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homer

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Everything posted by homer

  1. homer
    Death rates jump all over the place day to day. 7 day rolling average would give a better idea of a trend
  2. homer
    Edited my post to include Home Depot. Contractors rely heavily on it.
  3. homer
    A bar is not really as important as a place where you can buy groceries, clothes, etc. I can see the difference from a policy standpoint. And in regards to Home Depot if you are going to allow construction you have to allow the big hardware places to stay open. A ton of contractors go to HD every day.
  4. homer
    5 of 6 WI gating criteria have passed. The other one is close to it's target.
  5. homer
    Yeah I don't see everyone that has a cabin up north just sitting tight all summer.
  6. homer
    I seem to recall that UW, in particular, started letting in more out of state and foreign students and fewer in-state students in order to raise tuition revenue. Can't find if that's true or still the case though.
  7. homer
    Best known as Frank Costanza on Seinfeld (and as Ben Stiller's dad). https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L2LdHH0hmHY
  8. homer
    If this thing fizzles out by the end of the year I don't see any permanent changes to daily life. People will just forget about it eventually and go back to what they did before.
  9. homer
    Or the social distancing is working?
  10. homer
    Yeah I think with something this big and complex there are usually multiple causes (same with healthcare). Could add ease of access to loan dollars, demand for college degrees to the mix as well.
  11. homer
    I don’t mean to be combative, but as an outsider, it’s my perception that there are a lot of six figure jobs on campus that have little to do with teaching or research and that the number of these jobs has grown significantly over the last 30 years (along with tuition). Am I misguided? I'd be interested to know if those jobs existed back in the early 90's when I was at UW. Tuition back then was roughly 1100 - 1200 a semester (so $2300 a year). With inflation that should have been about $4069 in 2019. It was $10,725 for in-state tuition in 2019 - 2020. I would find it dubious if extra admin positions caused that big a jump but I'd have to see apples to apples comparison to know for certain.
  12. homer
    There have been a lot of studies that show the more varied your background the better you are at problem-solving. Reason being you can more readily employ analogous thinking because you have a wider breadth of experiences to draw from. For example, I was watching a documentary the other day and one of the guys in it worked in post production in film back in the 70's. He invented a warning system on his father's dialysis machine simply because he knew light and color theory from his film days.
  13. homer
    Guys, we have given LOTS of leeway on the political talk in the Covid thread but you can't bring it to other threads.
  14. homer
    I'm fine with opening things up regionally within a state. Yeah you might have people from Milwaukee come up to go fishing or whatever but keep tabs on case counts in the hospitals and adjust accordingly.
  15. homer
    There is a lot we don't know about this virus.
  16. homer
    I think people, in general, have a hard time with gray area science. It isn't yes or no, black or white and that's hard to wrap our heads around.
  17. homer
    Seems odd he'd get a million bucks and not know why nor ask anybody about it.
  18. homer
    A guy at Univ of Washington teaches a course on Calling out Bull****. Book by the same name coming out later on this year. Have any of you science guys ever heard of this?
  19. homer
    Come for the baseball, stay for the bat flips.
  20. homer
    Well, I'll use science then. Here's what a Nobel-winning scientist had to say yesterday: "I think the policy of herd immunity is the right policy. I think Britain was on exactly the right track before they were fed wrong numbers. And they made a huge mistake. I see the standout winners as Germany and Sweden. They didn't practice too much lockdown and they got enough people sick to get some herd immunity," Levitt explained. "There is no doubt in my mind, that when we come to look back on this, the damage done by lockdown will exceed any saving of lives by a huge factor." Michael Levitt is currently on staff at Stanford. Boiling down his reasoning, the experts who came up with the models made the wrong assumption that the R value would remain constant. It doesn't, it goes down. Plenty of scientists disagree with Levitt. He thinks you can get herd immunity at 30% infection rate. I've seen some epidemiologists say you need 60 - 70%. He could absolutely be right but I'm not going to hitch my wagon to one guy even if he won a Nobel. Levitt also believes in global warming. I'm guessing there are plenty of skeptics that still don't believe in it simply because one Nobel winner does.
  21. homer
    Data is data. We used stats all the time on this board. Guy goes 3 for 4 in game 1 he is hitting .750 on the year. That is not up for debate. It is a fact. Now if you tell me that based on that one game this rookie is better than Hank Aaron well that's where the issue lies. Academics within the same field disagree on how to interpret data all the time. If you think one source is sketchy then try another one. The lazy thing to do is not do anything. Going off instinct is going to just push you into your bubble even more.
  22. homer
    I would like to amend my earlier post... Also, do not believe random twitter summaries of 42-page research documents.
  23. homer
    Instinct worked well when we were running around forests hunting and gathering. Now? Not so much.
  24. homer
    So we can't trust science, we can't trust journalism....do you just go off your instincts? I guess my way of thinking is - who would benefit if no one believed journalists or scientists? Food for thought.
  25. homer
    But which data is actual? You can find data to suit your views, the information is so vast, there is just no way of knowing which data is factual, which data is agenda driven and which data is nonsense. Just go to a bunch of sources then and try to use your critical thinking skills. Everyone on the planet has biases you just have to figure out how to weigh them vs. the information they are presenting.
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