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Fear The Chorizo

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Everything posted by Fear The Chorizo

  1. And if health weren't an honest concern, he could have signed a 6-8 year extension in two more offseasons - now he'll only be 1/3 or the way through a deal that will likely pay him less in AAV over the last 4 seasons compared what he'd ink as a free agent heading into 2025.
  2. That's not my point, actually - all we've heard from Boras is how medicals aren't a concern for Correa. Calling it a brilliant decision to opt out means they are a concern, which makes Boras a liar. I'm not going to praise an agent for setting up a bidding war on a client that's soon to be damaged goods based on lying or at best misleading about his medical history. What this 6 yr deal and offseason for Correa do is eliminate the chance of him earning a large amount of money on a longterm guaranteed contract into his late 30s. If longterm health wasn't of concern to Boras/Correa, that's a costly error in judgement for a premium baseball player that should be able to naturally transition to 3B or DH as he ages. If the goal of getting Correa as much money as possible guaranteed before he breaks down at all costs was the goal this offseason no matter the tactics, then sure Boras did a good job - IMO the tactics are borderline nefarious.
  3. Valuation means nothing in terms of actual dollars to spend unless you sell the team, or unless you borrow against that valuation. This article talks about how the Cards and Cubs have been big spenders in the NL Central relative to the rest of the division this offseason - to that I say "of course"....look at what the television/broadcast contracts for the NL Central teams are along with market size and you know why the Cubs and Cards can spend more than the Brewers. Their average ticket prices are also significantly higher than the Brewers...perhaps this article should include a push to dramatically increase the average ticket price for Brewer games in order to bolster actual revenue and afford longterm contract extensions, so they can at least be competitive with the rest of their division financially.
  4. I think you give him too much credit, because Correa and Boras created the bad situation on their own. He had his client opt out of 2 more years of a higher AAV contract than what the deal he just inked pays him from the same team so he could try and land a longterm mega-deal while knowing that his questionable medical history was going to be a concern. It's accurate that the decision to opt out gave Correa another ~$125M guaranteed over the 2025-2028 seasons, but they lost out on him receiving another ~100M guaranteed tacked onto that for 4-5 years beyond 2028 from both the Giants and Mets once they were able to get a better idea of what issues Correa may have to deal with longterm. If medicals truly aren't of concern in Correa/Boras' camp, the right move would've been to play under the old Twins contract for two more seasons at $35M per and then ink a 6-7 year deal two offseasons from now in the $200-$225M range. As it stands, the only way Boras did his client a good service by dragging him through this process is if Correa is about to turn into a pumpkin due to his medicals, in which case the Twins should be looking at themselves asking why they just shelled out $200M more guaranteed to a guy in need of the biggest golden parachute he could find knowing he isn't going to age well.
  5. How many rings has that best front office and HC in the NFL accumulated again? The 49ers could win 3 playoff games and get to the Super Bowl this season, at which they wouldn't be favored because they'd most likely be going up against Mahomes, Burrow, or Allen. You need an all world defense and favorable playoff matchups to win a Super Bowl without a top tier quarterback. To sustain something where you're always in the mix for winning a title you need an all world quarterback. Flacco won a title with the Ravens because his Super Bowl matchup was against Kaepernick and the Ravens didn't let him run for 175 yards. Brad Johnson and the Buccaneers blew out an ancient and overmatched Raiders team for their title. Dilfer won a title due entirely to one of the best 2-3 defenses in the history of the NFL.
  6. I actually like the idea of a RB early - if it's the right guy, and Robinson would fit the bill as the right guy. In this year's draft, it wouldn't surprise me if he goes much higher than his current projection, though. Dillon is a bellcow-type back, but I don't like the idea of paying him a ton of $ to play 3-4 more seasons in Green Bay and live through the inevitable injuries/wear and tear of a power running back. So, provided Jones is a cap casualty the RB room is pretty thin, especially 2-3 seasons out. As a roster, this team needs new safeties, TE, RB, and OLB. Interior DL would be nice but assuming Clark is still here next season you have to roll with Wyatt next to him based on what he did down the stretch and the fact he's a 1st round talent and fill in behind it with veteran depth.
  7. This beatdown masks the fact OSU had UGA beat last week until Harrison Jr. left the game. Still, very impressive that Georgia lost 15 players from last year's national title team to the NFL draft and still was the best team in the country this year in a "rebuilding" season. so let's see....2023 preseason top 5: UGA Bama OSU Mich USC? You could pretty much replace 2023 with 2024, 2025....probably 2026 and so on and you'd be right. It's gotten to the point where D3 NCAAA is more competitive even when it's constantly Mt. Union, Whitewater, or North Central winning the championship.
  8. there was no history of this with Walker in college or any hint of hotheadedness leading up to the draft. From his scouting report: "He plays disciplined, team-oriented football....." Quotes and tweets from Walker today indicate he's been busy apologizing to all parties involved since the time the game ended last night, including apologizing to the member of the medical staff he pushed over the phone. He's not shying away from the scrutiny he's getting and he's owning the fact he needs to eliminate these emotional outbursts for the sake of the team he plays for and for his own career trajectory. Hoping he matures, learns from these mistakes, and continues developing as a player - the physical gifts are absolutely there for him to be a very good MLB at the NFL level, but he's got to get his emotions in check to realize his potential.
  9. yep, but then Rodgers also played poorly and made some ill-advised throws into coverage...and the Oline got physically manhandled by a defense that has been awful all year for the most part - their two games against the Packers notwithstanding. chalk it up as a total team loss and it proved them to be underserving of a playoff spot this season.
  10. Not going to make an excuse justifying Walker shoving a member of the Lion med staff - his ejection was warranted and now unfortunately he's got an M.O. with this type of altercation to physical contact with non-uniformed people on the field. But, wouldn't surprise me in the least if we find out after the game that both Walker and Wyatt (who also bumped the same guy after Walker shoved him) were much more concerned about the wellbeing of their former collegiate teammate and didn't realize what they were doing spur of the moment when they were checking on Swift themselves and someone bumped into them. If that's a random Lion in a jersey it's a nothingburger and not a penalty. Walker needs to figure out a way to get this after the whistle stuff out of his game and just play football.
  11. I think a penalty stops the clock no matter what...accepting the penalty gives them an extra down, too Doesn't matter anyway
  12. Someone needs to give Campbell a face mask so his nose doesn't fall off, and tell him its twenty degrees, not minus 20.
  13. Nixon is lucky he is still in one piece after that hit
  14. Dying for something downfield with 8 in the box Hutchinson is going to be a problem for a long time
  15. Thought I saw him jack the other lineman in the face mask, which drew the flag....any sort of shot to the face in a dead ball altercation is going to draw a flag. Just totally unnecessary...all of it
  16. I sense a td or a pick 6 happening here before half
  17. Jeez...lucky with the flag but that should have also been picked off Goff is awful in cold weather
  18. They only started soliciting bids. They didn't actually buy any yet. That comes next month. I know - they have stopped taking out of the reserve to supplement whatever other supply is coming in from producers to refine, and that loss of product entering the refining market isn't going make the price of gas drop. That can also help explain a portion of the dip in refinery utilization, too - although this time of year its common for refinery output to drop a bit (not 12%, but some) for a few weeks no matter what the weather is doing. End of year cleaning/equipment maintenance and staffing limitations over the holidays aren't anything new - particularly at the end of a year when refineries were basically running at max capacity most of the time. And knowing the government is going to become a buying customer for the forseeable future is going impact oil futures markets. I doubt they are in any hurry to rapidly replenish the SPR anywhere close to where it was a year ago but they probably do need to get it back over 500M barrels, unless things really get bad economically and they can buy oil at $30 a barrel to totally replenish the reserve and keep oil companies operating because demand has cratered.
  19. Many of his completions are designed checkdowns or screens to RBs, or quick hitting routes primarily to Aiyuk or a TE running off bubble screen action plays. It's 1 read and throw running the designed play, or he's throwing to guys running wide open from busted coverages from teams being too aggressive trying to generate pressure and having to play zones behind it with huge windows. He's been fantastic for a 7th round rookie in terms of pocket presence and standing in when making some throws, but he's also turned the ball over at times making aggressive throws into coverage. That's a recipe for a playoff game where he gets careless with the ball and throws a couple picks at bad moments to swing the outcome of a game. Besides the Eagles (who I've got questions on due to Hurts' shoulder), I'd add the Cowboys, Green Bay, Tampa...teams that can score points with veteran quarterbacks who've been in the postseason. I really think that any of the potential NFC playoff teams could wind up in the Super Bowl besides the Giants and Vikings. I think whomever comes out of the AFC will be favored in the Super Bowl, fwiw. Not saying Purdy can't manage the 49ers to win a playoff game or two with a more talented roster and quality weapons at all levels of their offense, but at some point they'll need him to make plays on his own against a defense game planned to take away what he's been successful with thus far to go on a Super Bowl run. I think a team that could at least limit the 49ers run game while playing primarily man principles on the outside and more matchup zone concepts in the middle would give Purdy many fewer easy throws and lead to some bad decisions. Would almost rather play coverage and blitz sparingly, because the 49ers tend to get all options out in routes and trust their Oline to pick most everything up well enough to give the pass catchers a couple seconds to find their way into wide open spaces. I don't think 4.5 regular season games is enough to stake any confidence in him in the playoffs, but I'm probably wrong depending on the matchups (and frankly how successful opponents are against a damn good 49er defense).
  20. That along with the fact they've finally stopped drawing from the reserve a few weeks ago helps explain why the price of gas has shot up $0.30/gallon by me in two weeks during what is typically the lowest seasonal period of demand, even before this limited sale happens and oil actually gets siphoned away from the market and back into empty storage tanks. The fact that this initial bid process is for purchasing 3 million barrels when the SPR was depleted of ~225 million barrels in the last year indicates how long this buyback process will inflate prices at the pump over where they'd be without needing to put oil back in the reserve. I think the average sale from the SPR was with oil around $96/barrel - right now it's at low to mid $70s, so the govmint will make a 30% killing on buying enough oil to refill about 1% of what they removed from the reserve. Despite the plan of instilling price caps/controls on buybacks independent from the market, these fixed price contracts won't look nearly as attractive to producers when they will be able to sell oil elsewhere for much closer or even more than $100/barrel, which is where prices will head once again as the year goes along. This also all assumes there won't be any new geopolitical or weather events that would typically warrant drawing from the SPR to prevent supply problems or price shocks over the course of years, not months or weeks.
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