddy Peralta.

    Which prospect do you prefer? Does the question of which might be an ace tip in one's favor, as opposed to the other? Tell us about it in the comments.


    Interested in learning more about the Milwaukee Brewers' top prospects? Check out our comprehensive top prospects list that includes up-to-date stats, articles and videos about every prospect, scouting reports, and more!

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    Carlos Rodriguez seems much more projectable as a starting pitcher.  He threw 123 innings last year while Misiorowski only threw 71.  There are questions about whether Misiorowski can have the control or the stamina to go even 5 or 6 innings in a game.  Rodriguez is probably on the radar as part of the starting pitching plan for 2024 although not up at the beginning of the season.     

    It will be interesting to see if they can add enough good weight onto Misiorowski's frame so he can build the endurance to be a starting pitcher.  Also will the Brewers be patient enough with him rather than calling him up and putting him in the pen some time in 2024? He seems much more on a Josh Hader path as a relief pitcher if he comes up this year. 

     

    'Miz' has a higher ceiling and could end up as a #1 starter but could just as easily be used as a high-leverage reliever. 
    To me, CFR will eventually be slotted as a #2 or #3 starter.

    I think CFR has a higher floor but probably won't reach the heights that Miz could.

    • Like 2
    • Love 1
    4 hours ago, Michael Trzinski said:

    'Miz' has a higher ceiling and could end up as a #1 starter but could just as easily be used as a high-leverage reliever. 
    To me, CFR will eventually be slotted as a #2 or #3 starter.

    I think CFR has a higher floor but probably won't reach the heights that Miz could.

    Exactly. That's why this article is a bit confusing. Where is Gasser? A lefty who strikes a lot of people out? He's got a similar ceiling to Rodriguez. But if the question is who's most likely to be the next ACE? It's Misiorowski and there's not a close 2nd at this time(well, Knoth I guess, but he's on a whole other timeline). 

    • Like 1
    28 minutes ago, BrewerFan said:

    Exactly. That's why this article is a bit confusing. Where is Gasser? A lefty who strikes a lot of people out? He's got a similar ceiling to Rodriguez. But if the question is who's most likely to be the next ACE? It's Misiorowski and there's not a close 2nd at this time(well, Knoth I guess, but he's on a whole other timeline). 

    I think it’s fair to say that C-Rod has the highest floor of any pitcher in the organization if we are talking specifically about starting.  Gasser, at least for me, doesn’t come particularly close at this point, purely in terms of floor.  In my head, if I had to choose one starter from the organization to be the guy going forward, I seriously question whether it would be Miz or C-Rod simply due to the risk with Miz (health, durability, probability of transitioning to relief).  I think it’s fair to leave Gasser out of this convo for now.  Knoth might be up there too, just a different timeline altogether like you said.

    I just don’t see the upside with C Rod, as I don’t think the stuff is there. I do think he has a safe 4/5 starter floor, though.

    Mis is just on an entirely different level. Command will be key, but the pure stuff is better than anyone in the minors with the possible exception of Skenes. 

    I’ll disagree with Arob, and say that I like Gasser’s potential to be something resembling a TOR pitcher. I think he’s 2021-2022 Lauer but with better strikeout ability. That’s a #3 starter at minimum.

    2 hours ago, ARobsBrewCrew said:

    I think it’s fair to say that C-Rod has the highest floor of any pitcher in the organization if we are talking specifically about starting.  Gasser, at least for me, doesn’t come particularly close at this point, purely in terms of floor.  In my head, if I had to choose one starter from the organization to be the guy going forward, I seriously question whether it would be Miz or C-Rod simply due to the risk with Miz (health, durability, probability of transitioning to relief).  I think it’s fair to leave Gasser out of this convo for now.  Knoth might be up there too, just a different timeline altogether like you said.

    Sure, I could see the argument that Rodriguez may have the highest floor of any of these three, but the post is specifically about the Brewers next ace. Gasser was on top 100 lists at points last year, he's a lefty, a similar profile to Rodriguez(but he's a lefty). 

    Neither have much more room to add velo, they each work in the low 90s, can tough ~95, they have one pitch that's plus, Gasser a slider, Rodriguez a CB. There's not much to separate the two right now. 

    Both look like middle-of-the-rotation type pitchers. If Rodriguez can turn his Change into a more reliable plus pitch or if Gasser can improve his command and improve his cutter...maybe they end up as low-end #2s.

    So if everyone reaches their potential...I feel like this question answers itself. Misiorowski has concerns, but none of them are about his ceiling. 

     

    On 1/3/2024 at 10:04 PM, ARobsBrewCrew said:

    I think it’s fair to say that C-Rod has the highest floor of any pitcher in the organization if we are talking specifically about starting.  Gasser, at least for me, doesn’t come particularly close at this point, purely in terms of floor.  In my head, if I had to choose one starter from the organization to be the guy going forward, I seriously question whether it would be Miz or C-Rod simply due to the risk with Miz (health, durability, probability of transitioning to relief).  I think it’s fair to leave Gasser out of this convo for now.  Knoth might be up there too, just a different timeline altogether like you said.

    What don’t you like about Gasser? Command is sound, deep arsenal, attacks hitters, has shown he can pitch a lot of innings and not miss a start? I agree he may not have top of the rotation stuff but he at least looks like a good number 3 if not a really nice number 4. To me he seems like a much doper Eric Lauer with more consistency and better stuff. Whats not to like compared to someone like Rodriguez?



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