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Fear The Chorizo

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Everything posted by Fear The Chorizo

  1. Fear The Chorizo
    They have a solid cap situation besides the fact they have a ton of free agents not counting toward their 2025 roster budget...and the fact they have to decide whether or not to overpay to keep Darnold around or let their 1st round QB from last year take over with zero NFL experience. The Vikings continue to field an "in between" roster that both isn't bad enough to tear down/rebuild and isn't good enough at key spots to win in January.
  2. Fear The Chorizo
    It doesn't help that the most physically gifted WR on the roster (Watson) hasn't been able to stay healthy enough to develop, and the receiver who appears best suited for those intermediate/possession type routes (Doubs) also now has head injury concerns. Those are probably #s 1 and 2 on the depth chart when healthy, and them on the field would make the depth the Packers have with the rest of the young wideouts look really damn good (especially Reed and Wicks as #3-4 options). It's not a surprise to me that the offense struggled with big plays in the passing game the last month or so, when both Watson and Doubs were taking turns missing games due to injuries. Both of them being question marks (or in Watson's case a likely afterthought with that knee injury) heading into 2025 means the Packers need to target signing a big time veteran WR and draft one early. Depth isn't valuable at a position in the NFL unless it's led by at least one impact talent - right now the Packers don't have that in their building at wideout.
  3. Fear The Chorizo
    Slay looks to have only 1 shoulder right now
  4. Fear The Chorizo
    dammit they had a hole for Jacobs there on that flag
  5. Fear The Chorizo
    they've gotta find some receivers down the seam of the field, in the middle of the field...and the running game has zero imagination besides the TE tush push go for it on 4th down
  6. Fear The Chorizo
    That's just a ridiculous play and INT by Slay...but not the right spot to go with the ball right there, either.
  7. Fear The Chorizo
    yes it is compared to personnel with him not on the field - him and Cooper are dynamic as LBs. Part of the issue why we rarely see it is the defensive line in front of them are anything but impactful/disruptive.
  8. Fear The Chorizo
    Philly is a damn good team, and if they can't generate a pass rush without blitzing it's going to be a very long day Also, Packer offense has to do something besides 2.5 yards and a cloud of dust. Defense mightaswell send the house repeatedly at will and force Hurts to make a play with his arm - hoping he makes a few bad decisions
  9. Fear The Chorizo
    yeah, it was all the way down the field then pushed him down - blatant
  10. Fear The Chorizo
    the other aspect of this is both organizations/front offices and the players union all root for their "side" regardless of the team/player involved, and there's pressure for those parties not to "cave" from established or desired market values if the two sides can't come to an agreement. Often times, prominent players and agents face pressure to go to arbitration no matter what in effort to re-establish market valuations for future arbitration cases/benchmarks for teams and players to negotiate from. I believe that was the case with Burnes and his representation, Kris Bryant/many players represented by Boras, etc. At the end of the day, if the two sides can't agree and head to arbitration, neither should feel hurt about the rest of the process - because they know what it entails. The best scenario in almost all cases is for the sides to reach an agreement in between and avoid the hearing - but that also takes both sides being willing to do so. The Brewers typically have 1 or no players they take all the way to an arbitration hearing - it's not like they're lowballing everyone constantly.
  11. Fear The Chorizo
    Jacobs is going to need to have a monster game for the Packers to win this one - and I think there will need to be a totally random receiver/tight end who has a huge day, too. If the Eagles' front can pin their ears back and rush the passer, Love is going to have a very long day without someone to truly take the top off the Eagles' secondary. On paper, Philly is the best team in the NFC and it's not really that close, they're healthy, and they should be motivated. I think the Packers give them a helluva test, but have a hard time seeing them putting together a complete enough game to win unless the Eagles suffer some catastrophic injuries or a series of fluky turnovers.
  12. Fear The Chorizo
    If Quero has a solid AAA season and proves to be ready to be the everyday catcher in Milwaukee in 2026, the Brewers can then explore trading Contreras next offseason, shifting him to the primary DH and being a damn solid option as the ~30% backup catcher, or some combination of both. nothing to explore this offseason besides getting him signed via arbitration and letting him know he'll be catching ~120 games for the Brewers this coming season
  13. Fear The Chorizo
    it was 3rd and 11 with 11 seconds on the game clock left - they ran a quick hitting play that wound up getting the ball ~14-15 yards downfield right on a hash where the center and lineman could run straight to the line of scrimmage, and the other receivers' job was basically to get set as soon as Moore was tackled. It was the fastest they could have reset and spiked the ball. it wasn't just the lineman getting to the line quickly - it was having all the other receivers basically go straight to getting set instead of being scattered all over the playing field after that play and having to wait on them to get back in formation for the next play, too. Running anything further downfield that was tackled in bounds or outside the hashes that would've required the officials to run with the ball back to where it would need to be snapped would've ended the game.
  14. Fear The Chorizo
    Doubs is their go-to intermediate route/deep crosser receiver that had monster games late last season as part of that play action game. He's been inconsistently available on gamedays the past month or so and the team's onfield production has suffered from that. Factor in Watson being iffy with injuries and now done with that knee, Jacobs just not being as dynamic a big play RB as Aaron Jones was in the running game, and Tucker Kraft seemingly hitting a wall and the skill position depth hasn't made plays for Love. I also think some of this is poor game-planning/play calling in trying to make Love an Aaron Rodgers clone. He simply isn't accurate enough to lead a precision passing offense that nickel and dimes you up and down the field. His biggest plus is arm talent and decent mobility, taking a big drop in play action, planting his foot and throwing based off a primary/secondary read. Even with Watson out, if Doubs is healthy the Packers have enough talent on offense to score 30+ a game against anyone if they put personnel in better positions to succeed. I don't think it's teams taking away what made them click offensively last season as much as it's the Packers getting away from it and instead tinkering with formations/plays to try and find a better widget.
  15. Fear The Chorizo
    That defensive call on 3rd and 11 is just trying to be too cute, and not giving the Bears any respect for being able to gain enough yardage for a 1st down in the middle of the field and being able to get up the LOS to clock it for a FG try. I get lining DBs outside of the trio of receivers to the right (keep any pass caught from getting out of bounds) - but doing that while taking 3 safeties completely out of any underneath play is insane wit 11 seconds on the clock in that spot. One of those deep safeties on Moore's side needed to be up 10 yards closer to impact a completion close to the 1st down marker in the middle of the field. The formation basically put the DB (Vallentine?) on an island against Moore with 2/3 of the field to work with - and impossible cover. Knowing the Bears needed to get the 1st down on that 3rd down play to even get a FG attempt (had they come up short, clocking it would've transferred possession), GB should've rushed 4 and played coverage at the 1st down yardage - forcing Williams to make a play deeper downfield if they wanted to take a shot.
  16. Fear The Chorizo
    If contract numbers make sense, Tyreke Hill wouldn't be a bad idea for a season or two.
  17. Fear The Chorizo
    The Rams should be favored in that game, and I'd be surprised if the Vikings upset them
  18. Fear The Chorizo
    I agree, and know every season is different, but i think the key players on this roster already know this no matter what happens in Minnesota based on last season when they walked into vikingland and embarrassed the Vikings in a win to get in game and then a couple weeks later destroyed a 2 seed cowboys team who had been dominating opponents at home all year. That being said, it would be refreshing to send Vikings fans back to the reality awaiting them in the playoffs a couple weeks early
  19. Fear The Chorizo
    This also isn't late 1990 college football where style points count more than wins and losses - at times I get the feeling the Packers are using actual games they have in hand due to their opponents' circumstances to have glorified practices, and not just sticking with what is obviously working in a game plan to build multiple score leads, too. Win the game, stay healthy at this point...and honestly the order of those two isn't as important as staying healthy before the playoffs with their current position.
  20. Fear The Chorizo
    Yeah, of course they can walk into Minnesota and win - they did just that last new year's eve and embarrassed the Vikings in their building when both teams had to get a W to think about making the playoffs. Last year's Packer younger and less experienced team got on a late season roll, embarrassed the 2 seed Cowboys (who were also rolling and had been pounding teams at home) in round 1, and frankly should have beaten the 49ers on the road the following week in the divisional round. All I'm saying is with how the NFC playoff field is shaping up, none of the teams hosting any playoff games would want to face a potential 13-win wild card Packers team that appears to be peaking and healthy, when their only 4 losses were coin flip 1 possession games came against the best teams in their conference with the exception of that 2 possession loss in the rain against the Lions months ago. worrying about a potential playoff draw that includes a bunch of good teams doesn't make much sense to me, when I don't think there's a team on paper that is undoubtedly better than the Packers (exception maybe being the Eagles at this point with a healthy Hurts) - with only 1 team getting a bye and that likely coming down to either an injured Lions squad or an overrated Vikings team, to me that's just 1 less week for either of those teams to get exposed by a quality playoff opponent.
  21. Fear The Chorizo
    Nobody will want to have to beat this Packers team in the playoffs - if Love plays well and Jacobs is healthy they're the most dangerous team in the league. That isn't me being a homer, they are that talented offensively with a pretty solid defense.
  22. Fear The Chorizo
    I know Detroit hung on to beat the Packers a couple Thursday nights ago...but with all the potential matchup scenarios we are laying out as "easiest" paths for GB to go on a postseason run, I get the feeling like every other NFC playoff hopeful is doing a similar process to map out the preferred matchups that wouldn't include having to play the Packers themselves. This team has that feel of a "nobody wants to have to beat us to win a Title" to it.
  23. Fear The Chorizo
    If Quero proves to be healthy off that shoulder injury, he's likely going to become the everyday catcher in Milwaukee sooner rather than later so Contreras can turn into the primary DH - maybe not in 2025, but 2026.
  24. Fear The Chorizo
    I think if you just plug him in at DH on this roster he'd do just fine at the MLB level once he gets settled in. He is yet another player with a quality OBP tool that can wreak havoc on the bases. Chourio was terrible over his 1st 175 plate appearances last season, too. My concern with a player like Black is because he isn't considered a plus defender at any specific position, he's not going to get enough of an opportunity for consistent at bats with the Brewers based on how they view the DH position. I'd be find if they don't trade Hoskins and instead make him their primary DH and prioritize a 1B upgrade, too.
  25. Fear The Chorizo
    This level of analysis isn't really worth much of a deep dive - simply because playoff baseball is different than weighing marginal increases in team stats that lead to an improved record over 162 regular season games. Having a bunch of bats in the lineup capable of scoring a run with 1 swing of the bat in October is invaluable in playoff baseball - but I also think a high-OBP lineup with speed can create alot of chaos in pressure-packed situations, too. If the Brewers are looking to trade Hoskins, I think they really need to add another bat with pop over at 1st...this might be where adding Goldschmidt makes sense. I think a healthy Mitchell paired with Yelich and Chourio in the OF are capable of providing plenty of power across those 3 positions in the lineup, and Contreras is an elite catcher offensively. Without a SS capable of hitting mid-20's HRs over a season's worth of at bats, the Brewers do need to put those type of bats at 1B and 3B...I'm hopeful Wilken takes a huge leap forward next season and we start looking at him at 3rd or 1st in the very near future - he's the type of hitter the Brewers need at those positions longterm.
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