Wasn't Houston 10 games under .500 at one point 2 years ago when they made the World Series? Based on your logic, the Twins would have been out by April last year and they won the AL Central. It's not out of the question for a team to win 58% of their games. You can never count a team out in April. If you want to talk talent, then look at Pujols. His numbers can only rise as the season goes on and Eckstein, Rolen, and Edmonds won't continue to be this bad. The Brewers have a great shot at this division, but let's not count teams out after one month.