Fear The Chorizo
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Everything posted by Fear The Chorizo
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MLB 2023/2024 Free Agency Thread
Fear The Chorizo replied to wiguy94's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
His start this year is encouraging considering his struggles the previous spring trainings...there are a handful of MLB teams right now where he'd be an upgrade at DH to what they currently have in their plans for Opening Day. Don't want to get too specific on team names to start derailing threads before the regular season, lol. Wouldn't surprise me to see him in some afterthought end of Spring Training deal where he's switching organizations with a quicker shot back at MLB. -
This is 100% my point...something is very fishy when as soon as lawyers looking at factual records start making statements on behalf of their clients are the polar opposite to that of the translator who has long been ID'd as like a "brother" to Ohtani, and the Dodgers instantly fire this guy despite plenty of people apparently knowing about this looming issue for months. And my statement earlier in this post was intended to be sarcastic and cheeky - I know Ohtani makes plenty of money to not have to worry about living expenses despite deferring basically all of his MLB salary in this contract until after he retires. Guys with his kind of income/net worth are the ones who wouldn't bat an eye racking up a handful of million in gambling debts. It starts looking pretty bad when all of a sudden you find out there's an investigation going on about an illegal gambling setup that you might have some form of link to through a middle man, and then try to scrabble together a "loan/debt repayment" plan under the premise of bailing a friend out from his own debt...the fact that was the initial statement by his interpreter only for it to be instantly turned around as him stealing this money somehow through wire transfers after everyone lawyered up is what makes this story incredibly juicy, IMO.
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Yep...guy was getting paid close to a half million a season so it's not like he's a pauper - but the reason he'd be able to rack up that kind of gambling debt with anyone is because his accounts weren't the ones being used as credit. Stories be changing every time people are having to open up their mouths despite what appears to be a pretty solid paper trail of where funds ultimately came from to make payments is a pretty big red flag.
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Guess trying to earn your meal money under the table with some shady dealings with your interpreter and sports gambling is what happens when you opt to defer 95% of your salary for the next decade. MLB should suspend Ohtani for 10 years until his annual takehome pay exceeds that of the amount that was allegedly "stolen" from him. At this point, I have no idea if the above needs to be in blue or not....which makes it all the more glorious after the Dodgers' offseason, IMO.
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None of the arms you listed are pitching opening day because all of them are recovering from injury, right? Keep going down that list of highest AAV pitchers and it reads alot like a 60 day IL right now. Ohtani, Cole, Strasburg (he's retired due to injury but still making $35m a season for a few more years). Many of these same guys are Boras clients, too. Snell is getting less in AAV than these guys and didn't get close to a similar longterm 9 figure deal because, frankly, he carries a very similar injury risk at 31 and teams have either learned their lesson or already have too many arms that aren't healthy taking up huge swaths of payroll space. Even the biggest market teams have only so much room to pay veteran starters to get injured as they advance into their 30s.
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Yep....lolz
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I don't think the minimum wage would need to be impacted....jobs would just be hemmoraged from sectors that are hit the hardest, and perhaps the skills gap for the tens of millions of unfilled jobs right now can be diminished. As for people having issues knowing how to manage money, totally agree but can't be surprised given the fact the government does the same thing.
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So much of the consumer spending propping this bloated economy up is still coming from people racking up debt (credit cards), draining savings, or even pilfering their retirement accounts to try and offset the now permanent cost increases of everything. In order to get things back on a sustainable track, I'm convinced that we do need to go through a period of deflation to reset prices - understanding that would be brutal for the economy across the board. If that doesn't happen, eventually this thing comes crashing down anyways because people will exhaust the extra options they've been using to come up with enough funds to maintain their daily life. The Fed needs to continue hiking rates, or at minimum maintain them where they are. Lowering them at this time would limit their ability to alleviate rate pressure on the economy down the road when it is actually necessary. I'd equate lowering rates at this point in time with that steering a big ship analogy to the captain of the titanic asking his crew to raise the cabin temperature 2 degrees to keep the passengers comfortable a couple hours before they crash into an iceberg instead of opting to turn the ship around and head back to port (would've ticked off all the passengers, but they'd still be alive to gripe about a bad luxury cruise experience).
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His cap hit for 2024 isn't even the reason the Chargers are working through cap hell this offseason.
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2024 Spring Training Game Thread
Fear The Chorizo replied to Brewcrew82's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Very true -
1 yr contract that totals a VRBO credit for door county, slip in egg harbor for a boat, and confidentiality agreement that withholds any and all photos of his legs in the weight room should be about market rate... Actually like the move, as it reduces the need to look at RB in the draft until late rounds and frees up those higher picks to target impact talent at positions teams shouldnt kill their salary caps with in free agency.
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2024 Spring Training Game Thread
Fear The Chorizo replied to Brewcrew82's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Gasser has been consistently underrated by Brewers fans...looking forward to watching him dramatically exceed expectations in Milwaukee this season. He's earned a rotation spot on Opening Day, but might have a little delay before his initial callup while the Brewers see if they can get a bag of balls for a different player already on their 40 man they'd need to jettison to put Gasser on it -
60 percent of the time, it works every time!
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There won't be many save situations anyways with the Brewers scoring 1-2 runs an inning
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It's more to do with him not yet being on the 40 man roster than being deserving of a shot at the majors, IMO. Mother of all logjams to start this season, and if Black lights up AAA pitching from jump there really shouldn't be many IF's currently on that 40 man roster who should delay May or June callup.
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He rested 1 month and then went through his whole offseason training program....which in this day and age includes throwing bullpens. this isn't Devin punching a wall before the playoffs.
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I guess I don't really see the point of people saying he should have gotten checked out earlier. Williams doesn't need surgery, so there would have been nothing that could have "fixed" this issue last fall. He pitched through pain last September, then with rest he felt better. This isn't an elbow or shoulder where a timely 2nd opinion could get a necessary surgical repair done earlier than a rest and hope approach. What's concerning to me is that his current prognosis is to rest and then hope it's healed up again, and I don't see any reason why this couldn't flare up again a few months from now given the fact he took time off to rest before starting the offseason program. Back issues are tricky.
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the unfortunate thing is, that has been the bar the Brewers have used to dedicate a roster spot for a DH ever since it became available for NL teams. I despise how the Brewers view the DH role with a 26 man roster on a team that puts too much emphasis on defensive versatility....last season Winker was a bounceback candidate in a salary exchange trade that sent Wong to Seattle, and it was a trainwreck. Now they Sign Sanchez to likely fill this role hoping he's healthy enough to produce average at best production for a DH, while other everyday DH options were (some still are) available via free agency. To me it kind of feels like deja vu all over again. Maybe one of these years they catch lightning in a bottle and the veteran bat they bring in to fill this role has a season where he logs 400+ productive plate appearances....I've stopped holding my breath until that happens, though. Yelich and Contreras can certainly snag some at bats at the DH position, sure....which then inserts weaker offensive position players at their primary positions during that particular game and still weakens the lineup compared to signing a legit everyday DH that would further improve lineups with Contreras at C and Yelich at LF, and maintain depth on days that either of those players may actually need a day off without playing at all.
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The Vikings should shop Jefferson this offseason to max out their draft capital and wear this season as the gut rebuild it needs to be in order to reset talent at key positions after Captain Kirk left them. Instead, since they're already in year 3 of their GM/Coach combo, they're going to likely reshuffle the deck chairs they have left to try and scratch out a borderline 0.500 season, give Jefferson a salary-cap flexibility-crippling contract extension (seriously paying WRs huge money basically seals their fate that they won't have a stud veteran quarterback throwing them the ball), and hope to god whichever quarterback falls to them at #11 is good enough to win under their rookie contract. If that all doesn't work out, they'll be looking for a new front office really darn soon.
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I agree with all of this - doesn't mean I'm glad to see Jones go, but entering his age 30 season he's coming off a year where he basically wasn't healthy and productive until the last month of the regular season + playoffs. He had a great game in Week 1, tweaked a hammy, and wasn't a difference maker until December last season. His resurgence coincided with the Packers turning things around offensively, sure, but replace him with a different established NFL RB and that field full of young receivers/TEs and a young quarterback figuring it out and I think the Packers still play pretty well. I think the lack of 100 yard games to Jones' resume has more to do with the Packers trying to limit wear and tear on a slight running back based on his injury history - Jones isn't a big guy, he can be a difference maker in the NFL when he's healthy...but if a team feeds him close to 20 carries a game he's gong to get hurt. When Jones 1st signed that contract, people viewed it as a 1-2 year deal where he'd become a cap casualty after the 2021 or 2022 seasons...the Packers found a way to play cap gymnastics and get one more season out of him before opting to let him walk into the sunset of his career this offseason based on the hard reality of the NFL as a business.
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I think MN is a terrible spot for Jones, tbh....not just because I'll throw up a little in my mouth every time I see him in a purple helmet with horns on it - they were near the bottom of the league in rushing yards and rushing attempts last season, despite playing a bunch of their games with garbage QBs after Cousins went down. He'll give their run game a burst, but I think their line and scheme isn't a great fit for what Jones excels at - assuming their QB position is going to be a net negative in 2024 (Darnold plus a round 1 rookie QB who will be clipboard holding through most of the year). Initial take to this deal - if Jones is healthy, he'll be traded before the in-season deadline because I think the Vikings are on the verge of a trainwreck of a season.
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A certain 1st round pick with a hitterish pedigree as a collegiate prospect hit 0.303 with a mid-900s OPS in his first 348 MLB plate appearances, after which the Brewers started trying to find ways to keep his bat in the lineup by shifting him to other defensive positions because they didn't yet have the DH to use. Now he's trying to find a way to hang onto his MLB career in the Detroit Tigers spring camp. I am hopeful Frelick does keep developing and proves to be a young player with some positional versatility and offensive upside to justify trying to turn him into a utility player. Personally, I think his best value to the Brewers for the longterm may be as trade bait between now and the start of next season while that upside and years of team control are still the first thing teams look at, particularly when the position Frelick is most likely to have the most player value (CF) is blocked for him by both a younger and more talented player the Brewers just committed to longterm (Chourio), and a better defender with more power potential (Mitchell). I'm excluding Wiemer, who is also a better defender but profiles as a corner OFer much more easily than Frelick.
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Love the move to sign Jacobs provided Jones sticks around, too. This is the year to do this type of move!
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The BREWERS approaching him in the offseason is the equivalent of Frelick realizing he needs to learn a new position - if he pushed back on that when approached, I'm pretty sure he knows what the outcome of that would have likely been. Frelick so far has proven to be a sub-0.700 OPS player at the mlb level - I'm rooting for this to be successful, and for Frelick to develop into a really good MLB player...but I'm firmly in the camp of wishing he'd be forcing his way onto the field at random defensive positions because his bat absolutely needs to be be in the lineup everyday first, rather than this current approach of "well, we don't really have an everyday 3B currently on the 40 man roster and we don't have room to add new prospects onto it at this point, let's see if one of our young OFers with the least amount of power in his swing can be passable over there against a righty starter and then may also prove to be a good enough hitter to warrant this type of experiment"
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It strikes me as a bit odd the manager considers a guy realizing it's time to learn a new position if he wants to play everyday with the organization that just gave a longterm contract to a 20 yr old phenom to play CF as being one of the best stories in baseball. I think it's spring training speak that will die down after frelick or adames gets traded and the apparent positional logjam sorts itself out with all these young guys. Even if it doesn't, Frelick at 3rd at its best for him is being a placeholder until either Wilken or Black are in Milwaukee for good.
