In my humble opinion, we really don't have a lot of solid information for judging the 2-5 guys in the rotation. RoCo, I take the ERA plus numbers as important, but I continue to disagree that they prove Davis is obviously better than Kinney. Obviously better up 'til now? You've convinced me. But Kinney is 27 and only had about 114 big league innings before last season. Davis is 28 and had about 285. Capuano and Obermuller, of course, are just getting started. When you factor in stats with predictive value, Kinney looks better to me than Davis. My bets for success, based on the limited evidence available, would run Capuano, Kinney, Davis, Obermuller. Davis has had the most time and has provided the most evidence that he'll never amount to much, but even he is still young enough to get better. Obermuller has never had good peripherals; I hope he succeeds, but I see no reason to bet on it. Capuano and Kinney can get strikeouts, and Capuano has some control to boot. But the main thing is that, unlike Clancy, I think we need to keep an open mind and watch how these guys perform this year. 2004 is an audition for the privilege of trying to hold off Hendrickson, de la Rosa, and maybe Jones next year. Two of the present 2-5 guys in the rotation, at most, figure to stay in the picture. I don't see any serious basis right now for saying with any confidence who those two will be. Greg.