I think you just described the vast majority of closers in baseball. There are very few guys who are very good from year-to-year. That's not to say we shouldn't worry about Axford a bit (especially with his minor league history), but it isn't like what we've seen through 6 innings this year is normal for Axford, either. There are a lot of things out of whack with his numbers so far (less first pitch strikes, less swinging strikes, more pitches in the zone in hitter's counts, more contact made by opponents, etc.), but most of it goes back to fastball location. If he can get the ball down regularly again, he'll be fine. I wouldn't worry about him becoming "the next Turnbow." Turnbow had control problems, too, but they were mostly psychological towards the end. Axford's are more mechanical. That's a lot easier to remedy. True, but it is odd that the Brewers haven't really had an in house closer for more than 2 years in ages (since Mike Fetters I forgot about him). It's been a big time revolving door, but from memory, the Brewers have had good success with guys stepping in after the pre-season favorite for closer flamed out early in the season. I'd bet that their closers have well outperformed the MLB average during this time with guys like Doug Henry, Doug Jones, Kolb, Turnbow, Torres, Axford and the like coming from no where to pitch lights out (only to flame out as quickly as they came onto the scene).