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Fear The Chorizo

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Everything posted by Fear The Chorizo

  1. Fear The Chorizo
    Look at the rest of the lineup today....it's spring training.
  2. Fear The Chorizo
    One thing is for certain - it will be fun watching Cubs pay CC $8M a year for a couple seasons after they have to fire him because the Cubs just can't hang with a young Brewers core.
  3. Fear The Chorizo
    I'm very interested seeing how long it takes before CC is annoyed by all the unnecessary and pointless attention, followed up by beat writers and Chicago market press hounding him when things don't go perfectly. He had it pretty good with a spineless group of Brewers' press, and it seems like he's got pretty thin skin when his decisions on lineup construction and the like fall flat. My guess is that he'll have at least one presser before Opening Day where it's obvious that he's annoyed by all of it, even before the games matter. Specific to this instance - it's the first game of Spring Training in February, so who cares? It's a clichet-filled statement from a guy instead saying what's actually on his mind, which would be along the lines of "It'd have been nice if the Cubs actually improved their roster this offseason to make it easier to win more than 83 games after paying me a ton of money last fall, really hope the roster I'm looking at right now gets 3-4 better players added to it before Opening Day or it's going to be long damn year."
  4. Fear The Chorizo
    Here's hoping it will, and he develops into an above average hitter at the MLB level - particularly against LHP
  5. Fear The Chorizo
    I'm pretty sure if a player is headed directly to the 60 day IL, a team can sign him without playing 40 man roster gymnastics just to complete that transaction - that's why a signing like Woodruff waited until after 2/14, before then it would have required the Brewers or a different team making space on the 40 man to officially sign him. However, I don't know if the Woodruff signing is "official" yet, either. The Sanchez ordeal has to be due to 40 man roster limitations - not only for the Brewers but likely for any team that would be trading for a Brewers' player that is currently on a 40 man roster. Spring Training is an especially tough time to do those type of trades, because most organizations are at or just under 40 guys on that roster to try and maximize flexibility/team control. It's not until cuts/DFAs start happening towards the end of Spring Training that clubs try to slide AAAA depth pieces into their minor leagues without other organizations pilfering guys they may have more room/need for. It wouldn't surprise me to see this Sanchez ordeal last another week or two before finally shaking out, or if it shakes out after the Brewers can't make a trade happen and wind up just DFA-ing somebody to make room.
  6. Fear The Chorizo
    Lets see how Wiemer looks in a game against live pitching before throwing parades for this swing change...for all we know that clip in the cage was part of a hitting drill designed to simply put bat to ball or hit the baseball to a specific spot on the field. In that video, it looks like there's little to no follow through on the swing, i.e., it wasn't a full speed cut. I seem to remember talk of Wiemer's reduced leg kick and hand movement in spring training last year, too. I'm all for him quieting down his hands and reducing the noise/movement. Hoping what he's worked on over the offseason translates to games.
  7. Fear The Chorizo
    Honestly the way this nonsense stops is if Bellinger, Snell, Montgomery, and Chapman wind up missing the 2024 season because Boras has run out of huge market teams with roster space to sign these players to make a ton of money while their performance declines.
  8. Fear The Chorizo
    Sanchez probably hasn't signed because the Brewers and other teams are stuck ironing out a trade involving 40 man rostered players to make room, all of which should have happened weeks ago if mlb free agency wouldn't be dragging on so long. Meanwhile we are a full week into spring training.
  9. Fear The Chorizo
    I'd prefer major league free agency to start Dec 1 and pause for a few months after Jan 31. 60+ days is plenty of time to get free agent deals negotiated and signed, and it'd be done before Spring training starts early enough to give mlb clubs time to fill out their rosters with minor league camp invites and split contracts. The 60 day IL rule schedule can hold into mid February so signings like woodruff can still happen (guys who are injured/unlikely to open the season with the team on the GameDay roster because of it). If a Boras client can't come to terms before the calendar gets to February, they can still sign somewhere as a free agent once the season starts. I don't care if players refuse to sign deals because their agent tells them they're worth way more than what teams actually interested in signing them are willing to offer - I just don't want that process dragged into spring training and taking away from it.
  10. Fear The Chorizo
    I'd add to that he could sign and play overseas for a few years, too...Ala Eric Thames, and then wind up back in mlb that route, too. He's got a slider speed bat, so I'd think he'd have a ton of success playing in Japan or Korea where velocity isn't constantly mkd to upper 90s.
  11. Fear The Chorizo
    If he hits, he will get a shot at some point - even if it's a different team trading minor league fodder for him if the Tigers don't have a spot for him.
  12. Fear The Chorizo
    I'd prefer Frelick focus on how not to hit like a pitcher vs LHP at the mlb level before learning new defensive positions.
  13. Fear The Chorizo
    I'm always going to pull for Hiura, wishing him the best! Doubtful he breaks camp with the Tigers, but hoping he hits his way back into the majors at some point this season. Maybe now the free agent logjam will finally break loose and chapman/bellinger find a dotted line to sign on!
  14. Fear The Chorizo
    I doubt any trade the Padres make would be one that winds up adding payroll to this year's club since they're basically on the verge of having to issue IOUs to make payroll A young pre-arbitration OFer for a prospect package in return? Makes alot of sense.
  15. Fear The Chorizo
    What the hell does starter ceiling even mean? Keith Law, for what it's worth, big ol' meh from my perspective. This sounds like he plagiarized a scouting report on Gasser from 2022 post Hader trade and then acted like the back 2/3rds of Gasser's 2023 AAA season never happened. As it stands, Gasser looks like he profiles as a mid rotation starter who is nails on lefties and has a good enough pitch mix to get through a lineup 3 times pretty consistently. If he is healthy, when the Brewers are ready for him to join the 40 man. roster he'll be in the rotation, and if there wind up being innings limit concerns he'd slide very nicely into a piggy back/long relief role from the bullpen.
  16. Fear The Chorizo
    Preseason projections for young players with talent but little or no mlb experience are about as predictive and accurate as hunches. Time to actually play ball and find out.
  17. Fear The Chorizo
    I think the interesting aspect of this year's Spring Training for MLB is the fact there are still a good # of free agents that haven't signed anywhere - and my assumption is most MLB organizations have their 40 man rosters full and are already dealing with a glut of minor league camp invites. So, any noteable FA signing will need to have a corresponding trade or DFA just to get that guy into the mix. We may actually be seeing this unfold with the Brewers and the apparent delay in finalizing the Sanchez contract. There are also a bunch of guys still looking for camp invites/minor league deals because of it, too. This is part of the reason why I think MLB should implement a rule to suspend major league free agency at the end of January each season (also, I think they should push the start of that free agency period to December 1 and not instantly after the World Series ends), and any FAs who haven't signed a contract would need to wait until the start of the regular season to do so. There's no good reason prominent major league free agents should be spending 3+ months unsigned and have that process leak into Spring Training.
  18. Fear The Chorizo
    Maybe both Contreras and Quero are about to be traded to make way for the future Brewer backstop...
  19. Fear The Chorizo
    I actually think Frelick would be the young OFer I'd prefer the Brewers trade before any of the other guys, and this would be the offseason to do so if looking to maximize return. Frelick is a good defensive OFer, but not as good as Mitchell, Wiemer, and Chourio - and putting Frelick in a corner OF position makes him an offensive liability due to limited power. He's more polished right now than Mitchell or Wiemer, but those guys have higher ceilings. IMO, Frelick is good enough to be an everyday outfielder and a good everyday center fielder - I'd be just fine if the Brewers held onto him longterm, but I think if the Brewers do opt to trade from a position of surplus depth either to improve their MLB team elsewhere or add younger prospects to free up 40 man roster space I'd rather see Frelick be the odd man out than Mitchell or Wiemer at this point in their careers, especially with Chourio likely being given every opportunity to be this team's center fielder for the next 8+ years.
  20. Fear The Chorizo
    Time to start speculating what the Brewers need to pony up in terms of prospect capital to trade for Burnes at the deadline for a two month stretch run rental after the Orioles are stuck in a "step back" sort of season in that division.
  21. Fear The Chorizo
    Phil Bickford sucks, actually
  22. Fear The Chorizo
    Absolutely none of this is any different than what I posted earlier, and doesn't take away from the fact the Brewers have been too focused on run prevention at the expense of scoring. Of the 20-25 batted balls that either result in outs or hits per game, I'd guess the average number of chances a left fielder gets a game is 3, and tough chances where a great defensive player creates an out vs giving up a hit is about 0.4 a game. I'm just fine with a mediocre corner OF that can hit like a corner OF in left plus a good DH in the lineup most days instead of a great defensive left fielder who can't hit playing their while that mediocre LF makes $25m a season to DH and the lineup is worse. I'm hopeful all our young OFs prove to be plus assets offensively, too. But just because the Brewers have a bunch of them doesn't mean they should play them all everyday before they prove they are good mlb offensive players.
  23. Fear The Chorizo
    When is enough enough for this stalemate with Boras clients that has progressively dragged the mlb offseason into spring training the past few seasons? I'd like to see the mlb free agency period end or at least pause before the regular season starts by end of January. If you don't sign a contract by then, you're free to do so after opening day at what will most likely be a reduced 1st year of the deal, particularly for a starter who wont be game ready for a month - but enough already. These players aren't being blackballed from signing contracts, their asking prices are just not realistic for the caliber player they've proven to be. At some point they have to wake up and sign what's being offered.
  24. Fear The Chorizo
    Depends if at least 1 of those 3 young OFers aren't hitting worth a lick, then id want Yelich in left. The game has gotten to the point where roughly 40 percent of outs in a game are Ks, so I'd much rather have an OF that may have one avg to below avg defender in it costing the team a fraction of a run every week but who helps create multiple runs offensively in that same time than an OF full of gold gloves but 1-2 players hitting like a 1980s utility IF. Defense and run prevention is important, but i think recent Brewer teams have leaned way too far into that side of the roster at the expense of scoring runs. For a team whose longterm weakness is offense, there should be tons of ABs for a separate DH that isnt their starting LF or starting catcher. I'd prefer Yelich, with a history of back issues, gets actual days off instead of being a quasi DH because the rest of the team can't hit and then see him wear down in september again. Same goes for a catcher, no matter how young Contreras might be.
  25. Fear The Chorizo
    So is it better to pay Hoskins 2yrs, $34M up to 3 yrs, $48M (or 1yr about $16M with the opt out) to play subpar defense at 1B on the heels of missing a full season due to knee surgery? Hoskins' 2022 season was worse statistically than Soler's 2023 - what if Hoskins has a bad 2024 season, meaning the Brewers will absolutely be on the hook for at least that full $34M dollars over two seasons with a decent likelihood of $48M over 3? My point on the 2022 Braves' roster and why they made no effort to resign Soler at that time is that they already had Ozuna signed to be their bat-first RH hitter with pop that was destined to be a primary DH for 3 more seasons - there was no point to signing Soler to that same role for 2022 and beyond. Soler was traded for at the 2021 deadline to fill that role after Ozuna broke bones in his hand to miss a bunch of the 1st half and then was put on leave due to domestic violence issues. Ozuna's contract signed 3 years ago, Hoskins' contract including the optout, I'm certain JD Matrinez's next contract, etc. are in the mid to upper teens of millions of dollars for bat-only RH hitters with thump - Soler making a tick less than that AAV over 3 seasons for ages 32-34 just isn't the catastrophic risk people are making it out to be just because he isn't a gold glove caliber defender. It's the going rate in free agency for a guy to give you 30+ HR a season no matter what the rest of his metrics look like.
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