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The Brewers defied all expectations in 2024, with many fans coming into the year bemoaning the injuries to Brandon Woodruff and the loss of Corbin Burnes as key cogs of the machine that created four playoff appearances in five seasons. Yet somehow, through what we can only refer to as "the Pat Murphy effect", the Brewers managed to concentrate on the small details and excel in such a way that they could defy all such expectations offensively and defensively.
Christian Yelich recently spoke about the Brewers' desire to create chaos on the base paths, to the point where even they don't always know what they're going to do. The Brewers had the highest baserunning value added per Fangraphs in 2024 (comfortably so), but since the turn of the year, they rank a little lower down in fourth, in large part due to players falling asleep on the bases. They haven't been taking good leads (on any of the bases), resulting in preventable outs at home and even more preventable pick-offs.
Defensively, the contrast between seasons has been even more stark. Joey Ortiz and Brice Turang have been good, but not the elite defenders many would have hoped from a duo that could have been the best up-the-middle defense in MLB. Sal Frelick has been making poor reads. Easy drops have been made in the outfield, and missed catches have become a feature of first base, not a bug. It's been mistake after mistake.
The problem is, this is the Brewers' bread and butter. Yes, they have a few hitters capable of going berserk, but that hasn't happened early in 2025. The starting pitching staff (held together by a thread) has performed outstandingly well, while the bullpen has seen notable regressions in performance from some key contributors in Joel Payamps and Trevor Megill. The defense hasn't bailed them out, and it just feels like the Brewers aren't locked in.
They went all of 2024 without losing four consecutive games at any point. That might sound random, but the way the Brewers played, the relentlessness with which they attacked each and every pitch thrown, gave them the chance to win the many mini battles that can result in a win. They fought late in games, they tacked on runs when ahead, they did every little thing so well that the big things (like having a terrifying line-up or an ace on your staff that many outlets considered a requiem for success) failed to matter.
The problem is, without that constantly clued-in relentlessness, wins are slipping between their fingers. This isn't the most talent-laden roster in MLB, and it wasn't built to be that way. It's built to win at the margins, and a drop off in the mentality that let them take advantage of those margins is a death blow to the Brewers' hopes.
If they can't rediscover their joie de vivre, their niche, then this season will be over before it begins. However, the Brewers still have enough talent to make any trade deadline decision difficult. They may hover around that .500 record that can leave front offices in limbo through the summer. If they twist, the Brewers organization has some difficult decisions to make as contending teams come swooping in for their talent:
- If the Brewers are around .500 at the trade deadline, would they sell any of their pieces?
- If Brandon Woodruff doesn't want to extend his time in Milwaukee, would they trade him away (particularly if his stuff regains its former bite?).
- What value would they get for Rhys Hoskins and Jose Quintana, two players who will be free agents at the end of the season and are performing well enough to attract a raft of suitors?
- Do the bullpen arms (most controllable through at least 2026) attract some keen attention?
The Milwaukee Brewers are by no means out of the running yet. It's only been a month. Yet, that month was not a positive one, and without that spark returning, they may struggle to replicate their recent successes. Perhaps it seems fitting that they're due for a down year — after all, this has been the most successful period of Brewers baseball in history in terms of wins and playoff appearances.
It does appear that with a talented farm system, loaded particularly with infielders, that reinforcements are on the way eventually (though none of whom are likely to arrive in 2025). They have Cooper Pratt, Mike Boeve, Brock Wilken all around Double-A at this point, while further down the pipeline, the talent in Low-A and High-A is off the charts.
Perhaps some new blood in the form of Jacob Misiorowski or Logan Henderson can add a spark of their own to the team. Maybe even a trade to bolster the middle-infield could shake things up in the right way. One thing's for sure: Something has to change if the Brewers want to remain in the thick of it come September and October, or a reset may be very much in the cards.
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