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Fear The Chorizo

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Everything posted by Fear The Chorizo

  1. Fear The Chorizo
    They're going to lean on their defense....feels like they might have a shot play before half to try and score a td though
  2. Fear The Chorizo
    Will need a turnover to win this game....that missed INT for an easy 6 stings so much right now
  3. Fear The Chorizo
    Absolutely have to catch that
  4. Fear The Chorizo
    The key is to take away as much of the dink and dunk passing game away from the 49ers - they still have weapons on the outside, but force Purdy to have to make longer, lower percentage throws outside the hashes to move the chains....particularly with a wet football. A soggy track negates the advantage the 49ers have had resting the past few weeks, and likely slows down that 1st step off the snap by their Dline....keeping their defensive front from wrecking the game is a necessity for the Packers to have a shot, so I say let it rain like crazy.
  5. Fear The Chorizo
    I believe the only current option is to have a flatbed tow truck pick you up and take you to the nearest charging station/home. Perhaps there will be a method developed for a mobile charging unit to drive out and give the car enough juice to get a few more miles down the road to charge, but honestly from a time/cost perspective it probably would be cheaper and more efficient to just tow the car off the road to a power source somewhere that will get it running again.
  6. Fear The Chorizo
    Note that the 2032 EPA guidelines are "technology neutral" - they don't require EVs, just emission standards. While true, there simply isn't any other developing technology close enough to scaling up that would help with those guidelines in less than 10 years, thus the initial push in the last couple years to build and sell more EVs. Since auto manufacturers are already dropping the rate at which EVs are being manufactured, I'd expect that either the emission standard value would increase if it stays at 2032 or the year that the standard needs to be met will get pushed further into the horizon. I'm most hopeful for hydrogen being the true ICE replacement, with EVs serving to bridge that gap once enough people realize the practical limitations and environmental issues that sort of scaled manufacturing would be on a global scale, but hydrogen is still several decades away from being an option.
  7. Fear The Chorizo
    The 49ers have benefitted immensely by getting compensatory draft picks for some players , but mostly coaches and front office people being hired away by other teams over the past few years - the volume of those extra picks has helped fill in what would be glaring holes in roster depth behind their marquee players. Those compensatory picks have offset the draft pick losses for Lance and to acquire McCaffrey, and frankly I think the current system gives teams too much in draft compensation for losing front office personnel/coaches to other organizations. That being said, the 49ers are currently one of the older rosters in the NFL, and they're already into having to play all sorts of restructuring/cap gymnastics to keep their core around past this season - without having to worry about paying their starting quarterback enough to afford a San Fran apartment. This is the year the 49ers need to win a title before some of these issues start swiss-cheesing their current roster. Hoping the 49ers get silly and give Purdy huge money only to find out he's a 7th round talent as the weapons around him and the defense ages out or leaves for more money than what the 49ers can pay them.
  8. Fear The Chorizo
    I would add OLB to that mix, but agreed that adding a tackle early in the draft should be a priority - as they've seemingly hit on who their QB is for the longterm, get an impact tackle to protect him. I'd also add its nice to see Rhyan getting a good share of snaps at right guard. Runyan has been ok, but Rhyan profiles as a more physical/athletically gifted guard and it seems like he's figuring things out.
  9. Fear The Chorizo
    hehe....it's actually been raining a ton in California over the last year +...it's just hardly ever written/talked about, because, well, I'll just leave that alone for now. And one thing I don't think can be said about this young Packers team is that it's not physical...the last few drafts have dramatically changed the physical makeup of the roster. If the Packers lose Saturday it won't be a surprise, and it won't be chiefly because they aren't physical enough....they would have just run into a better, more veteran team built to win now. The rainy weather conditions throw a variable into the game that doesn't show up in "on-paper" matchups.
  10. Fear The Chorizo
    This equates to 25% of its current fleet of personal vehicles on the road in Norway, so they're still a long ways off eliminating ICE vehicles, too....obviously that percentage will change over time, but even that small country will have to deal with expanding its network of chargers/power supply infrastructure four-fold to meet the demand they are imposing with their current incentives/subsidies/tax exemptions. It will be interesting to see what happens over the next few years, for sure.
  11. Fear The Chorizo
    At this point, I'm guessing Boras' caller ID is is 99% outgoing calls he makes to different GMs/owners leaving voicemails and repeating the initial offers he expects players to sign for that every team has balked at, and 1% from his clients calling him asking if he's heard anything back from any teams.
  12. Fear The Chorizo
    assuming good health, I think Knoth is going to fly up prospect lists in the next 18 months, and if his fastball sits in the mid 90s with further physical development he's got a higher ceiling than a mid-rotation starter. 2024 will be a "patience" type season of development with Knoth, with 2025 being the season where he might be jumping through multiple minor league levels.
  13. Fear The Chorizo
    I just don't view forcing teams to account for deferred dollars paid to a player on a contract during the time period the player is actually playing (i.e., the competitive window of that player's contract) as being more restrictive. If anything, it should have been set up that way in the first place. I'm not advocating the luxury tax limit to be restricted or grow slower, I'm advocating for the rules to be set up to force teams to pay the penalties for going and staying over those limits to MLB and then those penalty dollars actually being provided to smaller clubs that would lead to increased free agent contract signings by them, increasing their payrolls. The way it's set up and with how the Dodgers are approaching things, it shouldn't be termed "competitive luxury tax". This hasn't been an issue until the Dodgers are now using their massive TV contract to give them a way to skirt permanently being over the luxury tax thresholds by deferring ~95% of actual dollars paid to the best player in the sport until after his playing term of the contract he signed in free agency ends.
  14. Fear The Chorizo
    Agreed - and that is actually just fine in my book to wind up getting as much of Burnes' best years of pitching as a Brewer before he spends all of next winter as a free agent before signing halfway into 2025 spring training with a different team. If the Brewers are in contention this season, the value of having one more shot to make a postseason run with Burnes anchoring the rotation coupled with QO draft pick compensation is pretty significant, and worth more than a deadline trade package for a couple month rental....and frankly it's worth more IMO than a trade package received this offseason for Burnes, too. Many will be upset he wasn't traded this offseason, or even last offseason to try and stockpile more prospects - but then will neglect that would mean the MLB club would have suffered because of it during a window where the division has been there for the Brewers to win.
  15. Fear The Chorizo
    Based on this offseason I can see the Dodgers not wanting to adjust the luxury tax accounting rules...but I don't think any changes need to have universal agreement on the owners' side of things in order to be adopted, and the other large market club owners are probably more on the side of the small market clubs. And I don't know why the players' union would care if a competitive luxury tax rule change forces a team to account for the full value of a contract against the team's luxury tax payroll during the playing years of a contract - if anything, Ohtani's almost entirely deferred contract actually sets a precedent the players' union should be leery about.
  16. Fear The Chorizo
    San Fran/Santa Clara forecast looks like its going to be rainy/soggy Saturday evening for the game with a decent amount of wind....that could factor into how this game is played. A slower/soggy field may actually help neutralize the rest advantage the 49ers have going into this game - but it also will put a premium on winning in the trenches at the line of scrimmage, where the 49ers are better. If this young team can avoid turning the ball over in wet weather conditions while forcing a turnover or two themselves and GB can still stretch the field in the passing game, they can absolutely win this game.
  17. Fear The Chorizo
    Isn't his contract up after this season, so it wouldnt necessarily be a firing, just not a rehiring? Maybe he'll get a head coaching gig out of that kind a postseason run and we won't have to worry about reupping!
  18. Fear The Chorizo
    I think that's the hope...but I will say both auto manufacturers and battery developers are growing pretty skeptical about getting there when the current emission standard milestones need them to be. To me, a smarter approach is to adjust those standards based on geography to phase them in at a later time where winter weather is a concern
  19. Fear The Chorizo
    I'm referring to the current 2032 fed emission standards that essentially will force auto manufacturers to produce a large percentage of EVs in order to meet it. Chicago/Illinois is in the United States, so the type of vehicles available for purchase in that area will be impacted.
  20. Fear The Chorizo
    Norway is the population of minnesota, and their EV rollout/subsidy program was heavily aided by the oil royalties that have basically given them an economy that makes everyone upper middle class. They intentionally made EVs cheaper than ICE vehicles and funded that incentive through selling oil. Sweden is not much different. Those two Scandinavian countries also have a limited driveable area, meaning they don't need to drive 100 miles+ routinely to get around developed parts of the country. Now that they're that heavily shifted to EVs, Norway has to figure out a way to pay for road upkeep now that their gas tax revenues have dried up and EVs are exempt from it. They'll figure it out by taxing people a little more and allowing more oil to be pumped out of their provable reserves, no doubt. Again, I'm not anti-ev....I'm an environmental consultant. But I am a realist.
  21. Fear The Chorizo
    I think Votto will make a fantastic bench coach, hitting coach, and/or manager someday if he wants a lifelong career in baseball....but I don't want him playing 1B for the Brewers in 2024
  22. Fear The Chorizo
    I don't think you'd be OK with the impact of that game plan on an annual basis in Chicago if there are 95x more EVs on the road than there are right now (many of which wouldnt be with owners who dont have a property with a garage they call home), but maybe you are. All I'm saying is the blanket mandates for EVs make no sense for a place with winter and they really need to be retooled/phased in much more gradually in cold weather climates...if people have the means, desire to own one, and are ok with the limitations they come with for the benefit of having your vehicle emissions blow out a power plant stack instead of a tailpipe in those areas now, well before the technology and infrastructure can actually support everyone having that type of car in those areas, more power to them.
  23. Fear The Chorizo
    So the solution is for everyone to have a private garage with a space heater that runs on energy primarily from fossil fuels to heat the space up enough for a battery to actually charge? Sounds pretty straightforward... When these mandates about 10 years off force anyone looking to purchase a new vehicle have it be an EV, is there also a mandate for everyone in cold climates to have an enclosed garage if they want to have a vehicle?
  24. Fear The Chorizo
    It's not about being anti-EV in my opinion...it's about being realistic in the face of some upcoming sweeping mandates that make zero practical sense in many parts of the US based on the combination of infrastructure, technology limitations, geography/climate, grid capacity, and cost.
  25. Fear The Chorizo
    The issue is, financially with the current TV deal landscape and limited revenue sharing, there are a select few "haves" and a whole bunch of "have nots" this offseason in terms of $$ to blow on premium free agents. When those "have" teams have their rosters largely completed (see Dodgers and Yankees, Phillies, Braves), there aren't a ton of other clubs looking to spend $200M+ on those FAs - meanwhile the mid-tier FAs want to wait until the more premium players at their positions ink fresh deals to also use them as comparables to bump up their contracts, too. Right now I think Boras is trying to sell all of his veteran FAs to the Cubs and Giants to sign, and they're looking at him like "we kind of want to just throw $100+ M to Hader if he'll sign with us instead and then be left alone at this point." 2/3 of the MLB organizations probably won't even answer a call from Boras based on how he tries to leverage all of them against each other, so we're firmly entrenched in the waiting game for no good reason.
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