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Fear The Chorizo

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Everything posted by Fear The Chorizo

  1. Fear The Chorizo
    Oh there will be plenty of seemingly good fits at qb where MN sits in the draft if they want to pick one. And they should really want to pick one. I'll take solace knowing all those qbs going off early will allow the Packers to find a franchise LT with their 1st pick before loading up on more defense to bolster Saleh's defense after Rodgers fires him for no good reason;)
  2. Fear The Chorizo
    I don't know...if it's apparent the Bears decide to stick with Fields, it seems like many of the other teams clamoring for a franchise qb in the draft will already be in that top 5 pick range, and there are seemingly alot of qbs worth a top 15 pick in next years draft. If the Bears ask for too much for that top overall pick they may wind up stuck with it. Unless a team coming from the middle if the nfl blob gets nuts and blows their socks off with a trade package. I don't see a huge pick package coming from a team already in the top 5 looking to move up a few spots for a qb in this draft. Btw, I agree that the Bears' best plan would be to trade Fields and then draft Williams, and think it'd be foolish for them to have to start paying Fields like a franchise qb with a contract extension at this point.
  3. Fear The Chorizo
    A big difference, at least IMO, and likely reason why he wasn't signed by a MLB team at all last season after the Dodgers released him was the fact that until the end of the 2023 season it wasn't publicly apparent that the primary reason he was suspended in the first place was fraudulent. As you pointed out, it's one thing to not be charged / convicted for sexual assault in the court of law and find a way to skate clear of that - but if what came out this fall was available back in January 2023 the Dodgers probably wouldn't have released him - or if they did somebody else would have signed him. And all one needs to do to find a good number of players who have led seedy private lives and/or come off as narcissistic d-bags is walk through the halls of Cooperstown. We will see what happens, but I'm expecting some MLB team to sign Bauer before Opening Day.
  4. Fear The Chorizo
    At best he won a Cy Young award in 2020 and was off to a good enough start with the Dodgers in 2021 where he could've been in that conversation again, preventing Burnes from winning his, had he not been suspended. There's no questioning his ability as a MLB pitcher, and he proved during last season in Japan that he's not a pumpkin after the 2+ seasons he was forced to miss for something that he should not have been suspended for in the first place. Mookie Betts this last October: "My experience with Bauer is not anything remotely close to what everyone else's experience is. I love him. I think he's an awesome guy. The personal things? I have no control. I have no say. Obviously, nothing ever came from it. "He's an awesome pitcher. He's a great guy, somebody who wants to take the mound every fifth day. But, at the end of the day, I don't make the decision. That's a decision that's not as simple as baseball." That last sentence is indeed true - however the baggage revolving around Bauer should not include the fraudulent sexual assault allegations, but unfortunately it will. The other aspects of Bauer's off the field personality are worth scrutinizing...although those aspects weren't enough to prevent the Dodgers from giving him a 3 yr, 9 figure contract before the 2021 season began based on his onfield pitching ability.
  5. Fear The Chorizo
    Viking fans are beside themselves...it's like "do we throw $35+ million to Cousins and hope he's the same player a couple more years after blowing out his achilles mid-season, knowing we're already going to be hardpressed to extend Jefferson/Darrisaw and retain Hunter?" Or do we trade who we can and go full rebuild mode knowing the defensive personnel are thin and aging at key spots, give Jefferson a market-setting WR contract extension while having no longterm QB in the organization and hope the GM actually makes a good pick early in the draft? Then they turn around and see Love shredding them and mutter "of course" to themselves....it's glorious!
  6. Fear The Chorizo
    You mean Watson, I presume? I just want to see him back in a game situation - him on the field with the rest of the young receivers really spaces out the field, and a healthy him paired with Reed in the slot and the rest of the WRs/TEs is a handful if Love is distributing the ball to all of them. Love seemingly has been really good against teams dialing up blitzes to try and generate pressure, because the receivers have more open space to run to. Where Love still needs development is against defenses that can generate decent pressure rushing 4 and dropping into coverage - alot of those downfield jump throws leading receivers into wide open spaces won't be there and typically will have defenders closing from the back end instead of chasing in man coverage. Thinking of that Giants game that Love played poorly in for most of that contest. The offense's surge has been tied to improved Oline play (no surprises there) - if that keeps up I'm looking forward to an entertaining playoff game for a team I have no expectations on making run with nothing to lose.
  7. Fear The Chorizo
    Jorge Soler looks like a really good fit on this roster, especially if he's signed as the DH to go along with Santana to play 1B
  8. Fear The Chorizo
    Which is sad, because Bauer was among the best starting pitchers in the game before he got his MLB career taken away from him for something he was falsely accused of doing. Part of the lack of rumors with Bauer is probably all the other more prominent FA pitchers taking awhile to sign contracts that interested teams are still vying for (Snell, Montgomery, etc). I'm not saying Bauer is a saint, but he's a good, durable starting pitcher that will take the ball every 5th day and give the team he's pitching for a good chance to win, and I think a MLB team will sign him to a deal before the season starts. I actually think he would be a really good fit in Milwaukee in the middle of their rotation regardless of whether they trade Burnes or keep him into Opening Day. If nothing else, I don't see why a rebuilding team doesn't give Bauer a contract and then try to deal him for prospects at the deadline if he proves to still be an effective starter at the MLB level.
  9. Fear The Chorizo
    One thing I've done recently to further diversify from just the retirement account is throw a pile of my rainy day fund savings into CDs - my bank had 9 month and other short term CDs at 5% APR with the recent rate hikes. That's a pretty solid guaranteed return that doesn't tie up funds for too long, either. 2022 sucked for my retirement account (and probably for most of us since there was really nowhere to hide in stock or bond fund markets), but 2023 was a nice rebound....hoping the market isn't as volatile as I think it will be in 2024 so the gains we've all seen recently have a chance to stabilize the retirement account baselines. It does seem like the bond market is finally starting to crawl out of the hole it dug itself into the past few years, so making sure to have a decent percentage of the 401k tied to a bond fund or two makes alot of sense if you're at an age where the retirement finish line is at least starting to come into view.
  10. Fear The Chorizo
    At this point in time, I think the Reds are solidly the 2nd best team in the division because the Cubs have gotten markedly worse pending any additional roster moves (honestly, besides paying CC $40M to manage they've done squat besides see key bats for their 2023 roster in Candelario and Bellinger leave the roster, plus their 2023 Opening Day starter is also a free agent), and the Brewers have actually improved their roster from the 2023 club that won 92 games. If the Brewers truly do plan on rolling with Burnes during his free agent year and keep Adames/Williams in their roles to start 2024 instead of trading them, they are still the clear favorite to win the division with a ballclub capable of churning out 88-94 wins. And, I think they have a chance to make significant roster upgrades at 1B, DH, or 3B via free agency to further separate themselves from the Reds. The Cubs could obviously throw a ton of $$ at Bellinger, a starter, and a closer/reliever, but honestly if they did all 3 of those things it would basically get them back to where they were in 2023 in terms of win projections.
  11. Fear The Chorizo
    What are they going to do when Burnes is finally gone and they don't have the pitching to fall back on like they used to? Probably just insert more young starters from their organization into the MLB rotation that cost about $600K per season for a few years instead of $30M+, similar to what the Brewers did 5-7 years ago with Peralta, Woodruff, and Burnes (none of which were ever premier can't-miss TOR prospects...in fact Burnes was arguably the worst pitcher in baseball in 2019 as a starter). The current organizational model gets it right way more than it gets it wrong with pitching, so they've earned trust with regard to continued development of pitching....and if you'd look in the mid to upper minor league levels right now there are a couple guys who could slide into MLB rotation roles over the next 1-2 seasons, starting with Gasser. The Brewers are obviously banking on offensive improvement from some of their young OFs in 2024, and the offseason is far from over that they could bolster corner IF offensive production before Spring Training, too. Most of the veteran garbage that gobbled up a bunch of DH, 1B, and 3B at bats last season is no longer on the roster, so to say the Brewers aren't actively looking to upgrade those roster spots is wrong even if no other additions are made.
  12. Fear The Chorizo
    The NBA also has the huge advantage of teams only having to worry about 12 players on their roster, not 40 plus 5-6 minor league team rosters full of prospects and organizational depth. I think the nfl is more comparable to mlb, and despite massive revenue sharing their player contract system is awful compared to what mlb players have in terms of guaranteed contracts.
  13. Fear The Chorizo
    As long as there continues to be an amateur mlb draft and international signing process, well run organizations will find ways to field consistently competitive mlb ball clubs without having to print money to sign veteran free agents on the downslope of their careers. Baseball has and always will be a young man's game - but it also has the biggest hurdle between amateur and major league professional players and because of it their player development model is vastly different than the nfl or nba, where revenue sharing teams get their pick of league-ready talent every draft. Mlb clubs that excel at player development, talent evaluation in the draft, and mining underappreciated prospects from other teams can win at the MLB level consistently without carrying a $200m plus payroll. The revenue sharing that mlb does have actually is plenty of $ for organizations to draw from and build good ballclubs without needing to sign a 32 yr old outfielder to a longterm 9 figure contract who might give you a couple seasons of solid production before his body falls apart.
  14. Fear The Chorizo
    I have no idea why any Brewer fan would want to ink a pitcher over 30 yrs old to any sort of longterm deal who is coming off a shoulder injury that required him to miss most of last season and undergo surgery. I think Woodruff is going to have a hard time finding a team to sign him to a contract before this season starts, because teams are going to want to see him pitch after rehabbing to have a better idea what he is before guaranteeing anything. And posters want to offer him 4+ season extensions at this point? Maybe a huge market team that misses out on all the other prominent free agent starters that will actually pitch in MLB next season will throw Woodruff a 2 year flyer with a nominal amount of $ this season and a club option for 2025 if Woodruff enters next offseason healthy and ready to pitch at the MLB level again, but it also wouldn't surprise me if we're talking about a "Woodruff throwing session showcase" sometime in July or August that attempts to draw interest from teams to sign him for the stretch run or set up his free agency headed to the 2025 season.
  15. Fear The Chorizo
    They won't be paying Chourio like a middle of the order bat and starting CF with his current contract extension for another 5-6 calendar years. Had they called up chourio last August, his current contract extension would include at least one fewer option year and likely would have been closer to double the total cost compared to what the current contract value is. This hot stove rabbit hole makes zero sense, and I already regret venturing down it....but I can't help myself and would rather comment on this than reading the next article related to "could the Brewers trade Burnes to the Cubs for Ian Happ?"
  16. Fear The Chorizo
    As of now the Cubs are far worse on paper than they were last season with both bellinger and stroman currently being free agents
  17. Fear The Chorizo
    Dez was high on Doubs early last season, too.
  18. Fear The Chorizo
    1 - those weren't contentious negotiations, as the Brewers made Burnes a solid Arby 2 offer and Burnes opted to go to an arbitration hearing instead, then he got pouty because he lost. The Brewers reached terms on ALL of their other arbitration cases, including Woodruff and Adames. 2 - I hate how Boras operates, but it's in his own best interest to keep Burnes as happy and productive as possible this season if he wants a shot at a decent agent's commission next offseason when Burnes becomes a free agent and doesn't wind up signing a contract until middle of spring training 2025. Torres makes zero sense in a trade for Burnes from the Brewers' perspective - he's basically going to be a salary wash in his own 3rd year of arbitration and will be a free agent after next season. The Brewers would be better off just sticking with Burnes for 2024 and then getting the QO draft pick compensation.
  19. Fear The Chorizo
    It would be so fun for this team to get into the playoffs....and despite their defensive limitations, their offense if anywhere close to healthy would terrify playoff opponents right now, just because it's full of young playmakes all over the field.
  20. Fear The Chorizo
    Despite being the current NFC favorite, I still think the 49ers will Shanahan themselves out of the mix before the Super Bowl in the playoffs....their demolition of both the Cowboys and Eagles in the regular season are the type of situations where a rematch in the playoffs turn into dramatically different games - and I just don't trust Purdy to flat out win them a playoff game when the opposing defense takes away the middle of the field and makes him beat them with throws to the perimeter.
  21. Fear The Chorizo
    The 12 team playoff field is a step in the right direction...that should at least keep players in the top tier programs long enough to have a slate of good games rather than see the transfor portal and nfl sit out announcements pour in for games that should carry some weight. However, with the expanded field I'd like to see them do away completely with the top 25 rankings. Just make the cfp field the top two teams in each of the four power conferences plus four at large bids - with no more than 4 teams being able to get into the playoff from any one conference. I hate that preseason rankings carry weight through the year , and this large of a playoff field should render them completely pointless.
  22. Fear The Chorizo
    When you diminish everything else that was formerly of value in major college football (conference titles, conference-specific Bowl game representation, etc.) to be meaningless besides winning what still amounts to a popularity contest to get into two games at the end of the year, something that 90+ percent of the teams in major college football that aren't NFL factories have zero chance at to begin with, then sprinkle in the current insanity that is the transfer portal and NIL push for good players at these mid tier programs to shop around where they could make more $$, you get the current state of college football. Which is essentially garbage but enough people in SEC country care about it to make the current system profitable, so things aren't changing for the better anytime soon.
  23. Fear The Chorizo
    Right now the Phil's are focused on giving Wheeler a massive extension...and since he's a better pitcher than Burnes is I don't see them being a match via trade. I can see the Braves being an interesting fit for Burnes in that division, though.
  24. Fear The Chorizo
    Adames 2021 season after first coming to the Brewers has proven to be his statistical outlier for his career. Expecting him to repeat that and then base an extension or free agent deal of sustaining that level of offense is what teams like the Angels do in free agency. Adames is a good mlb player who plays solid defense at a premium position and can carry a team offensively for a couple weeks here and there during the season...the rest if the time you better not have to rely on him in the top half of the batting order. Personally, I'd like to trade Adames now if there's value to avoid him repeating 2023 at the plate and wind up not even being comfortable offering him a QO next offseason and getting nothing back for him leaving.
  25. Fear The Chorizo
    Giving their top prospect who has a ceiling of a league MVP based on what he's done in the minors as a kid a never-been-done before longterm extension isn't splashy enough for you? Compared to 95 percent of the rest of MLB, the Brewers have been making plenty of moves this offseason. Just because the Brewers don't give massive contracts to players on the verge of onfield decline as they become free agents doesn't mean they aren't actively improving a roster that won 92 regular season games last year.
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